Ballinpigpubs13
Save Carlos
Getting mine on the moro, and renewing the season tkt at the same time. They'll think I've escaped from Rampton top security hospital in the tkt office:loopy:
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Judging by the number of stay-aways over the last few matches, I still think that their empty seats will outnumber ours by at least 4:1.
Unlike last year there has been no news released officially on their ST sales this year by the look of it, but my 'inside man' suggests that they haven't topped 6,000 yet with only 2 weeks to the first extended deadline.
"There's going to be a chill wind blowing through football" - K McCabe...
I assume Bob is talking about the property recession, what are you talking about?
What's your inside man tell you about our season ticket sales with, what is it, three weeks to the deadline?
I'd hazard a guess we're not near 6,000 yet.
I don't think we should go, let the normal away fans go but why should we fill their coffers? It's not like we are going to have anything to play for.
How about a dose of Bert's favourite song to rouse the feeble minded and stir those whose first reaction is to chuck the towel in......of whom there are many on this site...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=go6PFNhLzr8&feature=related
The problem with the 'crowds are going to drop' predictors are that they use this as one element of some long prediction, (crowds, relegation, pestilence, famile, that sort of thing), which they magically generate from Blackwell being manager, etc etc etc. This is done to prove a point that isn't well made, a bit like my teenage daughter, you know,
Dad:'Have you cleaned your room like we asked'
Daughter: 'No'
Dad:'Well you can't go out with your friends until you do'
Daughter: 'But thats not fair'
Dad: 'Yes it is. Clean room, then go out with friends'
Daughter: 'But if you dont let me go then they'll think I've fallen out with them, and then they won't like me, and, and you just want me to lose all my friends don't you?'
Dad:'Actually I just want you to clean your room, like we agreed'
Daughter: 'Well, I'll have no friends, and its all your fault...' etc etc etc
(I don't know if you have kids of your own...)
I've never said that crowds won't drop. They are bound to. Less money for luxuries like going to football matches = lower crowds. What I have warned against is people saying 'I'm not going while 'x' is the manager', or 'while 'x' is in charge'. It is wrong, and is exactly the messages that the piggies got themselves believing to become such a corrosive disaster, and part of the reason why they are where they are today. There are lots of reasons not to go to a football match but don't become a dissident supporter who 'won't go' because of this and that.
As for your long running investigation and castigation of Blades Realty (how's that going, btw), stuffing money into property might not have been the smartest thing, we'll see in the fullness of the economic cycle, but for sure it was a hell of a lot smarter than spunking the overdraft, and the VAT and the PAYE on a promotion bid like Cardiff have.
Looking across the city at the pigs, they had a business plan where they would increase the wages and budgets on ST sales of 16,500, and average crowds of 25k. Then they sold what, 14,000 and have average crowds around 21k. For sure their numbers don't add up.
What happens when they sell less than 10,000 ST's, as looks possible, and crowds drop to 16,000. What happens to us when our crowds fall to 20k, or any other club for that matter (except the top end of the PL and the odd freak of nature like Norwich) when that happens. Lots of businesses and industries are suffering, and thats just a fact of life. Football isn't immune from economic reality. What does appear to have happened is that Mr McCabe has done the hard pruning and got in someone to balance the books before disaster strikes us. It isn't popular because we feel that we should achieve more, but for many clubs just staying in business over the next 24 months is going to be quite an achievement...
I don't have an inside man at the Lane Len, but it wouldn't surprise me if we were struggling to sell them just like the large majority of other clubs. I've not seen any 'good news' PR from anyone except Norwich about ST sales. (They've sold out 18,500, of course, but then thats not a shock)...
Not really much point in digging at SWFC then, is there?
We're almost certainly going to suffer a huge drop in season ticket sales and are likely to have much closer numbers and crowds to SWFC next season.
It's nowt to be crowing about.
McCabe's problem is that we have thousands of Blades with poor job security (if they still have one) coupled with what many see as a very poor manager serving up very poor entertainment.
