Our weirdly inconsistent season

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BornOnShorehamStreet

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I was looking up something on a database and happened to notice this list of our league matches this season

Inconsistency.png

"So what?", you might say.

Well for some reason, the obvious thing I noticed straight away were the good and bad runs we had and, yes, I know, choosing where a run starts and where a run stops is arbitrary but this is how it looks to me.

I've kept the first two matches as a mini run of their own due to NC buggering about with his initial team selections and the figures show the percentage of wins in each mini run

P 2, Won 0, Drew 0, Lost 2 - 0%

P15, Won 10, Drew 2, Lost 3 - 66%

P6, Won 0, Drew 4, Lost 2 - 0% (4 home matches in that lot)

P9, Won 6, Drew 1, Lost 2 - 66%

P5 ,Won 0, Drew 3, Lost 2 - 0% (drew 3 away matches and lost the 2 home games)

P5, Won 4, Drew 0, Lost 1 - 80%

P3 Won 0, Drew 2, Lost 1 - 0%

I particularly find it odd that two of the mini runs (11 matches) gave us nul points (said in a French accent!) from 6 home games.

Bizarre set of results all round and in some ways, it's no surprise that the team is somewhat confused about whether it is any good or not!

I'm sure you'll see different patterns ;)
 



I was looking up something on a database and happened to notice this list of our league matches this season

View attachment 11398

"So what?", you might say.

Well for some reason, the obvious thing I noticed straight away were the good and bad runs we had and, yes, I know, choosing where a run starts and where a run stops is arbitrary but this is how it looks to me.

I've kept the first two matches as a mini run of their own due to NC buggering about with his initial team selections and the figures show the percentage of wins in each mini run

P 2, Won 0, Drew 0, Lost 2 - 0%

P15, Won 10, Drew 2, Lost 3 - 66%

P6, Won 0, Drew 4, Lost 2 - 0% (4 home matches in that lot)

P9, Won 6, Drew 1, Lost 2 - 66%

P5 ,Won 0, Drew 3, Lost 2 - 0% (drew 3 away matches and lost the 2 home games)

P5, Won 4, Drew 0, Lost 1 - 80%

P3 Won 0, Drew 2, Lost 1 - 0%

I particularly find it odd that two of the mini runs (11 matches) gave us nul points (said in a French accent!) from 6 home games.

Bizarre set of results all round and in some ways, it's no surprise that the team is somewhat confused about whether it is any good or not!

I'm sure you'll see different patterns ;)

Sorry I meant no wins not null points - thought about it too late to edit duh! :D
 
I was looking up something on a database and happened to notice this list of our league matches this season

View attachment 11398

"So what?", you might say.

Well for some reason, the obvious thing I noticed straight away were the good and bad runs we had and, yes, I know, choosing where a run starts and where a run stops is arbitrary but this is how it looks to me.

I've kept the first two matches as a mini run of their own due to NC buggering about with his initial team selections and the figures show the percentage of wins in each mini run

P 2, Won 0, Drew 0, Lost 2 - 0%

P15, Won 10, Drew 2, Lost 3 - 66%

P6, Won 0, Drew 4, Lost 2 - 0% (4 home matches in that lot)

P9, Won 6, Drew 1, Lost 2 - 66%

P5 ,Won 0, Drew 3, Lost 2 - 0% (drew 3 away matches and lost the 2 home games)

P5, Won 4, Drew 0, Lost 1 - 80%

P3 Won 0, Drew 2, Lost 1 - 0%

I particularly find it odd that two of the mini runs (11 matches) gave us nul points (said in a French accent!) from 6 home games.

Bizarre set of results all round and in some ways, it's no surprise that the team is somewhat confused about whether it is any good or not!

I'm sure you'll see different patterns ;)

I put it down to the league just being full of inconsistent teams , and the table could read for a number of other clubs. Take Yeovil for example when they beat us and went on then to win there next match , i think against Swindon , after a losing run.

The thing is which has caused all blades fans frustration , is that we have not been able to take advantage of this , as we thought having the big squad put together by Clough , we could be interchangeable with line ups , and this would not affect performances , This unfortunately has had the opposite affect.

The only team that has not been affected by stop / start and inconsistency , is Bristol City who have raised the bar and expectations.

I think at one time we were 6 points from the top and 9 points from the relegation zone , which shows that all teams are a much of a muchness , and can beat each other on the day.

Bristol City have had pretty much a settled side , which is complete opposite to us . Injuries a side , we still perhaps do not know our best side , ( Barnsley line up and tactics did work ) .

Bizarre league and set of results , but we start with a clean sheet in the play offs , where there is no room for confusion or excuses.

We are in the play offs and its up to Clough to now instil consistency and 100% focus , to win them.

UTB
 
Good post that BOS. Remember saying something along similar lines a few weeks ago.

