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No they won't because there can only be 8 winners. As once two balls have come out these are discarded. But if you pick ball number 1 you have choice of picking it with 15 other numbers but it can only come out with 1 other. Same with number 2 etc.
Again you are failing to take into account that if they are drawn 3rd and 4th then they can't come out 1st and 2nd, for example.
Ok, my 15 are
So do you think that when they draw the lottery if you get the first six numbers you win, then they carry on drawing numbers and if you get numbers 7-12 you also win, and so on until they run out of balls?
15 if you United come out of the hat first. But what if Chelsea come out first for instance. There are 120 permutations of fixtures.
Do you think if a cat ate dog food it would become a dog?
owlcation.com
Did the cat select its food by drawing balls from a hat?
Okay so I don't post much on here but since we're doing maths, I'm right in my element. Forget about which order the draw comes out and who's home and away, the total of all probabilities is 1 since we must get drawn. There are only 15 possible outcomes if we're only talking about which team we will face. Now unless you want to try and tell me that we have a greater chance of drawing Portsmouth than Wednesday then the probability of us facing Wednesday is 1 in 15. If you still think that the draw mechanics affects this probability then I can draw you out a big probability tree diagram we used to do at school for the whole draw including the mechanics in the morning.
It was not the chances of us drawing Wednesday, it was the chances of us and Wednesday playing each other in the draw. Completely different question.
I believe us drawing Wednesday and us and Wednesday playing eachother in the draw is the same outcome. I'm going to put together a nice way of showing all the possible outcomes for us and I can guarantee you that 1 in 15 of them will have us and Wednesday playing eachother in the draw.
Here's a spreadsheet that shows every possible outcome with "O" representing other, there are 240 possible outcomes and 16 of them have us and Wednesday playing eachother in the draw. Hope everyone's happy now.
How are these different questions?
Here's a spreadsheet that shows every possible outcome with "O" representing other, there are 240 possible outcomes and 16 of them have us and Wednesday playing eachother in the draw. Hope everyone's happy now.
Yes it is extremely sad that I've spent this time at 2 in the morning making a spreadsheet to prove/show probabilities on a football forum.
8,030,000 to 1 that’s the chance of that happening. Did you have a tenner on it. That’s supposing we had 22000 season tickets sold that year . Last prem year was it.
Yes, ties are to be played Tues, Weds and Thursday, so if either us or Norwich play on the Thursday night then I presume our league game against Norwich will be put back to Sun 8 March.Apologies if I've missed it discussed properly somewhere - I got lost in the odds of drawing Team X discussion - but is there a genuine chance of our game v Norwich on 7th March being moved? I assumed if the 5th round being played mid-week was an accepted part of the calendar that there would be no need to shift any games.
Asking as someone who's already booked return tickets to Sheffield for that game
It's my missus' birthday on the Sunday so I'm praying it's not moved too.Oh, brilliant. Thought once we'd got the all-clear from Sky it'd be fine
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