Compared with last season...

[blade67]

Based on comparable fixtures our progress looks like this. 50 points from 27 games when we got 42 from the comparable matches last year. We only got 4 points from the next 4 fixtures last year, with defeats at home to Bolton and away at Wolves and a draw at Villa.

However , we gained 22 points from the next 11 fixtures last year , so it's going to be real challenge to maintain the gap in comparable fixtures over the next few weeks.

 

[grafikhaus]

Graph would make more sense with opponents on x-axis than game numbers but I've not worked out how to do that yet ;-)

Now you have!

 

[blade67]

Now you have!

I found this site called google from where you seem to be able to find the answer to almost anything

Highly recommend.

 

[cahill]

I found this site called google from where you seem to be able to find the answer to almost anything

Highly recommend.

How many children have I got and what are their names ? What is the sound of one hand clapping ?

 

[Tony Currie]

Based on comparable fixtures our progress looks like this. 50 points from 27 games when we got 42 from the comparable matches last year. We only got 4 points from the next 4 fixtures last year, with defeats at home to Bolton and away at Wolves and a draw at Villa.

However , we gained 22 points from the next 11 fixtures last year , so it's going to be real challenge to maintain the gap in comparable fixtures over the next few weeks.

View attachment 48373

What we need is a third run of 4 straight wins (some where along the line) that gives us 62 points.This then leaves us with a very achievable 25 points needed from the remaining 15 games for autos. March/April looks looks a good place to pick up the four wins.

 

[Yewsman]

Based on comparable fixtures our progress looks like this. 50 points from 27 games when we got 42 from the comparable matches last year. We only got 4 points from the next 4 fixtures last year, with defeats at home to Bolton and away at Wolves and a draw at Villa.

However , we gained 22 points from the next 11 fixtures last year , so it's going to be real challenge to maintain the gap in comparable fixtures over the next few weeks.

View attachment 48373

What did us last year, looking at this graph, was the last 9 games where we seem to have only picked up 5 points with some very poor results. Hopefully this team is not going to go through a patch as bad as that.

UTB

 

[RossoDeltic]

How many children have I got and what are their names ? What is the sound of one hand clapping ?

I know what ‘One Man Clapping’ sounds like.

 

[ChemEngBlade]

So before today's game, we're averaging 1.85 points per game, which would see us finish on 85 after 46 played. Since 08/09 this would see us 2nd, 3rd, 2nd, 4th, 2nd, Joint 3rd, Joint 4th, 4th, Joint 3rd and 4th. Obviously some years are tougher than other depending on who came down last season from the Prem usually but if we carry this on, 2nd is a real possibility, although the trend is that over the last 4/5 years its getting tougher with no 2nd place finish. Just gotta keep up the momentum with Norwich winning last night

 

[cahill]

What we need is a third run of 4 straight wins (some where along the line) that gives us 62 points.This then leaves us with a very achievable 25 points needed from the remaining 15 games for autos. March/April looks looks a good place to pick up the four wins.

I thought we’d already won three times four in a row ? Win today and it’s 5 games

 

[tyke1889]

How many children have I got and what are their names ? What is the sound of one hand clapping ?

 

[blade67]

How many children have I got and what are their names ? What is the sound of one hand clapping ?

How many children have I got and what are their names ?
3 -

Kyah Cahill​

, ​

Shae Cahill​

, ​

Sienna Cahill​

What is the sound of one hand clapping ?


Not totally sure about the top answer , but that's what this google thing tells me.

But I'm totally sure about the second one. It comes with video and everything.

It's amazing, you can find it at www.google.com. Wish I'd found it before, but now I'm an evangelist.

 

[cahill]

How many children have I got and what are their names ?
3 -

Kyah Cahill
,
Shae Cahill
,
Sienna Cahill​

What is the sound of one hand clapping ?


Not totally sure about the top answer , but that's what this google thing tells me.

But I'm totally sure about the second one. It comes with video and everything.

It's amazing, you can find it at www.google.com. Wish I'd found it before, but now I'm an evangelist.

Stalker

 

[grafikhaus]

Fun while it lasted...



In third place (but could be fourth after WBA play at Bolton tomorrow)

 

[grafikhaus]

Good point and we haven't lost two games 'on the bounce' all season:



Yes, yes I know we briefly dropped to fourth in midweek but that would overly-complicate matters. Like introducing 'The Sound of One Hand Clapping' vids. into this thread:

 

[blade67]

still showing 6 points up when using comparable fixtures.

we only got 24 more points last season in the 17 remaining comparable fixtures.

Looking at the graufikas chart above we only won another 23 points between now and the end of the season in 17 games.

 

[grafikhaus]

As ever, we didn't let a slight 'blip' put us off course. (just for coaxingstar71 , I've increased the y axis...)


Played a game more than the pigs but we're a mere 16 points ahead of them, which we'll need as Wendy are mounting a late promotion charge. That's if they play the bottom club every week. And get lucky last-minute winners.



