Matchday 3 Graphs, Charts & Chat – Bluebirds but no Rainbow (or Yellow Brick Road)!

All advertisments are hidden for logged in members, why not log in/register?

ucandomagic

Well-Known Member
Joined
Dec 16, 2013
Messages
2,565
Reaction score
11,346
Location
Studley
I have to say, I have spent less unpleasant 90 minutes at the dentist, in A&E and, long ago, in exams! Donovan is a luxury, highly-skilled, “looks good in training” forward-looking, physically weak winger. Playing him in front of a green young centre back who you have put out of position at right back, away at a team with a strong left-side attack, is called hanging Baptiste out to dry. We all thought it, when we realised Doherty wasn’t playing and it wasn’t even Tanganga at RB. Barry-Murphy clearly saw it, and exploited it from minute 1. Keeping Sydie Peck on the pitch for 90 minutes, when he continued to embarrass himself over the full period with dispossessions, bad passes, poor first touches and falling over rather than shooting, was pure nepotism.

However, I had us only needing a point to stay on my playoff schedule – and, somehow, get a point we did. Bright spots were McCallum, Tanganga, O’Hare, Cannon’s best, most aggressive performance to date, and RND’s and Phillips’ excellent sub contributions. Allowing a team 28 shots, 10 on target and getting a point is quite a result!

Turning to my graphs, remember that based on the last decade, I am taking a 92 points target for Automatics, a 70 points target for 8th (playoffs) and an 81 points target for 4th (playoff semis). I’m only showing the first 10 matches on the graphs at the moment, so that the difference between the lines is visible.


Graph 1 plots our progress against those promotion targets, with my forecast for each match that will deliver those targets. After three games, we are still exactly on my playoffs line and 2 behind the Automatics schedule – because it was, after all, a decent point.

Graph 1:
Matchday 3 Paths to the Prem.webp


Graph 2 is the comparison with our last 2 seasons – and with 3 points we are now 3 points ahead of last season – as we had no points from our first 6 games (!) – and we are only 2 points behind Wilder’s 92 point season in 24/25.

Graph 2:
Matchday 3 Season Comparisons.webp



I’m still optimistic that we will make the Top 8, but with everyone’s relegation favourites, Charlton, winning 3 on the bounce, and West Ham 19th on 2 points anything can happen!

League Table:
Matchday 3 Table.webp


So Bolton on Tuesday night – my first Sheffield overnighter of the season in my favourite Buddhist AirBnB! Hopefully, I’ll be meditating on a win, and a better performance than today – although the Bolton keeper, Jack Bonham, is the top-rated Championship keeper so far this season. He's on a net 2.5 goals prevented in just 3 games, more than double any other keeper. Let's hope he doesn't play as well as Bonzo the Beast always did! (one for Zeppelin fans!).
A good time for us to bring his stats back down to average?!

UTB & Slava Ukraini!
 



Love the optimism GraphMan - but we will need to change to hit your targets.

Start with Doherty and Riedewald in place of Baptiste and Peck. Phillips and RND can replace them when necessary. Peck needs to sit for a couple. McCallum is growing all the time and Burrows is third choice now. When we have a new RB, play 5 at the back with McCallum at LCB and RND outside him.

Wilder is good but he could be great, if only he would learn from his mistakes rather than hide from them.

UTB & FTP!
 
I have to say, I have spent less unpleasant 90 minutes at the dentist, in A&E and, long ago, in exams! Donovan is a luxury, highly-skilled, “looks good in training” forward-looking, physically weak winger. Playing him in front of a green young centre back who you have put out of position at right back, away at a team with a strong left-side attack, is called hanging Baptiste out to dry. We all thought it, when we realised Doherty wasn’t playing and it wasn’t even Tanganga at RB. Barry-Murphy clearly saw it, and exploited it from minute 1. Keeping Sydie Peck on the pitch for 90 minutes, when he continued to embarrass himself over the full period with dispossessions, bad passes, poor first touches and falling over rather than shooting, was pure nepotism.

However, I had us only needing a point to stay on my playoff schedule – and, somehow, get a point we did. Bright spots were McCallum, Tanganga, O’Hare, Cannon’s best, most aggressive performance to date, and RND’s and Phillips’ excellent sub contributions. Allowing a team 28 shots, 10 on target and getting a point is quite a result!

Turning to my graphs, remember that based on the last decade, I am taking a 92 points target for Automatics, a 70 points target for 8th (playoffs) and an 81 points target for 4th (playoff semis). I’m only showing the first 10 matches on the graphs at the moment, so that the difference between the lines is visible.


Graph 1 plots our progress against those promotion targets, with my forecast for each match that will deliver those targets. After three games, we are still exactly on my playoffs line and 2 behind the Automatics schedule – because it was, after all, a decent point.

Graph 1:
View attachment 243091


Graph 2 is the comparison with our last 2 seasons – and with 3 points we are now 3 points ahead of last season – as we had no points from our first 6 games (!) – and we are only 2 points behind Wilder’s 92 point season in 24/25.

Graph 2:
View attachment 243093



I’m still optimistic that we will make the Top 8, but with everyone’s relegation favourites, Charlton, winning 3 on the bounce, and West Ham 19th on 2 points anything can happen!

League Table:
View attachment 243094


So Bolton on Tuesday night – my first Sheffield overnighter of the season in my favourite Buddhist AirBnB! Hopefully, I’ll be meditating on a win, and a better performance than today – although the Bolton keeper, Jack Bonham, is the top-rated Championship keeper so far this season. He's on a net 2.5 goals prevented in just 3 games, more than double any other keeper. Let's hope he doesn't play as well as Bonzo the Beast always did! (one for Zeppelin fans!).
A good time for us to bring his stats back down to average?!

UTB & Slava Ukraini!

A note about Bolton, the reason their keeper is looking so good is they concede a huge amount of shots on target per game.. even after letting Cardiff rain down on our goal, Bolton still have a worse average than us and I think 2nd or 3rd highest shots on target conceded in the league overall.
 
Let's hope he doesn't play as well as Bonzo the Beast always did! (one for Zeppelin fans!).

Saw them live back in the 1970's and yes he was.
Influenced by Buddy Rich who I saw play at the Crucible.
Just seen that Joe Cocker asked Bonzo to join his band, before he joined Led Zep.
 
Saw them live back in the 1970's and yes he was.
Influenced by Buddy Rich who I saw play at the Crucible.
Just seen that Joe Cocker asked Bonzo to join his band, before he joined Led Zep.
I’m in the Bill Ward camp myself, who I’ve seen play live a few times.
 

All advertisments are hidden for logged in members, why not log in/register?

All advertisments are hidden for logged in members, why not log in/register?

Back
Top Bottom