Ollessendro
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Good work grafikhaus. Keep the analysis up! Be really interesting to see how this progresses.
I have heard a few people saying that the league is competitive this year and many saying it is shit. The big question will how many points we need to get to go up. It is way too early for this, but I had 30 mins spare on my lunch break and thought I'd pull out the points of the top 3 from the last 20 years:
we all know last season
2010-2011: Brighton 95, Southampton 92 - 3rd Udders 87
09-2010: Norwich 95, Leeds 86 - Milwall 85
08-09: Leicester 97, Peterborugh 89 - MK Dons 87
07-08: Swansea 92, Forrest 82 - Donny 80
06-07: Scunny 91, Bristol C 85 - Blackpool 83
05-06: Southend 82, Colchester 79 - Brentford 76
04-05: Luton 98, Hull 86 - Tranmere 79
03-04: Plymouth 90, QPR 83 - Bristol C 82
02-03: Wigan 100), Crewe 86 - Bristol C 83
01-02: Brighton 90, Reading 84 - Brentford 83
00-01: Milwall 91, Rotherham 93 - Reading 86
99-00: PNE 95, Burnley 88 - Gillingham 85
98-99: Fulham 101, Walsall 87 - Man City 82
97-98: Watford 88, Bristol C 85 - Grimsby 72
96-97: Bury 84, Stockport 82 - Luton 78
95-96: Swindon 96, Oxford 83 - Blackpool 82
94-95: Brm 89, Brentford 85 - Crewe 83
93-94: Reading 89, Port Vale 88 - Plymouth 85
So looking at the 3rd place teams and the points needed to get promotion:
- Range 76-90
Mean average = 82.5
Median = 83
Mode = 83
83 is the magic number!
Let's hope we are looking at a 04-05 or 05-06! Even an 07-08. The last few years the points have been quite high, but I think in each of the last few years there have been some good sides. I am not sure that is the case for this season.
Looking at it from a historical perspective suggests that getting in the mid 80's will get you up. Our current form would leave us just short (shown by grafikaus analysis) but would take us up if the points score is a lower one (like in 5 of the last 19).