Pathway to the Playoffs

[SUFCScorecard]

Getting to the playoffs is going to be really difficult and will be a huge achievement for Wilder - up there with his best at the club. Looking at the fixtures for the remainder of the season this is what I see as our path.

My assumption that we will need 74 pts (1.61pts/Game) to have a chance of play off. 74pts was good enough 5 of the last 10 seasons including the last 3. Watford in 6th, however, are earning enough pts per game for 75pts.

To get to 74 pts we need 42 pts out of 21 games (2pts/game which is the same as last season 92pts over a whole season)

Here is the path as I see it:

6W1D (2.71pts/Game) - 19pts
Home: Oxford**, Wednesday, West Brom, Swansea, Blackburn
Away: Charlton, Portsmouth

3W1D1L (2pts/Game) - 10pts
Home: Boro, Wrexham, Hull, Preston*
Away: Derby

2W1D1L (1.75pts/Game) - 7pts
Away: Southampton, Millwall, QPR*, Birmingham

2W3L (1.2pts/Game) - 6pts
Home: Ipswich*, Coventry*
Away: Norwich*, Watford, Bristol*

* Games will be played after 3 day break
** Most likely rearranged to Feb 3 or Feb 14, if rearranged to Feb 3 will be played after 3 day break.

Based on Months and fixture strength that looks like this:

Jan: 7pts from 4 games (1.75pts/Game - 2W1D1L)
CHA (A), SOU (A), IPS (H), MIL (A)

Feb: 13pts from 6 games (2.17pts/Game - 4W1D1L)
OXF (H)**, MID (H), POR (A), SHW (H), COV (H), QPR (A)

March: 7pts from 4 games (1.75pts/Game - 2W1D1L)
WBA (H), NOR (A), BIR (A), WRE (H)

April/May: 15pts from 7 games (2.14pts/Game - 5W2L)
SWA (H), BRI (A), HUL (H), WAT (A), BLA (H), PNE (H), DER (A)


Its going to be really difficult to achieve this, and I don't have high confidence that we will. If we get behind this schedule, its going to be really difficult to get back on it, with very little room for error. We may not break into the the top 6 even until April even on this schedule.

 

[SwitchBLADE Smiles]

Ultimately, as much as we can look to seasons gone and how many points we would theoretically need to attain a 6th placed finish, we also need to understand that there are currently 10 other teams who are in a better position than we are, also looking to get the same result.

It’s nice to think about and be hopefully for but despite how nice it is to currently have a Sheffield United team that are looking to go out and thrash sides every week, our actual chances of sneaking into the play offs are very slim. All the club can do is continue to put points on the board and hope that we’re somehow better than at least 10 other clubs between now and May.

1 game at a time kids.

 

[I should coco]

Getting to the playoffs is going to be really difficult and will be a huge achievement for Wilder - up there with his best at the club. Looking at the fixtures for the remainder of the season this is what I see as our path.

My assumption that we will need 74 pts (1.61pts/Game) to have a chance of play off. 74pts was good enough 5 of the last 10 seasons including the last 3. Watford in 6th, however, are earning enough pts per game for 75pts.

To get to 74 pts we need 42 pts out of 21 games (2pts/game which is the same as last season 92pts over a whole season)

Here is the path as I see it:

6W1D (2.71pts/Game) - 19pts
Home: Oxford**, Wednesday, West Brom, Swansea, Blackburn
Away: Charlton, Portsmouth

3W1D1L (2pts/Game) - 10pts
Home: Boro, Wrexham, Hull, Preston*
Away: Derby

2W1D1L (1.75pts/Game) - 7pts
Away: Southampton, Millwall, QPR*, Birmingham

2W3L (1.2pts/Game) - 6pts
Home: Ipswich*, Coventry*
Away: Norwich*, Watford, Bristol*

* Games will be played after 3 day break
** Most likely rearranged to Feb 3 or Feb 14, if rearranged to Feb 3 will be played after 3 day break.

Based on Months and fixture strength that looks like this:

Jan: 7pts from 4 games (1.75pts/Game - 2W1D1L)
CHA (A), SOU (A), IPS (H), MIL (A)

Feb: 13pts from 6 games (2.17pts/Game - 4W1D1L)
OXF (H)**, MID (H), POR (A), SHW (H), COV (H), QPR (A)

March: 7pts from 4 games (1.75pts/Game - 2W1D1L)
WBA (H), NOR (A), BIR (A), WRE (H)

April/May: 15pts from 7 games (2.14pts/Game - 5W2L)
SWA (H), BRI (A), HUL (H), WAT (A), BLA (H), PNE (H), DER (A)


Its going to be really difficult to achieve this, and I don't have high confidence that we will. If we get behind this schedule, its going to be really difficult to get back on it, with very little room for error. We may not break into the the top 6 even until April even on this schedule.

One man's 'path', is another's impassible mountain track.
Sure footed goats, sturdy Sherpas and Hanibal's elephants, will be needed for us to make the play offs.

 

[JayGreen17]

I preferred the post with the bottles, weerz it gone?

 

[DifferentClass]

If we mek playoffs I'll streak onto the (hopefully not frozen) pitch during a match wearing nowt but a Barry Bannan mask and wank into the centre circle.

 

[raimond]

Here's the path as I see it...try and win and shit. Repeatedly. See what happens.

 

[Snowflake]

If we mek playoffs I'll streak onto the (hopefully not frozen) pitch during a match wearing nowt but a Barry Bannan mask and wank into the centre circle.

Sadly this vision has made me hope we come 7th

 

[knowsnowt]

If we mek playoffs I'll streak onto the (hopefully not frozen) pitch during a match wearing nowt but a Barry Bannan mask and wank into the centre circle.

Uncle Susan says she will match that if you take him for a pint after.

 

[BazWainwright]

And we make the playoffs.

Then what? History tells me we bottle it.

 

[Kenilworth]

If we mek playoffs I'll streak onto the (hopefully not frozen) pitch during a match wearing nowt but a Barry Bannan mask and wank into the centre circle.

Bookmarked

 

[Zero dark thirty]

If we mek playoffs I'll streak onto the (hopefully not frozen) pitch during a match wearing nowt but a Barry Bannan mask and wank into the centre circle.

If you bring Gemma Atkinson then im with you

 

[nopigfansintown]

Win the next ten then reassess.

 

[djbaldken]

Sadly this vision has made me hope we come 7th

Sadly this vision will make sure I never come again!

 

[Selly]

Win the next ten then reassess.

Win the next 10 and I'd expect us to be in the automatic promotion race (albeit 5-6 points behind)

 

[LBA_Blade]

One man's 'path', is another's impassible mountain track.
Sure footed goats, sturdy Sherpas and Hanibal's elephants, will be needed for us to make the play offs.

Somebody got an inspirational quote fridge magnet for Christmas!