Last night I was trying to come to terms with what the fuck actually happened yesterday. It was all too obvious what was happening on the pitch as we played poorly for the first half, stepped it up second and our goal was deserved as it had been coming. On the same token, if we’d managed to get away with a 1-0 win, even before Egan’s red and the penalty, it would’ve been a good result. Job done. It didn’t go like that.
We’re not a team of bottle jobs, but we did bottle it yesterday.
Wilder Fear?
Its not something consistent, just an observation on a couple of occasions, so please be aware that I know that there have been games like Preston, like Leeds, like Birmingham, where he hasn’t been as Cautious, but there have been elements of caution which is unusual. But I think Wilder has shown signs of fear in his own approach.
Our approach v Wednesday and second half yesterday were not usual. Against Wednesday we played with a cautious ‘don’t lose’ mentality. Yesterday, moves made by Wilder meant that despite what he said post-match, he was setting us up to defend a lead, not extend it.
There is an argument that there is a maturity in his approach, Fulham last season, Villa away (and home to an extent) and Bristol City had all shown that there is a weakness in us, but I think that the positive front foot mentality which we all love in Wilder and his approach is what’s got us to 2nd in the league.
Weird Changes & Square Pegs
Many have mentioned it, but it wasn’t so much the changes made, it was the slight unpredictability of what those changes brought, which for me only causes confusion. There were simple changes with all three departing players having a readymade replacement on the bench. But Wilder didn’t take this approach and I have to say that he went negative in all but the Bash/ Madine change.
Basham for Madine (not straight swap for Cranie)
Billy for Cranie (not straight swap for Hogan)
Duffy for Coutts (not straight swap for Dowell or even Hogan on and McG slot in behind the front two)
The big game changer was Billy going off, not that Cranie was poor, but that it affected the way things were up front. Cranie or Stearman could’ve replaced Duffy.
Coutts wasn’t a wrong move so much, but the wrong move at that time. Coutts is at his best when he is able to retain possession, he’s not the right man to come on, chasing the ball to win it back. We needed an enforcer.
I think these changes contributed to the end result.
What happens next?
Who knows results wise, we still have 12 points up for grabs. There is no time to hang on for draws, we have to remove the shackles again and go for it. Pressure should be off now so rather than being shell-shocked and setting up/ playing with fear, we need to go for it.
No idea on the extent of Bash and Billy’s injuries, but assume that neither will feature v Forest.
Bash and Egan’s replacements are straight swaps, I think Baldock comes back in and I think Madine and Hogan have to start up top as they will give a really different threat.
McG hasn’t done anything wrong and he is clearly bang in form, I just don’t think he offers the physicality for Forest, so I’d drop him in behind.
Duffy, again hasn’t done anything wrong, but I think McG offers more right now. I also think Duffy brings us an impact from the bench
Hendo
Cranie Stearman JOC
Baldock Norwood Stevens
Fleck
McG
Madine Hogan
We have to go for it!