Creepometer 2011/12

[Creepy]

Don't be upset when people poke fun at the fact you are wrong for each individual result.

From where did you work out I was upset?
The model is a statistical analysis. Individual results are insignificant.

 

[shorehamview]

Welcome to the 5th annual Creepometer. Other omoters come and go but the Creepometer remains, the single most authoritative, accurate, ground-breaking, scientifically based, Sheffield Utd predictor on the market. And, as fellow Blades you get it for free! Over the last 4 years, the Creepometer has proven remarkably accurate –

Not on here it hasn't, considering you've only been a member of this site since April 2010. Not one full season yet. Still, it's another stat wrong. You're consistent, if nothing else.

 

[Robbie]

Individual results are insignificant.

So why guess what they will be?
We not just predict the points from the month?

 

[Revolution]

Ignore them Creeps. You can't educate dripping.

 

[Robbie]

You can't educate dripping.

Have you tried?

 

[Creepy]

A good month sees a blip in the Creepometer predictions. December looks tough to achieve though given our somewhat patchy home form

…………………...........…..Prediction….Points………Actual........Progress

Nov 05 Stevenage A ………..0-0………1 (21)........1-2(29).......+8
Nov 19 Carlisle H …………....2-0……...3 (24)........1-0(32).......+8
Nov 26 Chesterfield A.......1-2………0 (24).........1-0(35).......+11

Dec 10 Rochdale H ………….2-0……..3 (27)
Dec 17 Bournemouth A ……1-1…….1 (28)
Dec 26 Notts County H ……2-0……..3 (31)
Dec 31 Hartlepool H ………..3-0……..3 (34)

 

[shorehamview]

A good month sees a blip in the Creepometer predictions.

You mean it's still not working? Fancy that.

 

[Bladesway]

Have you tried?

I would suggest he tries every time he posts on here

 

[Creepy]

Not even the Creepometer can predict 4 wins out of 4

…………………...........…..Prediction….Points………Actual........Progress

Dec 10 Rochdale H ………….2-0……..3 (27)......3-0(38)......... +11
Dec 17 Bournemouth A ……1-1…….1 (28).......2-0(41)...........+13
Dec 26 Notts County H ……2-0……..3 (31)......2-1(44)............+13
Dec 31 Hartlepool H ………..3-0……..3 (34)......3-1(47)..........+13

Jan 02 Carlisle A ……………..2-0…….3 (37)
Jan 07 Yeovil H ……………...1-0…….3 (40)
Jan 14 Bury A ………………...0-0…….1 (41)
Jan 21 Charlton A ……………0-3……0 (41)
Jan 28 Scunny H …………….1-0……3 (44)

 

[shorehamview]

Not even the Creepometer can predict 4 wins out of 4

To be fair it would struggle with numbers of times a dropped thing would hit the floor and not the ceiling......

 

[Creepy]

After the initial results were better than forecast, the Creepometer is now slipping into it's reliable groove. Let hope the predicted bleak February doesn't happen - but you have been warned.

…………………...........…..Prediction….Points………Actual.........Progress

Jan 02 Carlisle A ……………..2-0…….3 (37).......0 (47)...........(+10)
Jan 07 Yeovil H ……………...1-0…….3 (40).......3 (50)...........(+10)
Jan 14 Bury A ………………...0-0…….1 (41).......3 (53)...........(+12)
Jan 21 Charlton A ……………0-3……0 (41)........0 (53)...........(+12)
Jan 28 Scunny H …………….1-0……3 (44)....... tba

Feb 04 Colchester A ………1-1……1 (45)
Feb 11 Wycombe H …………1-1…….1 (46)
Feb 14 Huddersfield A …….0-2…….0 (46)
Feb 18 Preston H ……………1-1…….1 (47)
Feb 26 Pigs A Sun...........0-2……0 (47)

 

[Balham]

After the initial results were better than forecast, the Creepometer is now slipping into it's reliable groove. Let hope the predicted bleak February doesn't happen - but you have been warned.

And I'll bite again. You got two out of four right and in neither case was the scoreline even close. Does the Creepometer allow for mid-season adjustments?!

 

[Darren]

After the initial results were better than forecast, the Creepometer is now slipping into it's reliable groove. Let hope the predicted bleak February doesn't happen - but you have been warned.

Reliable?

You got 2 results right and 2 wrong, no indivdiual scores right and were 10 points behind at the start of the month and 12 points now.

Oh dear...

 

[Selly]

Reliable?

You got 2 results right and 2 wrong, no indivdiual scores right and were 10 points behind at the start of the month and 12 points now.

Oh dear...

It is reliable...

...you can rely on it being totally wrong.

