Doomsday Graph - Just To Please Blade56!!

[ucandomagic]

In true blades fashion can you do one that includes our worst mid season collapse, just out of interest like?

At the above request of Blade56 and all the not-so ultra-positive Blades (!), I have thought about our worst possible Championship end to a season. I haven't gone through all of the data - I have just gone to the most recent one for which I remember feeling the most depressed - step forward Mr Adams!!

In 2010/11 we got 15 points from the last 19 games. If we repeated such a challenging task we would finish on 69 points - and probably just miss out on the playoffs.

UTB & Slava Ukraini

Doomsday Graph

 

[Blade56]

At the above request of Blade56 and all the not-so ultra-positive Blades (!), I have thought about our worst possible Championship end to a season. I haven't gone through all of the data - I have just gone to the most recent one for which I remember feeling the most depressed - step forward Mr Adams!!

In 2010/11 we got 15 points from the last 19 games. If we repeated such a challenging task we would finish on 69 points - and probably just miss out on the playoffs.

UTB & Slava Ukraini

Doomsday Graph
View attachment 151370

I’m impressed U, being dislexicx I love a

 

[MJM]

Doesn't bare thinking about

 

[Bell4]

I’m impressed U, being dislexicx I love a

So funny that’s

 

[FredZeppelin]

Adams, you say!!!



utb

 

[Westran]

Excellent work! Could you do a table for those of us who like to sit on the fence? What would our points total look like if we sunk to mediocrity? Rather than doing a full on Micky Adams

 

[Sheffsteel]

I did a slightly pessimistic estimate of our remaining matches if we lose some form and have an average season from now on

Home matches
Hull City WIN 3 points
Swansea LOSS 0 points (based on when things look really good, we bring everyone down to earth with a defeat, also they'll be out for revenge)
Middlesboro DRAW 1 point
Watford WIN 3 points
Luton LOSS 0 points (just typical we win the big match against Watford then follow it by losing to Luton)
WBA DRAW 1 point
Wigan WIN 3 points
Cardiff Win 3 points
Bristol C WIN 3 points
Preston WIN 3 points

Away matches
Rotherham WIN 3 points (revenge for losing at the Lane)
Millwall LOSS 0 points (we beat them comfortably in the cup so when it matters in the league you can bet we'll lose)
Blackburn DRAW 1 point
Reading WIN 3 points
Sunderland LOSS 0 points
Norwich DRAW 1 point
Burnley LOSS 0 points
Huddersfield WIN 3 points
Birmingham DRAW 1 point

The above shows from our remaining matches it's played 19 won 9 drawn 5 lost 5 = 32 extra points.
So with a run of the mill/ nothing special/ decent finish we end up on 86 points.
Pretty certain 86 points will be enough.

Middlesboro and West Brom also have 19 matches left
Lets assume they win 13 draw 5 and lose just 1 match for the rest of the season.

These 2 have already been on a fantastic run...so it's likely to end sooner or later
but lets assume they both manage to win 13 and draw 5 from their last 19, they gain 44 extra points.
I have both as drawing against us at the Lane, so from 18 matches they've need to win 13 and draw 4, which is an incredible run.

If both continue with their incredible runs for the rest of the season
Then Middlesboro finish on the same 86 points as us with West Brom still finishing below us on 85 points.

 

[dublin 10 blade]

I’m impressed U, being dislexicx I love a

That Sir is class

 

[dublin 10 blade]

I did a slightly pessimistic estimate of our remaining matches if we lose some form and have an average season from now on

Home matches
Hull City WIN 3 points
Swansea LOSS 0 points (based on when things look really good, we bring everyone down to earth with a defeat, also they'll be out for revenge)
Middlesboro DRAW 1 point
Watford WIN 3 points
Luton LOSS 0 points (just typical we win the big match against Watford then follow it by losing to Luton)
WBA DRAW 1 point
Wigan WIN 3 points
Cardiff Win 3 points
Bristol C WIN 3 points
Preston WIN 3 points

Away matches
Rotherham WIN 3 points (revenge for losing at the Lane)
Millwall LOSS 0 points (we beat them comfortably in the cup so when it matters in the league you can bet we'll lose)
Blackburn DRAW 1 point
Reading WIN 3 points
Sunderland LOSS 0 points
Norwich DRAW 1 point
Burnley LOSS 0 points
Huddersfield WIN 3 points
Birmingham DRAW 1 point

The above shows from our remaining matches it's played 19 won 9 drawn 5 lost 5 = 32 extra points.
So with a run of the mill/ nothing special/ decent finish we end up on 86 points.
Pretty certain 86 points will be enough.

Middlesboro and West Brom also have 19 matches left
Lets assume they win 13 draw 5 and lose just 1 match for the rest of the season.

