Compared with last season...

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I've got the graph awaiting posting around midnight. If we win tonight and the next 2 games (that'll be match 37), we'd be exactly where we were, point-wise, as last season.

Trouble is, at match 37 last season, we won six on the trot. As we suspect though, we shouldn't need 90 this year.
 
Ah well. Collective 'bad day at the office'. However I'm sure most of us would have settled for 4 points from the last 2 games. Everybody round us is having squeaky bum time but we must improve vastly on tonight.
34draw.gif
 
Now -5.25 for the season.

On the flip side, we appear to be better away from home, and 4 of the next 6 are away from home so...

I'd take 13 points from he next 18 on offer...
 
when leeds went up in 2nd spot they lost 3 and drew 6 at home
forest the same
swansea won the title they lost 5 and drew 5 at home

so theres no set formula
 
-5.25 compared to last season (as Selly points out). After 34 games last season we had 65 points, so 61 this season is not bad. But uncle Olle has been banging on about the magic number for ages now. I think the doubters are starting to see that 83 will be enough for this season. So based on that we need to get 22 points from the last 12 games (a possible 46 points). That means a slightly less than 2 point a game average, which really does put it in our hands. Of course this is true, as we sit in 2nd. That 22 points looks do-able from the fixtures below, though it is not going to be easy. It means repeating the Bournemouth result and beating teams around us.

SellyOakBlade said:
MAR 2 Oldham (A) 3.00 -3.25
MAR 9 MK Dons (H) 3.00 -3.25
MAR 12 Crewe (A) R 1.75 -3.25
MAR 16 Stevenage (A) 0.00 -3.25
MAR 23 Brentford (H) 3.00 -3.25
MAR 29 Tranmere (A) 1.00 -3.25
APR 1 Carlisle (H) 3.00 -3.25
APR 6 Walsall (A) 0.00 -3.25
APR 13 Swindon (H) R 2.50 -3.25
APR 16 Crawley (H) R 2.50 -3.25
APR 20 Portsmouth (A) P 1.00 -3.25
APR 27 Preston (H) 3.00 -3.25
Click to expand...

The top 6 is as tight as a nun's crutch and I think it will continue to be so. I will say what I said last season, that this is going to go down to the wire. Hopefully the result this year will be better, but there will be twists and turns and I just cannot see anyone running away with it. There are some positive signs. Our blip seems to be over and the other teams do not seem to want it. Donny have been rudderless since Saunders went, Swindon look like doing the same, Bournemouth are slumping, Yeovil will not be able to keep up the momentum, Tranmere are stuttering big time and there are question marks over Brentford. However with SUFC's history I am nervous about a pressured run in and Orient just shows that United will not be doing it the easy way.

As I have said all along, it is going to be fascinating seeing the run in. I just hope to see a little irony with United going up this season with a much worse teams, a lot less points and some damn right luck!?
 
I think a lot depends on how quickly Forte and particularly Murphy are fit. We look a lot more lively with those two in the team.
 
Ollessendro said:
-5.25 compared to last season (as Selly points out). After 34 games last season we had 65 points, so 61 this season is not bad. But uncle Olle has been banging on about the magic number for ages now. I think the doubters are starting to see that 83 will be enough for this season. So based on that we need to get 22 points from the last 12 games (a possible 46 points). That means a slightly less than 2 point a game average, which really does put it in our hands. Of course this is true, as we sit in 2nd. That 22 points looks do-able from the fixtures below, though it is not going to be easy. It means repeating the Bournemouth result and beating teams around us.



The top 6 is as tight as a nun's crutch and I think it will continue to be so. I will say what I said last season, that this is going to go down to the wire. Hopefully the result this year will be better, but there will be twists and turns and I just cannot see anyone running away with it. There are some positive signs. Our blip seems to be over and the other teams do not seem to want it. Donny have been rudderless since Saunders went, Swindon look like doing the same, Bournemouth are slumping, Yeovil will not be able to keep up the momentum, Tranmere are stuttering big time and there are question marks over Brentford. However with SUFC's history I am nervous about a pressured run in and Orient just shows that United will not be doing it the easy way.

As I have said all along, it is going to be fascinating seeing the run in. I just hope to see a little irony with United going up this season with a much worse teams, a lot less points and some damn right luck!?
Click to expand...

With the exception of your ropey maths as Highbury_Blade has already pointed out, I'm sure that any team in the top 6 who average 2ppg will go up, quite possibly as champions.

For us that would be another 24 points ( from 36). 3 points today would be a cracking start, especially with some of the top 6 playing each other.

At this stage I'm not going to start looking at what results I want in the games between the teams around us. Did that last season and wasnt entirely disappointed when the unclean won at Huddersfield as at least it got rid of one of our challengers.

As it was that want the ideal result for us...
 