 

[Deleted member 875]

Boethius: It's my belief that history is a wheel. "Inconstancy is my very essence" -says the wheel- "Rise up on my spokes if you like, but don't complain when you are cast back down into the depths. Good times pass away, but then so do the bad. Mutability is our tragedy, but it is also our hope. The worst of times, like the best, are always passing away".

Boethius sums up the Creep-o-meter

 

[moDtheGod]

I suppose it depends on what you mean by "reliable". I guess the point of this exercise is actually to predict the final points tally, but at the start of the season? If so, he probably feels that after a better than predicted start, our actual poitns tally is starting to get closer to the predictions. If the two end up the same, then it could be argued that it's a reliable tool.

However, I never quite understood this "creep-o-meter" business. How exactly does it predict the points tally? Is it just you typing your guesses into the BBC predictor thing?

 

[Robbie]

Well Creepy,

Do you think that the Blades will only achieve another 9 points out of the last 16 games to hit your prediction?

 

[Flatulent_Bob]

Hey, don't knock him I love this thread.

I predict Creepy going for a load of wins until the end of the season, in a vain attempt to catch up.
He's only 21 points down currently but there's a long way to go yet.

When do Creepys March predictions get posted?

 

[stannyblade]

I actually had a look at our remaining fixtures before saturday and think we could get 39 points from them. Only 36 more to go

 

[Flatulent_Bob]

So is this thread now on its arse?

Come on Creepy, sort it out

 

[Robbie]

So is this thread now on its arse?

Come on Creepy, sort it out

Give over, he got the Tranmere result right didn't he?

 

[Mousey]

Welcome to the 5th annual Creepometer. Other omoters come and go but the Creepometer remains, the single most authoritative, accurate, ground-breaking, scientifically based, Sheffield Utd predictor on the market. And, as fellow Blades you get it for free! Over the last 4 years, the Creepometer has proven remarkably accurate – within 1.0217% (after taken into account an adjustment to cater for the unpredictable scenario of 4 managers in a season last year)

With teams I’ve never heard of before, this season’s predictions are very challenging but I’m confident that feeding my wealth of football related knowledge and extensive research into a proven mathematical model will result in yet another reliable set of results. Get down the bookies now!

This year we will get 71 points which may be enough to see us flirt with the play-offs. Assuming, of course we don’t get Sealo back half way through the season.

Oh dear.

What a pity.

Never mind

 

[raul]

To be fair it's nearer than it's been for about 4 years.

 

[Ollessendro]

It is only because thge league table lied. Otherwise the creepometer would have been spot on!!!!???

 

[Creepy]

For the multitudes of you that have been clammering for the return of the Creepometer I'm afraid to say that after extensive work I have been unable to revise the Creepometer model in line with the demands of the current game. I cannot, in all honesty put out something that does not meet my professional standards and that I know cannot maintain the high level of accuracy set in previous years and it is with a heavy heart that I must formally declare the Creepometer dead and I will not be relauncing it in 2021/22 as many of you were requesting. I would like to go on record and thank everyone for their support over the years. UTB

 

[Kozzy_is_my_Dad]

For the multitudes of you that have been clammering for the return of the Creepometer I'm afraid to say that after extensive work I have been unable to revise the Creepometer model in line with the demands of the current game. I cannot, in all honesty put out something that does not meet my professional standards and that I know cannot maintain the high level of accuracy set in previous years and it is with a heavy heart that I must formally declare the Creepometer dead and I will not be relauncing it in 2021/22 as many of you were requesting. I would like to go on record and thank everyone for their support over the years. UTB

Christ! Reviving this thread like...

 

[Creepy]

I would argue that it is more interesting and just as relevant as 95% of the threads on here at the moment

 

[Geordie Blade]

For the multitudes of you that have been clammering for the return of the Creepometer I'm afraid to say that after extensive work I have been unable to revise the Creepometer model in line with the demands of the current game. I cannot, in all honesty put out something that does not meet my professional standards and that I know cannot maintain the high level of accuracy set in previous years and it is with a heavy heart that I must formally declare the Creepometer dead and I will not be relauncing it in 2021/22 as many of you were requesting. I would like to go on record and thank everyone for their support over the years. UTB

I'm shocked, given the availability of Big Data and improved computer processing power. I would have thought that 2021's technology would be the ideal platform for such a sophisticated algorithm.

 

[Flatulent_Bob]

I'm shocked, given the availability of Big Data and improved computer processing power. I would have thought that 2021's technology would be the ideal platform for such a sophisticated algorithm.

I don't think the issue is with the lack of data hooks and feeds, more in the number of naturally occurring Creepyfucks, which appear to be a particularly scarce resource these days.

 

[Creepy]

Creepy fucks are definitely in short supply these days