I’m not convinced just yet that we’re nailed on, but I am getting more sure of the weight of the ask by those below.
I’m looking at it like this:
We all have a pot of 33 points available, regardless of who plays who where and when etc. this league anyone can beat anyone, with Burnley being the exception to some extent.
Of that 33 point pot, we’re 7 points in front, so we need 26 points to draw even with the maximum anyone below could get.
This equates to 2.3 points per game. Basically win and draw every 2 games, or win 2 in a row and massively reduce the points per game requirement.
Obviously aim to win them all, but even wins with those below winning further strengthens our cause, as there’s no points gain and less games to make up ground.
We can lose 2 of the 11 to the end of the season as it stands and still be promoted, obviously dependant on results elsewhere.
Every win is a bonus now, draws help but aren’t ideal, losses can be absorbed to an extent.
A big push now is needed, another 3 points Saturday is a real stake in the ground to the chasing pack.