Clough and the management team must be wondering how the same squad of players are capable of such inconsistency in terms of performances and results. Easy to blame a manager for such inconsistency when the facts you have presented above tend to suggest it's more the players !

Let's hope a good run is just about to commence !!

UTB
 
Good post BoS
My initial reading of that tells me how damaging the very poor runs in November and February were.

In November we had a string of games against lower level opponents and a good number of home games in that lot and we were all saying if we could put a good run of wins together we would be right in there with the pace setters. Alas we had a really poor run and have been playing catch up (not very successfully) ever since.

The February poor run of form put pay to any slim chances we had of competing for automatic promotion.

Overall it says our form is patchy.
We're no where near consistent enough to be at the top but good enough (fingers crossed) to be part of the end of season play offs.

Part of that inconsistency against the mid to lower table sides in our poor runs could be due to those teams relying on more physical players in this division - the top teams tend to attack U.S. and since we are set up to counter that suits us. We have never been equipped to compete on the physical side of league 1 football and that has cost us. You either include physically dominant players in your squad or you have quick and tidy players of a quality that will out-football those slower, less able players. We have attempted the latter but it's plain to see that the players aren't of sufficient quality to play that way.
 
It is a bit weird.
I think I've seen some of the best and worst football for awhile with Nigel's Blades.
 
I remember coming out of the Lane after the Spurs match and thinking if they play like that for the rest of the season, promotion will be a safe bet.

:eek::eek::eek::eek::eek:
 
In an ideal world we win Saturday, Chesterfield lose and relax. We then play them with nothing at stake, crowd WILL get behind the team and i think we would beat them with nothing at stake. That then sets us up perfectly for the playoff IMO, however lose Saturday and...........

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I agree with most of your post but with 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat February wasn't such a bad result - Nightmare November, Diabolical December and Miserable March did for us.

Sorry - I meant that section from end of Feb to mid March - tried reading it without my glasses - schoolboy error - humble apologies.
Thanks for the nudge Cyprers
 
In the summer I think Clough was hoping this would be his first XI:

Howard
Alcock Collins Butler Harris
Flynn Basham Wallace Scougall Murphy
Higdon


On paper it wasn't not too bad.

Defence

For much of the summer we hoped to hold on to Maguire, but even when he left we had big, strong, experienced centre halves. A steady eddie at right back was brought in to replace Brayford, but Clough always hoped he would get Brayford in eventually. To compensate for the (at least temporary) loss of Brayford's attacking input he tried to get Freeman as an option, and he also brought in JCR at right wing, who would be able to create things without the support of an attacking right back. McEveley was signed to provide cover at both centre half and left back, and if chosen in the latter position we'd have a physically very strong back four, with good aerial ability. We also had McGahey and Kennedy.

Midfield

Wallace was going to be our talisman, playmaker and leader in central midfield. Creative and good on the ball he was going to offer more than Doyle going forward, but he's also the type who can stuck in. Basham was signed, to many's surprise, to replace Coady. Not as good on the ball, but fit enough to get into the box and it was hoped that he'd get his share of goals, and he also offered more height and power. In theory this should have helped get even more out of Flynn, Scougall and Murphy who all did very well the previous season. Further creative input was available from Baxter, Reed and Ben Davies.

Forwards

Higdon was also going to offer us more height and strength in this positon. O'Grady remained a target, as did Steve Davies. McNulty was signed and Baxter and Porter were also options that we saw worked ok last season.


So there was reason to hope that we'd be able to put out a team that would have no problems in holding their own physically, while also having some attacking flair that should have been enough to beat most League One sides. We also knew that we had money to improve the squad along the way.



But...

By the start of the season the centre half situation had changed. Collins and Butler both fell out of favour. McCarthy was signed on loan, but circumstances weren't ideal and Basham looked better when he played there. So Basham and McEveley became our first choice centre halves, with that also implying that we lost the option of McEveley at left back and Basham in midifield. In those positions we had to play smaller, weaker players. We started to struggle at set pieces, offensive and defensive, and were bullied in midfield.

In midfield Wallace's season never got going. Scougall and Flynn also had recurring problems with injuries. Doyle returned, and Reed played a lot. Baxter was often used in midfield roles that didn't suit him. Despite these players being good enough for the level we played at, we lost our balance and against opposition teams that were really up for a fight, we looked small, slow and weak.

Up front Higdon struggled and didn't even offer the physical element that we relied upon. Porter hardly got any time on the pitch and soon disappeared. Baxter was tried up front again, but it didn't work as well as last season. McNulty took his chance though, but playing him, a goal scoring all rounder, meant that we again lost height and strength and this was a huge problem for us.


