Final Table Analysis

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ucandomagic

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It's quite interesting to look below for any patterns in the final table that might give a bit of insight on our season over all.

It seems to me that the table breaks into 4 blocks. Unsurprisingly we took most points off the bottom teams (30 from the bottom 7) and very few points from the very top teams. However, we did significantly better against the teams just above us than we did against the teams just below us.

Could it be that we have significantly lifted our game when we might realistically be regarded as underdogs, but that we have been too relaxed against teams that are probably similar to us.

In Tufty's 4 years we have built our seasons on being brutally efficient against the lower teams - several quotes referred to us as flat track bullies last year (we didn't lose to anybody below tenth). That carried on this year, but our season was made special by taking 20 points off Chelsea, Spurs, Arsenal, Wolves and Burnley. Did we lift our game - or did they underestimate us, as perhaps we did against Southampton, Everton and Newcastle? Everton is quite interesting - as Everton away seemed like a big game at the time, but we competed all over the pitch and pinched a win. By the time it came round to Everton at home we almost felt superior to them, failed to compete and got beaten.

2019 20 Final.jpg
 



To see how much we were lauded for our unbeaten away record, I didn’t realise we’d only won 4 on the road. One more than the the 06/07 season.
 
Interesting to see it set out like that. We're operating on fine margins with all those draws and 1-0 wins. Which way will we go next season?

I think CW will be disappointed to have ended the season on a (short) downward curve and his borderline insane focus on high standards and continuous improvement will hopefully see us right next season.
 
It's quite interesting to look below for any patterns in the final table that might give a bit of insight on our season over all.

It seems to me that the table breaks into 4 blocks. Unsurprisingly we took most points off the bottom teams (30 from the bottom 7) and very few points from the very top teams. However, we did significantly better against the teams just above us than we did against the teams just below us.

Could it be that we have significantly lifted our game when we might realistically be regarded as underdogs, but that we have been too relaxed against teams that are probably similar to us.

In Tufty's 4 years we have built our seasons on being brutally efficient against the lower teams - several quotes referred to us as flat track bullies last year (we didn't lose to anybody below tenth). That carried on this year, but our season was made special by taking 20 points off Chelsea, Spurs, Arsenal, Wolves and Burnley. Did we lift our game - or did they underestimate us, as perhaps we did against Southampton, Everton and Newcastle? Everton is quite interesting - as Everton away seemed like a big game at the time, but we competed all over the pitch and pinched a win. By the time it came round to Everton at home we almost felt superior to them, failed to compete and got beaten.

View attachment 86674

Interesting that although we lost 12 matches in all, we only lost to 7 different teams (or 35% of the sides in the league). Most sides that beat us went on to do the double over us.
 
Very interesting, seems that one of the trends in there is that if we score (Leicester at home and Southampton yesterday apart), we always pick up points. Every score draw besides Wolves we came from behind so almost all were a point gained rather than 2 points lost.

Score first and we're laughing!
 
However, we did significantly better against the teams just above us than we did against the teams just below us.

Could it be that we have significantly lifted our game when we might realistically be regarded as underdogs, but that we have been too relaxed against teams that are probably similar to us.

I think that's trying too hard to read into too small a sample.
 
Very interesting, seems that one of the trends in there is that if we score (Leicester at home and Southampton yesterday apart), we always pick up points. Every score draw besides Wolves we came from behind so almost all were a point gained rather than 2 points lost.

Score first and we're laughing!
Unless we're playing Southampton away of course ;)
 
I think that's trying too hard to read into too small a sample.

Agree with that. I think if we replayed our four games against Newcastle and Southampton it'd be highly unlikely that we lose all four of them - I really have no idea how we failed to take even 1 point out of those games, apart from the fact that football is a low-scoring sport and shit happens.

Basically we were good against everyone but the elite teams, with a bit of inconsistency thrown into the mix - that's why we finished 9th :)
 
Agree with that. I think if we replayed our four games against Newcastle and Southampton it'd be highly unlikely that we lose all four of them - I really have no idea how we failed to take even 1 point out of those games, apart from the fact that football is a low-scoring sport and shit happens.

Basically we were good against everyone but the elite teams, with a bit of inconsistency thrown into the mix - that's why we finished 9th :)

Pretty much. Bad results vs. the very top teams, good results vs. the very bottom, and a mixed bag with the ones around us., leaving us about half-way up.
 
Agree with that. I think if we replayed our four games against Newcastle and Southampton it'd be highly unlikely that we lose all four of them - I really have no idea how we failed to take even 1 point out of those games, apart from the fact that football is a low-scoring sport and shit happens.

Basically we were good against everyone but the elite teams, with a bit of inconsistency thrown into the mix - that's why we finished 9th :)

Data usually contains anomalies and for me this year it was Newcastle, I expected 6 points from them, 4 at worst.