SellyOakBlade said:
With the exception of your ropey maths as Highbury_Blade has already pointed out, I'm sure that any team in the top 6 who average 2ppg will go up, quite possibly as champions.

For us that would be another 24 points ( from 36). 3 points today would be a cracking start, especially with some of the top 6 playing each other.

At this stage I'm not going to start looking at what results I want in the games between the teams around us. Did that last season and wasnt entirely disappointed when the unclean won at Huddersfield as at least it got rid of one of our challengers.

As it was that want the ideal result for us...
Click to expand...

Just hit the wrong key (3 and 4 are next to each other) that's all!? It was late!?

Seems sensible not to be looking at what results we need to get and particularly not looking at other teams. That said, I would be delighted with 10 points from the next 4 games before a crunch clash with Brentford.
 
An excellent win today and much needed as results were not too kind elsewhere, Bournemouth and Tranmere seem to be imploding at the moment but still any two from seven could go up automatic.
 

Good win today and matching last years result means we stay at -5.25 compared with last season. We'll need to beat MK Dons at home next week to maintain this, but then the two away games at Crewe and Stevenage give us chance to try and take some points back. At this stage last season we had 68 points, so to be 4 behind that is pretty impressive. Really important to get points on the board with Donny, Bournemouth and Swindon winning. Yeovil are keeping up their fantastic form as well, whilst Bournemouth and Tranmere have both imploded. Most importantly we get another 3 points towards that magic number of 83. Just 19 points from the final 33 points up for grabs needed. 11 games of which we need to win at least 6. Come on Blades.
 
The away form is really impressive at the moment. I don't expect us to win the next 3 games but if we win two of them,i reckon we will still be in the top two
 
Ollessendro said:
Just hit the wrong key (3 and 4 are next to each other) that's all!? It was late!?

Seems sensible not to be looking at what results we need to get and particularly not looking at other teams. That said, I would be delighted with 10 points from the next 4 games before a crunch clash with Brentford.
Click to expand...

12:45 KO and no one will be awake. 0-0 written all over it
 
Vast improvement on Orient game (not difficult) but toothless up front. Still, another clean sheet (5 games now).

36draw.gif
 
Ollessendro said:
Good win today and matching last years result means we stay at -5.25 compared with last season. We'll need to beat MK Dons at home next week to maintain this, but then the two away games at Crewe and Stevenage give us chance to try and take some points back. At this stage last season we had 68 points, so to be 4 behind that is pretty impressive. Really important to get points on the board with Donny, Bournemouth and Swindon winning. Yeovil are keeping up their fantastic form as well, whilst Bournemouth and Tranmere have both imploded. Most importantly we get another 3 points towards that magic number of 83. Just 19 points from the final 33 points up for grabs needed. 11 games of which we need to win at least 6. Come on Blades.
Click to expand...

With yesterday's draw we drop another 2 points on last season and are now 7.25 points down in comparative games from last season. The next 2 (Crewe 1.75 and Stevenage 0) give us a chance to claw points back. With that disappointing result yesterday, it is important that we pick up points away from this week. Both games look potentially tricky, but I would be disappointed if we did not pick up at least 4 points. It is bizarre that we still sit in 2nd, with the others spurning the opportunity to put pressure on us and Donny. My magic number of 83 is looking nailed on. That would mean 18 points from the last 10 games. 6 wins or 5 wins wins and 3 draws would see us up. Can we really expect us to keep winning away from home though? I suppose we have every chance, with our excellent defence ,but would be surprised if we did not get defeated on our travels a couple of times.
 
This slipped under the radar as I was drowning my sorrow in a Stevenage boozer. We remain on -5.25 compared to last season. We convincingly beat Brentford at home last season (first home game, 2 nowt I believe) and hence to stay at -5.25 we need to win. It really is a must win game.

We need to get back up to the magic number of projected points 83. Donny are curently projected to get 83.5, but Swindon and Brentford fall short.

We're looking at 16 points from the last 9 games. 1.777 points per game. Just 5 wins from playing that rabble below and we'd sneak over the finish line. Can we do it?
Brentford (H)
Tranmere (A)
Carlisle (H)
Walsall (A)
Swindon (H)
Crawley (H)
Pompey (A)
Crewe (A)
Preston (H)

Looking at those fixtures, we really ought to be getting 15 points. Our win rate for the season (1.75) x 9 (games) would give us 15.8 points. That suggests it would be mighty close and that we might need to up it slightly. I have little faith that we can when the pressure is on.
 
A draw would not have been good enough at Tranmere. Great bounce-back from Stevenage, mid-winter break and let's hope our blip is out of the way...

38win.gif
 

I've said for sometime that 85 points will be enough this year and as each game goes by it is looking more and more the case.

Can we get 17 points out of 24?
 
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