Updated Post Oxford “We Can Still Finish 6th”

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ucandomagic

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Just got back home from staying over after the Oxford game in the Hunters Bar Buddhist Meditation Centre AirBnB - Om!

So 2 games down -16 to go - and still spot on target on both playoff pathways - they don’t diverge for a while. A funny old game against Oxford - quite the opposite from recently. This time we didn’t really create a lot of chances but, unlike us, we were quite clinical - and we even gave them a goal start. A poor tackle from Femi and they have a speculative shot which Coops just blocks forwards for an easy tap-in by Peart-Harris. On a damp greasy night Coops should probably have pushed it sideways, rather than try to take it.

Our first goal was a lovely ball from Blaster to Burrows who pulled back a perfect cross with his right foot and Sydie passed the ball beautifully into the corner. (I bet Harrison hasn’t got many right foot assists). For our second, the defender went to ground but failed to dispossess Cannon, who pulled it back for Brooks to shimmy to his left and curl it in. Ogbene came on after about 70 minutes, as Brooks had had a slight knock, and I was hoping to see Oggie’s blistering pace going down the wing. What I wasn’t expecting, was to see him calmly take a 40-yard pass from Gus, knock it past the defender with his chest and slide it confidently into the net! That was game over, as Oxford basically just lay down and died. Usual bizarre bits of refereeing of course, such as Sydie getting booked for being kicked, but 3 points on the board and on to Boro.

Table 1 shows my 2 pathways, for the last 18 games, which would achieve either a possible playoff place with 71 points or a probable playoff place, with 77 points.

The Table shows that the red numbers are still on target, and the dream is still on!

Table 1:
Matchday 30 Playoff Target Table.webp


Graph 1
shows the whole season visually, and you can see the pathways through the red line. I want to see the red line climbing above the targets - but perhaps I shouldn’t get greedy.

Graph 1:
Matchday 30 Paths to the Prem.webp


Finally the colour annotated League Table - 15th and rising. Keep scoring 3 at home and the job's half done!! I don't want to see red again though!

League Table:
Matchday 30 League Table.webp


I’m really looking forward to Monday night and Phillips and/or Rothwell in front of an increasingly solid-looking Tanganga and Bindon. Boro have been looking really good lately and strengthened well, particularly Sarmiento from Brighton, so it will be a real test. If we are still on track after the Boro game, maybe some of the less-hopeful Blades will start to allow themselves at least a flutter of optimistic excitement!

UTB & Slava Ukraini!
 



You do realise both your 'possible' and 'probable' predictions have us down as not losing a single one of the last 16 games? I'd love to think that's possible but what are the chances of going 19 games unbeaten (as we're already unbeaten in 3 now)??? I love the optimism but I think it's much more likely that we'll finish on around 65 points. I still think that'd be an amazing achievement after the start we had though.
 
You do realise both your 'possible' and 'probable' predictions have us down as not losing a single one of the last 16 games? I'd love to think that's possible but what are the chances of going 19 games unbeaten (as we're already unbeaten in 3 now)??? I love the optimism but I think it's much more likely that we'll finish on around 65 points. I still think that'd be an amazing achievement after the start we had though.
This has been discussed before.

The pathway results are not forecasts, but the easiest paths to achieve the end goal. We probably will lose a game or two, but then a win in one of the draws on the pathway would balance those 2 losses. We can only hope!!

UTB & FTP!
 
You do realise both your 'possible' and 'probable' predictions have us down as not losing a single one of the last 16 games? I'd love to think that's possible but what are the chances of going 19 games unbeaten (as we're already unbeaten in 3 now)??? I love the optimism but I think it's much more likely that we'll finish on around 65 points. I still think that'd be an amazing achievement after the start we had though.
To be fair hes put us down for 6 drawn games , we rarely draw , so if those 6 draws are 3 wins and 3 losses we get 9 points instead of 6
or 2 wins 1 draw and 3 losses is 7 not 6 . so theres wiggle room there, if we get it together we can I believe get away with just 2 losses with 3 wins and a draw so 10 instead of 6 points
 
Always find these interesting and thank you for sharing...

But could you also elaborate on the Airbnb at Hunters Bar Buddhist Meditation Centre! 🤣
 
The Table shows that the red numbers are still on target, and the dream is still on!

Table 1:
View attachment 230363


Graph 1
shows the whole season visually, and you can see the pathways through the red line. I want to see the red line climbing above the targets - but perhaps I shouldn’t get greedy.

Graph 1:
View attachment 230364


Finally the colour annotated League Table - 15th and rising. Keep scoring 3 at home and the job's half done!! I don't want to see red again though!

League Table:
View attachment 230365


I’m really looking forward to Monday night and Phillips and/or Rothwell in front of an increasingly solid-looking Tanganga and Bindon. Boro have been looking really good lately and strengthened well, particularly Sarmiento from Brighton, so it will be a real test.
notable we have played all the top 6 away, just got 3 at home , winning those would be a great help
 
I get the feeling the final game of the season will decide if we or Derby get 6th.

I've had the same uneasy feeling for a few weeks now.
We go into the last match and win to get 6th, lose and Derby get 6th, draw and somone else grabs it.
 
I've had the same uneasy feeling for a few weeks now.
We go into the last match and win to get 6th, lose and Derby get 6th, draw and somone else grabs it.
If we go into the last game still with a chance, then it’s a bloody triumph and will have kept our season having a meaning right to the end!

My uneasy feeling is that we lose the next 2 and effectively go into a 14-match series of friendlies (or rather 13- I don’t think Feb 22nd will be friendly!)

UTB & FTP!
 
If we go into the last game still with a chance, then it’s a bloody triumph and will have kept our season having a meaning right to the end!

My uneasy feeling is that we lose the next 2 and effectively go into a 14-match series of friendlies (or rather 13- I don’t think Feb 22nd will be friendly!)

UTB & FTP!
I would rather have my uneasy feling than your uneasy feeling.
 

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