I’m not complaining about Saint-Maximin’s goal at the Lane, but the second goal fuckup made our heads drop (only time I’ve see that this season) especially coming in the 70 minute. Up to that point I was still confident for a win.

The away game could never be regarded as a normal Blades performance, lock down, a soft red, no fans and Newcastle having an on day.

So lets not read too much into Newcastle this season, and move on.
 



It's quite interesting to look below for any patterns in the final table that might give a bit of insight on our season over all.

It seems to me that the table breaks into 4 blocks. Unsurprisingly we took most points off the bottom teams (30 from the bottom 7) and very few points from the very top teams. However, we did significantly better against the teams just above us than we did against the teams just below us.

Could it be that we have significantly lifted our game when we might realistically be regarded as underdogs, but that we have been too relaxed against teams that are probably similar to us.

In Tufty's 4 years we have built our seasons on being brutally efficient against the lower teams - several quotes referred to us as flat track bullies last year (we didn't lose to anybody below tenth). That carried on this year, but our season was made special by taking 20 points off Chelsea, Spurs, Arsenal, Wolves and Burnley. Did we lift our game - or did they underestimate us, as perhaps we did against Southampton, Everton and Newcastle? Everton is quite interesting - as Everton away seemed like a big game at the time, but we competed all over the pitch and pinched a win. By the time it came round to Everton at home we almost felt superior to them, failed to compete and got beaten.

View attachment 86674

That graphic is actually really interesting.
 
Interesting analysis.
I didn’t realise that we only did the double twice (against palace and Norwich) but had it done to us five times.
Wilder out.
 
No one has mentioned the Dracula effect, We dont seem to play well in the sun

We lost to only 7 sides all season. Only Liverpool lost to fewer teams than us.

Basically, if we lost our first fixture against a side, we were 100% guaranteed to lose the return fixture.

However, where we did not lose the first fixture there was a 12 in 14 chance (85.7%) chance that we would not lose the return fixture and a 7 in 14 chance (50%) that we would win it.

Edit - this was actually meant to be a reply to the post just above yours. Obviously hit the reply button on the wrong post!
 
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It's quite interesting to look below for any patterns in the final table that might give a bit of insight on our season over all.

It seems to me that the table breaks into 4 blocks. Unsurprisingly we took most points off the bottom teams (30 from the bottom 7) and very few points from the very top teams. However, we did significantly better against the teams just above us than we did against the teams just below us.

Could it be that we have significantly lifted our game when we might realistically be regarded as underdogs, but that we have been too relaxed against teams that are probably similar to us.

In Tufty's 4 years we have built our seasons on being brutally efficient against the lower teams - several quotes referred to us as flat track bullies last year (we didn't lose to anybody below tenth). That carried on this year, but our season was made special by taking 20 points off Chelsea, Spurs, Arsenal, Wolves and Burnley. Did we lift our game - or did they underestimate us, as perhaps we did against Southampton, Everton and Newcastle? Everton is quite interesting - as Everton away seemed like a big game at the time, but we competed all over the pitch and pinched a win. By the time it came round to Everton at home we almost felt superior to them, failed to compete and got beaten.

View attachment 86674

To me I look at that table and there is one very clear and obvious thing that jumps out. The top 2 teams are miles ahead of anyone else in terms of points accumulated over the season. And I mean, MILES ahead. Why is that? This is probably the most important "trend" from which other teams can try and learn something by looking at that table. Is it about spending big money? Is it about the quality of the players available? Is it about the quality of the manager and the way he sets the team up to play? Maybe it's about all these things? If these were not football clubs, but businesses, (and yes I know they are businesses too), then that would be the very first thing I would want to know. What is it that the top 2 are doing that the others aren't doing, or not doing as well? Because that, to me, if we can understand it, it the key piece of information for everyone else to learn from. Start by investigating success - always.

At the other end of the table, there's another huge gap, between 19th and 20th place. A gap of 13 points. That is another key observation. If we want to learn "how not to do it" then those numbers suggest there is some learning points to be gained from that. What is it that Norwich City did, or didn't do, that resulted in them being so far behind everybody else, including the other relegated teams?

Outside of the top 2 you've got what may be considered to be "The Top 6 contenders club", teams that finished between 3rd and 10th, all of which were within easy touching distance of a top 6 finish, which of course usually means a chance of European football. And then you've got the "relegation contenders club", which is any team from 13th place downwards.

Based on this and last season's final Premier League tables, 40 points is probably enough to be confident of survival. But we shouldn't be thinking about that either, that's just something to be aware of and have at the back of our minds. What we should be looking to do is to, if we want to improve, is to better understand what is driving the success of the top 2 teams, and try and emulate that to the best of our ability, (it may not be possible in some areas, but in others it maybe), and avoid at all costs, whatever it was that Norwich City did.

