OK. We’re six points off safety and there are a total of 36 points to play for. At first glance our position looks dire but commonly, as the season draws to a close, seemingly “doomed” teams start winning. I certainly expect us to get a few wins out of our final 12 games.
However, if we are to stay up we probably need at least 50 points - another 21 points. That’s six wins, three draws, and three defeats.
We have winnable home games against Leeds, Boro, Dingles and Bristol City. At least, they once would have been seen as winnable. We still have to play Preston away. That’s a potential 15 points. Another possible win could be in our next three games – away at Pompey and Watford, or home to Forest.
If we can get a win in the next couple of games, we might still have an outside chance of avoiding the drop. It would take a major reversal in form but stranger things have happened.
Here’s an over-optimistic look at what could happen over the next couple of months, with the win eventually coming against the Dirties. It would still leave us short of 50 points though.
Sat 5 15:00 A Portsmouth L
Tue 8 19:45 H Nottm Forest D
Sat 12 15:00 A Watford D
Sat 19 15:00 H Leeds United W
April
Mon 4 19:45 A QPR L
Sat 9 15:00 H Middlesbrough W
Tue 12 H Cardiff City D
Sat 16 15:00 A Preston W
Sat 23 15:00 H Bristol City W Mon 25 A Reading L
Sat 30 15:00 H Barnsley W
May
Sat 7 12:45 A Swansea City L
However, if we are to stay up we probably need at least 50 points - another 21 points. That’s six wins, three draws, and three defeats.
We have winnable home games against Leeds, Boro, Dingles and Bristol City. At least, they once would have been seen as winnable. We still have to play Preston away. That’s a potential 15 points. Another possible win could be in our next three games – away at Pompey and Watford, or home to Forest.
If we can get a win in the next couple of games, we might still have an outside chance of avoiding the drop. It would take a major reversal in form but stranger things have happened.
Here’s an over-optimistic look at what could happen over the next couple of months, with the win eventually coming against the Dirties. It would still leave us short of 50 points though.
Sat 5 15:00 A Portsmouth L
Tue 8 19:45 H Nottm Forest D
Sat 12 15:00 A Watford D
Sat 19 15:00 H Leeds United W
April
Mon 4 19:45 A QPR L
Sat 9 15:00 H Middlesbrough W
Tue 12 H Cardiff City D
Sat 16 15:00 A Preston W
Sat 23 15:00 H Bristol City W Mon 25 A Reading L
Sat 30 15:00 H Barnsley W
May
Sat 7 12:45 A Swansea City L