These 2 have already been on a fantastic run...so it's likely to end sooner or later
but lets assume they both manage to win 13 and draw 5 from their last 19, they gain 44 extra points.
I have both as drawing against us at the Lane, so from 18 matches they've need to win 13 and draw 4, which is an incredible run.

If both continue with their incredible runs for the rest of the season
Then Middlesboro finish on the same 86 points as us with West Brom still finishing below us on 85 points.

Said before Satdi 10 more wins
9 more wins we go

 

[Ainsley Harriott]

Adams, you say!!!

View attachment 151374

utb

No offence, but any mention of that bastard that I come across will be met with an angry emoji. That's everyone I see. Don't think anyone riles me more.

 

[Snowflake]

Adams, you say!!!

View attachment 151374

utb

No, that’s Adnams !

 

[CaptainMorgans]

At the above request of Blade56 and all the not-so ultra-positive Blades (!), I have thought about our worst possible Championship end to a season. I haven't gone through all of the data - I have just gone to the most recent one for which I remember feeling the most depressed - step forward Mr Adams!!

In 2010/11 we got 15 points from the last 19 games. If we repeated such a challenging task we would finish on 69 points - and probably just miss out on the playoffs.

UTB & Slava Ukraini

Doomsday Graph
View attachment 151370

Thanks, pal.
I'm like a pig in shit when it comes to negative content like this.

 

[rompodebailey]

No offence, but any mention of that bastard that I come across will be met with an angry emoji. That's everyone I see. Don't think anyone riles me more.

Biggest blade ever, K Mc?

 

[RammyBlade]

I did a slightly pessimistic estimate of our remaining matches if we lose some form and have an average season from now on

Home matches
Hull City WIN 3 points
Swansea LOSS 0 points (based on when things look really good, we bring everyone down to earth with a defeat, also they'll be out for revenge)
Middlesboro DRAW 1 point
Watford WIN 3 points
Luton LOSS 0 points (just typical we win the big match against Watford then follow it by losing to Luton)
WBA DRAW 1 point
Wigan WIN 3 points
Cardiff Win 3 points
Bristol C WIN 3 points
Preston WIN 3 points

Away matches
Rotherham WIN 3 points (revenge for losing at the Lane)
Millwall LOSS 0 points (we beat them comfortably in the cup so when it matters in the league you can bet we'll lose)
Blackburn DRAW 1 point
Reading WIN 3 points
Sunderland LOSS 0 points
Norwich DRAW 1 point
Burnley LOSS 0 points
Huddersfield WIN 3 points
Birmingham DRAW 1 point

The above shows from our remaining matches it's played 19 won 9 drawn 5 lost 5 = 32 extra points.
So with a run of the mill/ nothing special/ decent finish we end up on 86 points.
Pretty certain 86 points will be enough.

Middlesboro and West Brom also have 19 matches left
Lets assume they win 13 draw 5 and lose just 1 match for the rest of the season.

These 2 have already been on a fantastic run...so it's likely to end sooner or later
but lets assume they both manage to win 13 and draw 5 from their last 19, they gain 44 extra points.
I have both as drawing against us at the Lane, so from 18 matches they've need to win 13 and draw 4, which is an incredible run.

If both continue with their incredible runs for the rest of the season
Then Middlesboro finish on the same 86 points as us with West Brom still finishing below us on 85 points.

You sweet talker you

 

[CaptainMorgans]

Excellent work! Could you do a table for those of us who like to sit on the fence? What would our points total look like if we sunk to mediocrity? Rather than doing a full on Micky Adams

Midtable usually finish on around 60 points, equivalent to 1.3 pts / game.
If we were to go on a run of midtable form:
1.3 pts x 19 games = 25 pts
+ 54 pts = 79 pts.

Meaning Watford (81), Middlesbrough (80) and WBA (79 - GD dependent) would pip us to automatics if they were able to keep up a 2 pts / game average.

 

[Westran]

Midtable usually finish on around 60 points, equivalent to 1.3 pts / game.
If we were to go on a run of midtable form:
1.3 pts x 19 games = 25 pts
+ 54 pts = 79 pts.

Meaning Watford (81), Middlesbrough (80) and WBA (79 - GD dependent) would pip us to automatics if they were able to keep up a 2 pts / game average.

So we need to be slightly above average! That is very positive

 

[CaptainMorgans]

So we need to be slightly above average! That is very positive

Unless one of the 3 below us went on a truly special run.

I think Forest managed to maintain about a 2.3 pts / game average from their final 19 games. If a team below us did that, then we'd then need to get to 85/86 points.

To get 86 we'd need to average 1.7 pts / game.
Equivalent to 77 points over a season, so sort of decent play-off form.