Pathway to the Playoffs

[Kozzy_is_my_Dad]

Updated:

6W1D (2.71pts/Game) - 19pts
Home: Oxford, Wednesday, Wrexham, Swansea, Hull, Blackburn, PNE

3W2D (2.2pts/Game) - 11pts (-1.4pts)
Home: Boro, Ipswich (W), Coventry, WBA
Away: Charlton (L)

2W2L (1.5pts/Game) - 6pts (-0.5pts)
Away: Millwall (D), Norwich, Bristol, Derby

2W3L (1.2pts/Game) - 6pts (-1.2pts)
Away: Southampton (L), Portsmouth, QPR, Birmingham, Watford


Based on Months and fixture strength that looks like this:

Jan: 7pts from 4 games (1.75pts/Game - 2W1D1L)
CHA (A), SOU (A), IPS (H), MIL (A)
Jan: 4pts from 4 games (1pt/game - 1W1D2L) -3pts

Feb: 12pts from 6 games (2.0pts/Game - 4W2L)
OXF (H), MID (H), POR (A), SHW (H), COV (H), QPR (A)

March: 8pts from 4 games (2.0pts/Game - 2W2D)
WBA (H), NOR (A), BIR (A), WRE (H)

April/May: 15pts from 7 games (2.14pts/Game - 5W2L)
SWA (H), BRI (A), HUL (H), WAT (A), BLA (H), PNE (H), DER (A)

Right now I think we are 3pts behind schedule - and I assess out chances of getting to 74pts as being as 29%, need 2.23ppg. Its going to take something really special to turn this around now. We'll need to win the next 3 to get back on schedule.

 

[JT89]

Until they lost at home to Wrexham at the weekend it was still mathematically possible for Wednesday to make the play-offs. Just some context for those of you keeping the delusion alive.

 

[54yrblade]

The thought of the play offs and going to the PL leaves me utterly cold, given our set up and inconsistency.

10th - 16th finish and build for next season.

 

[SUFCScorecard]

Updated:

6W1D (2.7pts/Game) - 19pts (+0.3pts)
Home: Oxford (W), Wednesday, Wrexham, Swansea, Hull, Blackburn, PNE

3W2D (2.2pts/Game) - 11pts (-1.4pts)
Home: Boro, Ipswich (W), Coventry, WBA
Away: Charlton (L)

2W2L (1.5pts/Game) - 6pts (-0.5pts)
Away: Millwall (D), Norwich, Bristol, Derby

2W3L (1.2pts/Game) - 6pts (-1.2pts)
Away: Southampton (L), Portsmouth, QPR, Birmingham, Watford


Based on Months and fixture strength that looks like this:

Jan: 7pts from 4 games (1.75pts/Game - 2W1D1L)
CHA (A), SOU (A), IPS (H), MIL (A)
Jan: 4pts from 4 games (1pt/game - 1W1D2L) -3pts

Feb: 12pts from 6 games (2.0pts/Game - 4W2L)
OXF (H), MID (H), POR (A), SHW (H), COV (H), QPR (A)

March: 8pts from 4 games (2.0pts/Game - 2W2D)
WBA (H), NOR (A), BIR (A), WRE (H)

April/May: 15pts from 7 games (2.14pts/Game - 5W2L)
SWA (H), BRI (A), HUL (H), WAT (A), BLA (H), PNE (H), DER (A)

We are still ~3pts behind schedule - and I assess out chances of getting to 74pts as being as 30%, needing 2.18ppg. The Oxford win doesn't change much, as it was almost a given that we would win it if we were to get to 74pts.

 

[derfblade.3]

The thought of the play offs and going to the PL leaves me utterly cold, given our set up and inconsistency.

10th - 16th finish and build for next season.

So you want us to lose a few?

 

[GreasyChipBeattie]

We're 8 points off the play-offs with 48 to play for.
Feel free to call those believing it's possible 'delusional', but do put your house on us not making them at the same time if you're so convinced

 

[UddersBlade]

We need to just try & win every game. Play front foot football - and not the cautious first 30 mins tonight. With the team / squad we have now - we can beat every other team in this league. Make no mistake - no-one will be looking forward to playing us.

My gut feeling is that we’ll still fall just short …..but Enjoy the ride over the next 16 games ….. could be exciting after all.

 

[Old Programme seller]

It’s a poor poor division after a brilliant start by Coventry the top 2 teams are averaging under 2 pts a game in most seasons at least one team exceeds 2 pts, we could have pissed this league if the board had chosen wisely

 

[Hollinsend]

2016/17 played Oxford at home after a tough away trip to Millwall. Went a goal down and came back to win. It's a sign.