Where we differ it would seem is that I think McCabe's folly with Realty has primarily caused the pruning - not the impact that the recession has had on the disposable income of the fans.
The late filing of Realty accounts told me all I need to know about that venture. The 2010 results will be disastrous - I have no doubt of that.
I dont see why Blades should have less job security than anyone else. As for the manager and the entertainment, I think you and quite a lot of others are going to be disappointed in your quest to see him out. But there is a bit of my brain, call it feminine intuition, that says there is better to come from all.
The point I was making was that the pruning has already taken place here, whereas some clubs are still spunking it like the good times are still rolling. I do believe it is mainly the loss of parachute money, coupled with the effect of the recession, but I know we wont agree on this...
Lots of reasons for late filing. We're not close enough to the action to see why, for sure...
As for the manager and the entertainment, I think you and quite a lot of others are going to be disappointed in your quest to see him out....
The point I was making was that the pruning has already taken place here, whereas some clubs are still spunking it like the good times are still rolling. I do believe it is mainly the loss of parachute money, coupled with the effect of the recession, but I know we wont agree on this....
From memory, Chengdu blades lost about £2.5M last year. Realty lost something similar. The hotel lost about £1M.
It's surely beyond comprehension that these losses don't have an impact on the spending on the playing side. It may be dressed up differently, but it's the same company. Think of it the other way, the other businesses were supposedly to support the playing side. Are we to believe that this is a one way ticket, where we can only gain? Again, it doesn't sound believable.
UTB
Also for memory, didn't we make a profit last year? Chengdu is a long game, where the benefits might not be fully felt for 5-10 years. As such it is therefore well outside the attention span of any football supporter. Shame they pissed on their own firework with the match fixing thing, as that will surely put the schedule back a bit. I guess we find out what costs we have from that next accounts.
I accept that from what we have seen so far the tangible benefits to SUFC don't amount to a hill of beans, and it may be a while yet before they make themselves felt. That in itself is not a reason to stop, IF we have a clear long term plan and the directors can see progress. There has been a delegation from Sheffield businesses in Chengdu this week looking at economic collaboration through a 'sistering' initiative. This may benefit Sheffield as a whole, and Chengdu Blades specifically, and with it bring some opportunities that otherwise wouldn't have happened. However, we should consider the stance of the council on other matters, and ponder the progress that these arrangements might make if they were the 'Chengdu Owls' instead. (How would we feel about Sheffield Council 'buying-in' to a 'Chengdu Owls' relationship for example? "Not over my dead body", springs to mind)
The Realty thing has been siezed upon by the pigs who only see the £47m debt, but don't look at the asset values. All the time, they are deflecting interest from their own accounts, where the ground and the lease on the training pitch are their only assets. The ground is on the balance sheet at £27m or some figure, but of course if they went pop, then it would only be worth a fraction of that figure (Value of the land + scrap value of reclaimed materials - cost of demolition). If they went pop and someone bought the assets they would probably only pay 20p in the £ for them, so that figure of £27m is quite bogus really. They can't move out and sell the whole stadium to another club, can they? The Blades Realty thing DOES have significant assets that are saleable, over the ground itself, and this is a massive difference.
As for the hotel, pretty much all hotels lose money in their first year or two, whilst they are building occupancy rates and event income. Now Copthorne are paying us for the pleasure to run it, the club is insulated from any possible losses, although here's a question for the anti-hotel mob, (I think they were in 'Wacky Races'..?). Do you really think that a smart hotel chain like Copthorne are going to take it on for 10 years if they dont think it will make money..?
As for whether we could have spent more on the playing side regardless of Chengdu, Hotel or anything else, I think the answer to that is yes of course we could, but the club is owned by Ken McCabe and he has decided that it won't. C'est la vie...
ps , i dont think anybody could predict the earthquake that fucked Chengdu. Don't know if this hurt, but it couldn't have helped.
Seriously, will we sell 2,800?
Seriously, will we sell 2,800?
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