Briefly in second place but back to third owing to Norwich's win at Leeds (must have been heavy snow in the Norwich area preventing Bielsa's spies operating). I'll take that though as we've gained 3 points on Colin Murray's Champions:



Oh, and today was Billy's 223rd goal in league football and Wilder's 222nd point since he joined us as manager.

 

[PeterNdlovu081]

Good point and we haven't lost two games 'on the bounce' all season

What do you mean?

 

[oldblade]

Good point and we haven't lost two games 'on the bounce' all season:

I know it's a long time ago, but we lost our first two games.

 

[grafikhaus]

What do you mean?

I know it's a long time ago, but we lost our first two games.

True. Sorry.

Since losing our first and second games of the season (Swansea and Middlesbrough), we've always bounced back with either wins or draws after the following single losses.

 

[oldblade]

True. Sorry.

Since losing our first and second games of the season (Swansea and Middlesbrough), we've always bounced back with either wins or draws after the following single losses.

That is true.

Last week illustrates your point very well. Last season I think we would almost certainly have lost a match like that.

 

[grafikhaus]

True. Sorry.

Since losing our first and second games of the season (Swansea and Middlesbrough), we've always bounced back with either wins or draws after the following single losses.

That is true.

Last week illustrates your point very well. Last season I think we would almost certainly have lost a match like that.

To demonstrate our 'bouncebackability':

We lost the first two games of the season - and then won the next four.
Then we lost at Bristol City - and our next five games were D, W, W, W, W
Losing in a poor performance at FLDC - followed by D, W
Another poor loss at Forest and then D, D, W.
Losing at home to Leeds after a disastrous mistake by our goalie was followed by a win at Reading (never an easy game).
But then we (deservedly) lost at home to WBA. Was our bouncebackability deserting us?
Nope, our four games after that were D, W, W, W, W.
We lost at Swansea but since then - D, W.

Apart from showing that we quickly 'get back in the saddle' after a defeat, we don't draw many. Of the 'challengers', us and Leeds have only drawn six games out of 30. You've got to go down to Wigan in 19th for a team who've drawn less matches (5), but obviously they've lost a lot more.

Draws can kill you, but not always. Our draw at Norwich pegged them back and - if we'd lost that game - we'd have been seven points behind them now. Our draw at Ipswich was poor, as were the draws v the pigs and at Rotherham, but no season is perfect and we've quickly recovered.

 

[blade too long]

it shows we are drawing on bad days , which at least gets us 1 more point on the board
we are now 8 points up on last season in 28 games exactly two thirds of the season gone

so 4 extra points per third of a season , Last season we got 25 points in last third so 4 more would ass 29 points
that would put us on 83 points , but we were coasting in several games as we were resigned to just missing out
If we are in with a chance will get perhaps another few points
Still think 88 will be good enough for top 2, so we are within striking distance

The table now nearly mirrors the points of 2012 /13 season after 28 games and finished thus



Pld W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Reading (C, P) 46 27 8 11 69 41 +28 89 Promotion to 2012–13 Premier League
2 Southampton (P) 46 26 10 10 85 46 +39 88
3 West Ham United (O, P) 46 24 14 8 81 48 +33 86 Qualification for 2012 League Championship
4 Birmingham City 46 20 16 10 78 51 +27 76
5 Blackpool 46 20 15 11 79 59 +20 75
6 Cardiff City 46 19 18 9 66 53 +13 75

4th only getting 76 points

 

[grafikhaus]

Good result, but feels like a loss at the moment...



Can't drop lower than third regardless of results tomorrow.

 

[blade67]

Comparing results against teams we played last year (or their replacements) we are still 9 points ahead.

It's been like that since the start of the season. Hopefully it stays that way but last year we gained 18 points from the next 7 fixtures, so the likelihood is that after the Leeds away game the two lines will be much closer together.

Overall, we only won 23 points from the 15 remaining matches. 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats.
If we repeat that form we are in the play offs, but miles off automatic.

 

[Mad Mick]

Looks like we only won one of the last eight games last year and lost five. I'd be shocked If our points tally for the final eight games this year is as low.

 

[grafikhaus]

Looks like we only won one of the last eight games last year and lost five. I'd be shocked If our points tally for the final eight games this year is as low.

True. The Middlesbrough game this year is game 32. From game 32 last year, our record was:

W, L, W, L, D, W, D, D, D, L, W, D, L, L, W.

So 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses (20 points out of the last 45 last season).

 

[Mad Mick]

Last 8 games are:
Bristol City Home
PNE Away
Brum Away
Millwall Home
Forest Home
Hull Away
Ipswich Home
Stoke Away
I'd expect at least 4 wins out of that lot.

 

[grafikhaus]

Wowzer..!





The 'Brucie Bounce' is in full effect. Just 18 points now...

 

[beatific blade]

Wowzer..!

View attachment 49642

View attachment 49643

The 'Brucie Bounce' is in full effect. Just 18 points now...

View attachment 49644

We need annotation to point out where ‘the Madine Bounce’ started

 

[grafikhaus]

We need annotation to point out where ‘the Madine Bounce’ started

I'm working on it. Not. But I am thinking of doing a graph of the number of 'likes' received after we've won compared to when we've lost.