MobileBlade
Well-Known Member
I thought we had agreed 120 combination were possible at the start? I got lost in amongst the inplay stuff!I wonder if Mobile is still sat in front of The One Show waiting for the other 472 ties to be drawn
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I thought we had agreed 120 combination were possible at the start? I got lost in amongst the inplay stuff!I wonder if Mobile is still sat in front of The One Show waiting for the other 472 ties to be drawn
Look what you did, you monster!Seriously though,
What are the odds on drawing them mugs? My head is fried. I don't do maths like that anymore.
Prince @raul has already done that feeble joke.
Second!
Wow.......
I realise that this is now completely non Blades related, but that Monty Hall problem is really interesting (to me at least).Many readers of vos Savant's column refused to believe switching is beneficial despite her explanation. After the problem appeared in Parade, approximately 10,000 readers, including nearly 1,000 with PhDs, wrote to the magazine, most of them claiming vos Savant was wrong (Tierney 1991). Even when given explanations, simulations, and formal mathematical proofs, many people still do not accept that switching is the best strategy (vos Savant 1991a). Paul Erdős, one of the most prolific mathematicians in history, remained unconvinced until he was shown a computer simulation demonstrating vos Savant’s predicted result (Vazsonyi 1999).
It happens to the best of us......
I've had it explained (without shouting 1/15 1/15 1/15 aggressively or typing p and numbers many times.) not only as to where I went wrong but why and the reasoning behind my error. Which l did ask for yesterday evening.
I was clearly wrong.
As a wise man might say, "glistens, fucking glistens"
Yeah. The way I see it, if your first choice was a 1 in 3, you’re more likely to have got it wrong than you are right. So, if you’re more likely to have got it wrong and you eliminate one of the other options, the one left is the most probable winner.I realise that this is now completely non Blades related, but that Monty Hall problem is really interesting (to me at least).
Yeah. The way I see it, if your first choice was a 1 in 3, you’re more likely to have got it wrong than you are right. So, if you’re more likely to have got it wrong and you eliminate one of the other options, the one left is the most probable winner.
That's right, and is a very neat and simple explanation - as counter-intuitive as it is.Yeah. The way I see it, if your first choice was a 1 in 3, you’re more likely to have got it wrong than you are right. So, if you’re more likely to have got it wrong and you eliminate one of the other options, the one left is the most probable winner.
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