tomtheblade
Active Member
Yeah it's true, looking at only league position is too simplistic really.Agree with 8 matches to play remaining fixture difficulty was almost identical, 4-4.
We had the harder game against Bristol City compared to Leeds playing Millwall.
And again today we had the harder fixture playing PNE compared to Leeds playing Birmingham.
Also I don’t tend to takes much notice of league position as some teams are bunched together separated by 1 or 2 points.
Also you have anomalies, for example Brentford are great at home, but poor away.
Even Wigan and Rotherham have excellent home records but are terrible away from home.
Every side has certain tendancies which become clearer as the season progresses. For example, we are poor after international breaks, but we also bounce back well after defeats. Using those two facts you could've correctly predicted our last two results.
Millwall may seem like an easier match, but they are also capable of getting decent results vs the better teams in this league, and came close vs Leeds last week.
Some people on here are saying, dont try to predict anything, take each game as it comes etc etc and the logic makes sense.
However i think it is possible to roughly gauge the upcoming fixtures, but you just have to go more in-depth than league position. There are so many other factors involved, such as home vs away form being one that you mention.