I get the Zen argument, it doesn't seem to chime with your bullish, and to my mind overly hopeful, predictions each year.
Reasonable people without any axe to grind (i.e. the bookies - I don't buy your argument about the market being so small that the odds are distorted by lots of idiots like me betting on United) tend to agree with me. Hence my predictions are based on logic and reason; life and football being what its, the predictions sometimes fail. I don't consider it a major blow to my ego when they do.