January transfer window

Cup games apart, we had struggled to find any sort of rhythm by the turn of the year. The shape of the team had been changed completely from what we planned originally, so we had a lot to address in the January transfer window. Kieron Wallace and Adams had joined a while before and then Brayford, Freeman, Coutts, Holt, Done and (later) S. Davies were brought in and more or less thrown into the team at a time when we played Saturday-Tuesday-Saturday, i.e. hardly any time for real training and for these new guys to adapt.

I think fans (and the management) underestimated the disadvantage of making signings mid season, compared to pre season. It is easy to just look at the options that are suddenly available and expect the team to suddenly click.

The attempts to use the new players immediately brought further inconsistency. Not all of the signings helped fix our problems with height and strength and we've continued to start games with only a couple of six footers. Niggles and knocks to seemingly half the squad make us look vulnerable as we approach the end of the season.

Optimism, after all

The good thing is that our end of season schedule isn't as tight as it has been. This may give us more time for knocks and niggles to heal, and more time to prepare and train well. If we do get fifth we should have a decent chance to again field a stronger and well balanced team for the Play Offs. It will be time to forget what's happened this season and mobilise everything we've got and show that our maximum level, after all, is higher than the other teams.
 
Correct me if i'm wrong but we haven't played the same 11 for 2 matches running all season. This is probably why we've been so inconsistent
 
If Clough had stuck with collins and butler and actually given them a chance to form a partnership rather then deciding after one bad game in a pre season friendly that it wasn't going to work out we might actually be in a better position now.

Makes his insistence on starting some players regularly even though they are horribly out of form and turning out bad performance after bad performance even more mystifying.
 
Great post BOS. Let's presume from the Oldham game (away) we entered into another bad set of results and that continues with say two draws against Orient and Chesterfield. That sets it up nicely for the start of a winning run for the three Play Off matches.

That's it sorted. We're up! Well done BOS. Dead easy this football lark.
 
In the summer I think Clough was hoping this would be his first XI:

Howard
Alcock Collins Butler Harris
Flynn Basham Wallace Scougall Murphy
Higdon


On paper it wasn't not too bad.

Defence

For much of the summer we hoped to hold on to Maguire, but even when he left we had big, strong, experienced centre halves. A steady eddie at right back was brought in to replace Brayford, but Clough always hoped he would get Brayford in eventually. To compensate for the (at least temporary) loss of Brayford's attacking input he tried to get Freeman as an option, and he also brought in JCR at right wing, who would be able to create things without the support of an attacking right back. McEveley was signed to provide cover at both centre half and left back, and if chosen in the latter position we'd have a physically very strong back four, with good aerial ability. We also had McGahey and Kennedy.

Midfield

Wallace was going to be our talisman, playmaker and leader in central midfield. Creative and good on the ball he was going to offer more than Doyle going forward, but he's also the type who can stuck in. Basham was signed, to many's surprise, to replace Coady. Not as good on the ball, but fit enough to get into the box and it was hoped that he'd get his share of goals, and he also offered more height and power. In theory this should have helped get even more out of Flynn, Scougall and Murphy who all did very well the previous season. Further creative input was available from Baxter, Reed and Ben Davies.

Forwards

Higdon was also going to offer us more height and strength in this positon. O'Grady remained a target, as did Steve Davies. McNulty was signed and Baxter and Porter were also options that we saw worked ok last season.


So there was reason to hope that we'd be able to put out a team that would have no problems in holding their own physically, while also having some attacking flair that should have been enough to beat most League One sides. We also knew that we had money to improve the squad along the way.



But...

By the start of the season the centre half situation had changed. Collins and Butler both fell out of favour. McCarthy was signed on loan, but circumstances weren't ideal and Basham looked better when he played there. So Basham and McEveley became our first choice centre halves, with that also implying that we lost the option of McEveley at left back and Basham in midifield. In those positions we had to play smaller, weaker players. We started to struggle at set pieces, offensive and defensive, and were bullied in midfield.

In midfield Wallace's season never got going. Scougall and Flynn also had recurring problems with injuries. Doyle returned, and Reed played a lot. Baxter was often used in midfield roles that didn't suit him. Despite these players being good enough for the level we played at, we lost our balance and against opposition teams that were really up for a fight, we looked small, slow and weak.

Up front Higdon struggled and didn't even offer the physical element that we relied upon. Porter hardly got any time on the pitch and soon disappeared. Baxter was tried up front again, but it didn't work as well as last season. McNulty took his chance though, but playing him, a goal scoring all rounder, meant that we again lost height and strength and this was a huge problem for us.


January transfer window

Cup games apart, we had struggled to find any sort of rhythm by the turn of the year. The shape of the team had been changed completely from what we planned originally, so we had a lot to address in the January transfer window. Kieron Wallace and Adams had joined a while before and then Brayford, Freeman, Coutts, Holt, Done and (later) S. Davies were brought in and more or less thrown into the team at a time when we played Saturday-Tuesday-Saturday, i.e. hardly any time for real training and for these new guys to adapt.

