ucandomagic
Well-Known Member
Not much to say about that match. We played against a young side who gave us a penalty and an own goal but with 2 very casual mistakes we contrived to lose the match. Moore’s penalty was dreadful – Brewster takes a really good penalty. Robbo and Sydie lost possession with a lack of concentration and Sunderland were good enough to punish us. We need refreshing, but hopefully some new faces, and a lot of old faces returning from fitness, will pick us up. To be fair, when you look at the League Table below the colours emphasise that there is a reason why these are the teams that we are struggling against – they are the best teams.
So, moving on to the graphs, which show that we are still in a great position:-
Graph 1 compares our progress against 3 benchmark sets of results which represent Automatic Promotion, Playoff Certainty and Playoff Possibility. My benchmarks take account of who our opponents are each week. On 49 points, comparing to my benchmarks, we are now exactly level with my Autos Promotion schedule – and that is with our 2 point deduction.
Graph 1:
Graph 2 compares this season against our last 3 successful promotions from this level (all in second place), in 2005/06, 2018/19 and 2022/23. On 49 points after 25 games (with the 2-point deduction) we are 5 points ahead of the 44 points that we had under Wilder in 18/19, 1 behind Hecky in 22/23 and still only 4 points behind Warnock in 05/06.
So we are still 5 points ahead of our great 18/19 season with a 2-point deduction.
Graph 2:
Next, the coloured annotated up-to-date League Table, which highlights where our strengths and weaknesses are against opponents’ league positions. As I said above, the colours emphasise that we are only losing to those teams that are having a very good season. Chart 1, below the League Table, shows the final table that I forecast before the season started and I had Leeds, Burnley, Blades and Boro as Top 4, in that order. I must admit, though that, as the chart shows, Sunderland and Blackburn have surprised me.
League Table:
Chart 1:
So, we’re struggling a bit, with few options because of all of the injuries, but let’s hope we can get some of them back to sting the Hornets, and then get a few more in to take the rest of the season by the scruff of the neck!
UTB & Slava Ukraini!
So, moving on to the graphs, which show that we are still in a great position:-
Graph 1 compares our progress against 3 benchmark sets of results which represent Automatic Promotion, Playoff Certainty and Playoff Possibility. My benchmarks take account of who our opponents are each week. On 49 points, comparing to my benchmarks, we are now exactly level with my Autos Promotion schedule – and that is with our 2 point deduction.
Graph 1:
Graph 2 compares this season against our last 3 successful promotions from this level (all in second place), in 2005/06, 2018/19 and 2022/23. On 49 points after 25 games (with the 2-point deduction) we are 5 points ahead of the 44 points that we had under Wilder in 18/19, 1 behind Hecky in 22/23 and still only 4 points behind Warnock in 05/06.
So we are still 5 points ahead of our great 18/19 season with a 2-point deduction.
Graph 2:
Next, the coloured annotated up-to-date League Table, which highlights where our strengths and weaknesses are against opponents’ league positions. As I said above, the colours emphasise that we are only losing to those teams that are having a very good season. Chart 1, below the League Table, shows the final table that I forecast before the season started and I had Leeds, Burnley, Blades and Boro as Top 4, in that order. I must admit, though that, as the chart shows, Sunderland and Blackburn have surprised me.
League Table:
Chart 1:
So, we’re struggling a bit, with few options because of all of the injuries, but let’s hope we can get some of them back to sting the Hornets, and then get a few more in to take the rest of the season by the scruff of the neck!
UTB & Slava Ukraini!