 

[blade too long]

We are only 6 points off Derby in 7th the rest of feb could see us do that..not to panic but focùs on 2.25 points per game which gives us 75 points whuch means 3 defeats and 1 draw only out of laat 16
Remember though bristol snatched 6th last season with 68 points zo could be more leeway. possibly

 

[HarryHaslam]

We can do it

 

[54yrblade]

So you want us to lose a few?

No. Just pragmatic.

 

[Bladesman]

 

[SUFCScorecard]

1.93 ppg (89pts over a season).

We'll need to up that to 2.18 (100pts over a season) for the rest of the season to get to 74pts. Whether 74 will be enough I'm not sure. With so many teams in the hunt, you could see a few breaking out and going on a run. If the standard ends up in the high 70s I don't think we have enough games to get there.

 

[ancientblade]

It’s a poor poor division after a brilliant start by Coventry the top 2 teams are averaging under 2 pts a game in most seasons at least one team exceeds 2 pts, we could have pissed this league if the board had chosen wisely

i can see coventry ending up in the play offs i fancy boro and ipswich for top 2

 

[Champagneblade]

We're 8 points off the play-offs with 48 to play for.
Feel free to call those believing it's possible 'delusional', but do put your house on us not making them at the same time if you're so convinced

Welcome to the forum Mr Chansiri

 

[Ndiayewillalwaysloveyou]

Updated:

6W1D (2.7pts/Game) - 19pts (+0.3pts)
Home: Oxford (W), Wednesday, Wrexham, Swansea, Hull, Blackburn, PNE

3W2D (2.2pts/Game) - 11pts (-1.4pts)
Home: Boro, Ipswich (W), Coventry, WBA
Away: Charlton (L)

2W2L (1.5pts/Game) - 6pts (-0.5pts)
Away: Millwall (D), Norwich, Bristol, Derby

2W3L (1.2pts/Game) - 6pts (-1.2pts)
Away: Southampton (L), Portsmouth, QPR, Birmingham, Watford

Beat Pigs, Wrexham, Swansea, Blackburn and Preston. Draw with Wrexham

Beat Boro and WBA. Draw with Coventry.

Beat Norwich and Bristol. Lose to Derby.

Beat Pompey and QPR. Lose to Birmingham and Watford.

1 point short.

 

[Melbourne Blade]

I can see Boro and Hull top 2. Ipswich have been average recently (we proved that!).

A few teams will shit themselves in the Easter week 3 gamer which is usually the tell-tale sign of who'll make top 2 or playoffs.

I'm 60% confident we'll sneak 6th place but we have a very very tough Feb and a few gotcha games in March. The Derby final game could be a 6th place decider and we can all guess who'll step up to score their winning goal to break our hearts.

 

[Dkc]

I can see Boro and Hull top 2. Ipswich have been average recently (we proved that!).

A few teams will shit themselves in the Easter week 3 gamer which is usually the tell-tale sign of who'll make top 2 or playoffs.

I'm 60% confident we'll sneak 6th place but we have a very very tough Feb and a few gotcha games in March. The Derby final game could be a 6th place decider and we can all guess who'll step up to score their winning goal to break our hearts.

If he's fit

 

[ATL Recs]

Beat Pigs, Wrexham, Swansea, Blackburn and Preston. Draw with Wrexham

Beat Boro and WBA. Draw with Coventry.

Beat Norwich and Bristol. Lose to Derby.

Beat Pompey and QPR. Lose to Birmingham and Watford.

1 point short.

How can we beat Wrexham and draw with Wrexham and where is Hull game
I can only see 6 wins there unless I put these special Rose coloured with deludamol glasses on

 

[Tythblade]

It's going to be difficult to close the gap, with the tremendous form that we've had over the last 15 games as per the table above we are only 4 points better than Millwall but currently we have 8 points to make up on the play offs, we need a few of the teams above us to have a bad run, I can't see enough of them doing that, or we have an even better run than we've just had, to close the gap.

 

[Dutch Blade]

I think that if we score at least 10 points out of the next 4 games, we will have a real shot. However, given that we play Boro and Coventry City, that's not exactly a given.

 

[KMC-1889]

We're 8 points off the play-offs with 48 to play for.
Feel free to call those believing it's possible 'delusional', but do put your house on us not making them at the same time if you're so convinced

It’s less about the points and more about the traffic in front of us. We need at least 8 teams to have worse form than us between now and the end of the season.