I think fans (and the management) underestimated the disadvantage of making signings mid season, compared to pre season. It is easy to just look at the options that are suddenly available and expect the team to suddenly click.

The attempts to use the new players immediately brought further inconsistency. Not all of the signings helped fix our problems with height and strength and we've continued to start games with only a couple of six footers. Niggles and knocks to seemingly half the squad make us look vulnerable as we approach the end of the season.

Optimism, after all

The good thing is that our end of season schedule isn't as tight as it has been. This may give us more time for knocks and niggles to heal, and more time to prepare and train well. If we do get fifth we should have a decent chance to again field a stronger and well balanced team for the Play Offs. It will be time to forget what's happened this season and mobilise everything we've got and show that our maximum level, after all, is higher than the other teams.

Excellent post as usual Bergen Blade and I like your final paragraph!
 
In the summer I think Clough was hoping this would be his first XI:

Howard
Alcock Collins Butler Harris
Flynn Basham Wallace Scougall Murphy
Higdon


On paper it wasn't not too bad.

Defence

For much of the summer we hoped to hold on to Maguire, but even when he left we had big, strong, experienced centre halves. A steady eddie at right back was brought in to replace Brayford, but Clough always hoped he would get Brayford in eventually. To compensate for the (at least temporary) loss of Brayford's attacking input he tried to get Freeman as an option, and he also brought in JCR at right wing, who would be able to create things without the support of an attacking right back. McEveley was signed to provide cover at both centre half and left back, and if chosen in the latter position we'd have a physically very strong back four, with good aerial ability. We also had McGahey and Kennedy.

Midfield

Wallace was going to be our talisman, playmaker and leader in central midfield. Creative and good on the ball he was going to offer more than Doyle going forward, but he's also the type who can stuck in. Basham was signed, to many's surprise, to replace Coady. Not as good on the ball, but fit enough to get into the box and it was hoped that he'd get his share of goals, and he also offered more height and power. In theory this should have helped get even more out of Flynn, Scougall and Murphy who all did very well the previous season. Further creative input was available from Baxter, Reed and Ben Davies.

Forwards

Higdon was also going to offer us more height and strength in this positon. O'Grady remained a target, as did Steve Davies. McNulty was signed and Baxter and Porter were also options that we saw worked ok last season.


So there was reason to hope that we'd be able to put out a team that would have no problems in holding their own physically, while also having some attacking flair that should have been enough to beat most League One sides. We also knew that we had money to improve the squad along the way.



But...

By the start of the season the centre half situation had changed. Collins and Butler both fell out of favour. McCarthy was signed on loan, but circumstances weren't ideal and Basham looked better when he played there. So Basham and McEveley became our first choice centre halves, with that also implying that we lost the option of McEveley at left back and Basham in midifield. In those positions we had to play smaller, weaker players. We started to struggle at set pieces, offensive and defensive, and were bullied in midfield.

In midfield Wallace's season never got going. Scougall and Flynn also had recurring problems with injuries. Doyle returned, and Reed played a lot. Baxter was often used in midfield roles that didn't suit him. Despite these players being good enough for the level we played at, we lost our balance and against opposition teams that were really up for a fight, we looked small, slow and weak.

Up front Higdon struggled and didn't even offer the physical element that we relied upon. Porter hardly got any time on the pitch and soon disappeared. Baxter was tried up front again, but it didn't work as well as last season. McNulty took his chance though, but playing him, a goal scoring all rounder, meant that we again lost height and strength and this was a huge problem for us.


January transfer window

Cup games apart, we had struggled to find any sort of rhythm by the turn of the year. The shape of the team had been changed completely from what we planned originally, so we had a lot to address in the January transfer window. Kieron Wallace and Adams had joined a while before and then Brayford, Freeman, Coutts, Holt, Done and (later) S. Davies were brought in and more or less thrown into the team at a time when we played Saturday-Tuesday-Saturday, i.e. hardly any time for real training and for these new guys to adapt.

I think fans (and the management) underestimated the disadvantage of making signings mid season, compared to pre season. It is easy to just look at the options that are suddenly available and expect the team to suddenly click.

The attempts to use the new players immediately brought further inconsistency. Not all of the signings helped fix our problems with height and strength and we've continued to start games with only a couple of six footers. Niggles and knocks to seemingly half the squad make us look vulnerable as we approach the end of the season.

Optimism, after all

The good thing is that our end of season schedule isn't as tight as it has been. This may give us more time for knocks and niggles to heal, and more time to prepare and train well. If we do get fifth we should have a decent chance to again field a stronger and well balanced team for the Play Offs. It will be time to forget what's happened this season and mobilise everything we've got and show that our maximum level, after all, is higher than the other teams.

Great summary.
 



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