The idea that the manager is this extraordinarily huge factor in a club’s success or failure just seems very exaggerated to me.
The manager’s position is one factor - often arguably a small factor - in a club’s success or failure.
Hecky made this point in what I though was a very sensible interview once, about the enormous team that contributes to success (scouting network, academy coaches, transfer negotiators, medical team, strategic planning board members, first team coaches, sports psychologists, every member of playing staff … and more), and conversely how any of those not doing their job properly, will probably mean the 1st team manager is fired.
The manager’s position can make a contributory improvement (as Wilder did in League 1), but was Adkins’ success at Southampton due to the incredible difference he made, or the players he found himself with there? Was it Hecky’s brilliance that got us promoted or Ndiaye’s? And who should be credited with Ndiaye’s rise to star player? Hecky? Youth team scouts? Academy coaches? The board? Or Ndiaye himself?
The truth in my view is that most managers don’t make that much difference - if Scott Parker and Daniel Farke had been at Blackburn and Millwall this season, does anybody seriously believe they would have taken those two clubs up?
If Hecky had got the Burnley job, is there reason to suppose they wouldn’t have got promoted?
Fans of virtually every club demand the sacking of their manager most of the time. I guarantee there will be Burnley message boards from this season moaning about Parker during all their frustrating nil- nils. And I’m sure Leeds will have been yelling that Farke should be sacked every time they slipped into 2nd or 3rd! If clubs actually did it every time, we’d all be appointing each others’ managers about once a month, then being shocked and amazed that it’s almost exactly the same as it was under the last guy!
Directors sack managers because it’s a fairly easy, relatively inexpensive way to change something - in the hope it makes something different happen. Some directors / owners do this repeatedly and don’t actually fundamentally do anything else to improve the football club - unsurprisingly it doesn’t work, and the instability brings failure more often than not.
I get why people are disappointed. But if we get into a cycle of sack the manager, sack the next manager, sack him as well quick, then I don’t see a positive future ahead. The new owners need to consider everything: development of the Cat 1 academy, scouting network and systematic identification of targets, recruitment and transfer negotiation strategies, long-term vision, playing staff, and - calmly and collectively - manager’s position.
The last one should be changed when a suitable replacement has been lined up and is ready to go, when the change is most likely to provide long-term success, and done in a way that provides good value financially and maintains the club’s reputation as a well-run outfit.
Basically, I don’t think sacking a manager a few days before the play-offs and giving the job to anyone who’s currently available is a suggestion that anyone should even give a moment’s consideration to.