Pathway to the Playoffs

[nottingham blades]

I would like us to reach the play offs when we have a team that would have a sniff of competing in the top tier, last time was a complete season long embarrassment and that side was stronger than this.

I’m happy to just get the money and yoyo with a big advantage I championship

 

[Fjortoft's Aeroplane]

This season it’s felt like every time there has been an opportunity to get into that midtable pack we’ve shot ourselves in the foot.

Monday is must win, we can’t let another opportunity pass us by. It’s unlikely we get many, if any more.

I don't see Monday as a "must win", however should we not win then Portsmouth away is probably a "must win".

 

[Fjortoft's Aeroplane]

Win Monday and we're down to 5pts

Was great seeing both Wrexham and Derby lose yesterday. Hoping we can pick up at least 3 pts from the next 2 games, then a win over the pigs should see us offically "in the race".

 

[Champagneblade]

Keep saying it but win to it home games and draw to it away games.

There is of course the argument that means getting 7 points from the next three. I don’t suppose it really matters how they come.

Then again I’m not against us hitting 87 points and going up automatically

 

[mattbianco1]

Whilst it is impressive we actually haven't gained more than 5 points on anyone currently in the playoffs in 15 matches, and there are only 16 to go

I bet we have.

Who was 6th and 7th 15 games ago? Wrexham were down in bottom half for ages.

 

[SUFCScorecard]

Updated:

6W1D (2.7pts/Game) - 19pts (+0.3pts)
Home: Oxford (W), Wednesday, Wrexham, Swansea, Hull, Blackburn, PNE

3W2D (2.2pts/Game) - 11pts (-3.6pts)
Home: Boro (L), Ipswich (W), Coventry, WBA
Away: Charlton (L)

2W2L (1.5pts/Game) - 6pts (-0.5pts)
Away: Millwall (D), Norwich, Bristol, Derby

2W3L (1.2pts/Game) - 6pts (-1.2pts)
Away: Southampton (L), Portsmouth, QPR, Birmingham, Watford


Based on Months and fixture strength that looks like this:

Jan: 7pts from 4 games (1.75pts/Game - 2W1D1L)
CHA (A), SOU (A), IPS (H), MIL (A)
Jan: 4pts from 4 games (1pt/game - 1W1D2L) -3pts

Feb: 12pts from 6 games (2.0pts/Game - 4W2L)
OXF (H), MID (H), POR (A), SHW (H), COV (H), QPR (A)

March: 8pts from 4 games (2.0pts/Game - 2W2D)
WBA (H), NOR (A), BIR (A), WRE (H)

April/May: 15pts from 7 games (2.14pts/Game - 5W2L)
SWA (H), BRI (A), HUL (H), WAT (A), BLA (H), PNE (H), DER (A)

Probably too much to ask now. Going to have to be close to perfect. We are 5pts behind schedule now, and for us to recover that we'll need to win the next 4. I'm currently giving us a 20% chance we make it to 74pts, though I'm increasingly convinced that the standard is going to be higher than that with so many teams chasing that 6th spot, its likely someone will go on a run.