If you want my take on it, I'd say it's this...

Liverpool and Man City have adopted slightly different approaches to the Premier League. Man City, as we know, have bought up the very best talent in the world, and got a very astute, world-class manager, to shape them into an extremely efficient playing outfit. In particular, their possession play is probably the best of any team in the league. They are very difficult to get the ball off when in possession. Liverpool on the other hand, may not have splashed the cash in such quantity, but what they have got is a very strong defensive spine to the team, and lightning quick forwards. They don't hesitate to go direct when they need to. The "long ball" is not a dirty tactic to them, it's a key tactic to release rapid runners, like Mane, Salah, Firmino. Those guys are also clinical finishers, with 55 goals between them this season.

If Sheffield United wanted to try and close the gap on these top 2 - then they'd have to decide whether to go for a Man City type approach, and mop up some expensive world talent to let Wilder mould them into a high possession team, or whether they'd take more of a Liverpool approach and introduce more pace and clinical finishing to the current squad? To me, the first option isn't an option, because we don't have the finances to do it, but we do have the possibility of introducing faster, more clinical players into the team - and that's what I'm hoping will happen to our club this summer. To me, it's probably the most important thing we can do to improve the side.

And the lesson to be learned from Norwich City's plight this season, is if you don't strengthen then you don't survive - simple as that.
 
There will as we all know always be oddities that won’t occur next year. Lockdown, lack of early season injuries and suspensions, an early Moose on fire, Lundstram’s big toe and pre Berge form, Villa VAR farce and Dubrovka’s Lane performance won’t be repeated.

Equally, Man U pre Fernandes and Arsenal and Spurs in managerial mid season messes won’t be the same next year. Even Watford’s Xmas time revival under Piggyson was odd.

Chelsea like Man U have settled down and will only get stronger. Wolves and Burnley pretty stable too. Even Newcastle improved under Bruce despite backroom battles and Everton once Ancelooti landed are starting to play more like their level of investment.

Wolves have done incredibly well in stabilising and building To enable them to learn from being in Europe.

My simple take is we were unlucky in a few games but a lot of the traditional top 10 finishers (not Liverpool or Man City) had very unusual seasons mainly linked to managers and they all seem to have got better as the season has gone on.

Next season will be a lot harder as teams will invest on top of their past investments, our players and style are more known and managerial stability will bring consistency to the traditional top finishers and those just outside.

As for us, we have the manager and some decent players who we need to keep to survive. We all know where our player investment is needed and without a Premier quality goalkeeper and goal getter (even 10 goals would be good) I doubt sadly we will reach this seasons heights, just cause of how the opposition will be spending, and settling.

However, one thing is VERY clear. I’d much rather be writing this, than considering how we would face getting promoted from the Championship...
 
There will as we all know always be oddities that won’t occur next year. Lockdown, lack of early season injuries and suspensions, an early Moose on fire, Lundstram’s big toe and pre Berge form, Villa VAR farce and Dubrovka’s Lane performance won’t be repeated.

Equally, Man U pre Fernandes and Arsenal and Spurs in managerial mid season messes won’t be the same next year. Even Watford’s Xmas time revival under Piggyson was odd.

Chelsea like Man U have settled down and will only get stronger. Wolves and Burnley pretty stable too. Even Newcastle improved under Bruce despite backroom battles and Everton once Ancelooti landed are starting to play more like their level of investment.

Wolves have done incredibly well in stabilising and building To enable them to learn from being in Europe.

My simple take is we were unlucky in a few games but a lot of the traditional top 10 finishers (not Liverpool or Man City) had very unusual seasons mainly linked to managers and they all seem to have got better as the season has gone on.

Next season will be a lot harder as teams will invest on top of their past investments, our players and style are more known and managerial stability will bring consistency to the traditional top finishers and those just outside.

As for us, we have the manager and some decent players who we need to keep to survive. We all know where our player investment is needed and without a Premier quality goalkeeper and goal getter (even 10 goals would be good) I doubt sadly we will reach this seasons heights, just cause of how the opposition will be spending, and settling.

However, one thing is VERY clear. I’d much rather be writing this, than considering how we would face getting promoted from the Championship...

There will always be a few teams who change manager during the season. Any team is only 5-10 bad results away from a managerial change.

If Ole has a terrible start or Lampard does after some summer spending, the knives will be out.

For me the early candidates for a sacking are Hodgson and Mourinho. Turgid football can only be condoned when results are going your way.
 
