Betting Blades v Pigs

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Well, they should be bothered or they’ll lose a lot of money in the long run.

If someone with a dice said to you that they’re going to roll it and they’ll offer you odds of 4/1 on you nominating the number it lands on would you take them up on it? Would you just think “I’ll have a tenner on number three at that price and if it wins I’ll get paid £40 plus my tenner back”? Or would you analyse those odds, work out that it landing on three is a one in six chance (i.e. 5/1) and say to yourself “I’m being offered under the odds here and I’m not having a bet”?
All too complicated for a simple challenge. Go with your gut on little things but otherwise don’t bet.
 
Just got a feeling that Hamer is due, and is the player most likely to score in a big game.
 

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Not sure odds would be that great would they?
32 games since it was last 4-0 to them, 27 games before that it was 7-3 to us.
Only 4 games ago we won 4-2 at their place.

Edit:
Just checked. Only 33-1 on BET365! :oops:

I exaggerated, of course. But across all Championship games over the last 3 seasons 1 in 59 games ended 4-0. Knowing how tight and low-scoring the derby games have been in recent years (and when you watch them, you can see that hasn't happened by chance - it's the nature of the occasion) I reckon the likelihood of a 4-0 is well below the average across all Championship games. In addition, while we're doing well this season, we've shown no great propensity to score hatfulls of goals. Our success is based on a solid defence.

Putting on a bet for a bit of fun is a different matter of course, but if betting with the aim of making money, I would have wanted odds of at least 90-1 on this particular game ending 4-0, to be tempted.
 

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