To me I look at that table and there is one very clear and obvious thing that jumps out. The top 2 teams are miles ahead of anyone else in terms of points accumulated over the season. And I mean, MILES ahead. Why is that? This is probably the most important "trend" from which other teams can try and learn something by looking at that table. Is it about spending big money? Is it about the quality of the players available? Is it about the quality of the manager and the way he sets the team up to play? Maybe it's about all these things? If these were not football clubs, but businesses, (and yes I know they are businesses too), then that would be the very first thing I would want to know. What is it that the top 2 are doing that the others aren't doing, or not doing as well? Because that, to me, if we can understand it, it the key piece of information for everyone else to learn from. Start by investigating success - always.

At the other end of the table, there's another huge gap, between 19th and 20th place. A gap of 13 points. That is another key observation. If we want to learn "how not to do it" then those numbers suggest there is some learning points to be gained from that. What is it that Norwich City did, or didn't do, that resulted in them being so far behind everybody else, including the other relegated teams?

Outside of the top 2 you've got what may be considered to be "The Top 6 contenders club", teams that finished between 3rd and 10th, all of which were within easy touching distance of a top 6 finish, which of course usually means a chance of European football. And then you've got the "relegation contenders club", which is any team from 13th place downwards.

Based on this and last season's final Premier League tables, 40 points is probably enough to be confident of survival. But we shouldn't be thinking about that either, that's just something to be aware of and have at the back of our minds. What we should be looking to do is to, if we want to improve, is to better understand what is driving the success of the top 2 teams, and try and emulate that to the best of our ability, (it may not be possible in some areas, but in others it maybe), and avoid at all costs, whatever it was that Norwich City did.

If you want my take on it, I'd say it's this...

Liverpool and Man City have adopted slightly different approaches to the Premier League. Man City, as we know, have bought up the very best talent in the world, and got a very astute, world-class manager, to shape them into an extremely efficient playing outfit. In particular, their possession play is probably the best of any team in the league. They are very difficult to get the ball off when in possession. Liverpool on the other hand, may not have splashed the cash in such quantity, but what they have got is a very strong defensive spine to the team, and lightning quick forwards. They don't hesitate to go direct when they need to. The "long ball" is not a dirty tactic to them, it's a key tactic to release rapid runners, like Mane, Salah, Firmino. Those guys are also clinical finishers, with 55 goals between them this season.

If Sheffield United wanted to try and close the gap on these top 2 - then they'd have to decide whether to go for a Man City type approach, and mop up some expensive world talent to let Wilder mould them into a high possession team, or whether they'd take more of a Liverpool approach and introduce more pace and clinical finishing to the current squad? To me, the first option isn't an option, because we don't have the finances to do it, but we do have the possibility of introducing faster, more clinical players into the team - and that's what I'm hoping will happen to our club this summer. To me, it's probably the most important thing we can do to improve the side.

And the lesson to be learned from Norwich City's plight this season, is if you don't strengthen then you don't survive - simple as that.

You’re spot on with this, I totally agree with you on the Man City approach, they are very efficient and clinical, but also cold and boring to watch, I wouldn’t want any club to go this way.

We do need a fast striker who can run at defenders but we also need more accuracy in the box for set piece deliveries, Oli is particularly weak with his head.

For me its as simple as more goals, conceding 39 is a great achievement and it would have been less without the post lockdown blip, but scoring 39 just isn’t good enough if we want to avoid relegation battles in the future.

Before anyone thinks we were 20 points from relegation, take a look at the results.

We won 14 but 9 of those wins were by 1 goal and we drew 12, how many of those wins could have been draws and how many of those draws could have been losses, first game at Bournemouth could easily have been a loss and so could Man U at home, VAR could have gone against us against West Ham giving us a draw, we were a lot closer to 15 points less than many people think we were.

Compare this to Liverpool 18 games won by more than 1 goal and Man City 20 games won by more than 1 goal and its easy to see where we have to improve.

Defence wise we are solid and CWAK seem to have the divine ability to pick up defenders for very little money and mould them into what we want, but we just can’t do that with strikers at premier league level, we have to be spending 20 plus million and we have to be buying a finished product not someone we can bring up to standard.

To sum up;

Defence, sorted.

Playing out from the back and delivering balls into the channels, sorted.

Winning the ball in midfield, not quite there but fixable.

An attacking midfielder who can run with the ball and deliver down the middle, wanted.

A quick striker who can pass the last defender and score 9 out 10 when 1-on-1 with the keeper, wanted.

A clinical goal mouth poacher, one touch finisher, defenders worst nightmare. Wanted.

Personally;

I always walk down the kop steps and on to Shoreham Street after a win with a feeling of elation, but this season I’ve done this quite a few times after a nervous last 10 minutes. I want us to get back to taking games by the scruff of the neck and winning without ever looking like losing.
 

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