An analysis of our chances vs Scunthorpe

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Bergen Blade

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I’ve got something boring DIY stuff to plan and prepare this weekend, and in the search of an excuse to avoid that I found the 12 minute Blades Player highlights from the Scunthorpe game. I thought I’d have a look at our attacking play and chances created.

First of all, a general impression is that the difference in playing style is obvious. We try to pass it on the deck a lot more, and don’t pump it into the box at any opportunity. I’d need to watch a full game to tell how much we varied it of course.

A look at the chances that the hightlighs showed, with the added count of passes before each finish:


100% chances:

1:58 (into the highlights): Ward hits post. Jordan picks up a loose ball and crosses. 1 pass.

3:22: Evans hits post. We regain possession in their half a few times before a good tackle from Ertl provides Evans with the chance to turn and shoot. 1 pass.

5:40: It is possibly more, but I count 13 uninterupted passes before Cresswell shoots tamely when one on one with the goalkeeper. Many of the passes are sideways and the move takes us back to Nosworthy’s whose dummy, dribble and pass makes the move a penetrative one. Well done to Ward who smartly flicks the ball through to Cressy. 13 passes.

5:57: Bartley header from a corner is saved on the line. 1 pass.


6:32: Ertl converts Calve’s free kick. Ruled out for some unknown reason, possibly Bartley climbing on a defender. 1 pass.

10:08: Cresswell’s (I think) header from corner is saved on the line. 1 pass.


50% chances:

1:16: Evans shot blocked. A passing move that starts in our half, and leads to Calve overlapping and crossing. Easily blocked. 6 passes.

2:05: Ward volley blocked. Evans regained possession in the box and crossed. 1 pass.

2:19: Cresswell heads wide from Calve’s cross. 3 passes.

4: 52: Poor shot from Evans. Cressy wins the ball back in their half, clever pass to Ward who puts in a cross from the byline. 2 passes. Note: Some nice play before Cressy wins it back.

5:42: Jordan picks up a clearence, crosses for Ward, who doesn’t connect properly with his volley. 1 pass.

9:55: Bogdanovic header from a corner. 1 pass.

Also:

We had two penalty appeals, one may have been given on a different day.



SUMMARY:

  • 6 real chances
  • 6 half chances
  • An obvious change of playing style
  • Most chances still happened following moves with few passes.
  • A lot of the chances happened following us winning back the ball in the opposition’s third.
  • Set pieces apart, only the front trio finished the moves which could be classed as chances.

INTERPRETATION:

We can probably consider ourself a little unlucky in this match. Normal chance to goal ratio varies from 3:1 to 4:1. It is also pleasing that our players can show more technical ability than under Blackwell.

However we must be careful so we don’t let the amount of possession and “nice” play make us believe that we really should have scored 4 or 5 ourselves.

The main progress in terms of what I see as effective football, is that we seem determined to make a chance out of it when we win possession high up the pitch.
 



Cheers Bergen, good work.

For me i'd be looking at the defensive issues rather than the attacking issues, we create chances so in time we'll turn them into goals, but we need to be tight at the back and ensure that if we're not getting or scoring chances that we can still cope at the back
 
To me, the 1st goal was a handball in the buildup. The 2nd monty should have been tight on the near post and blocked it, the 3rd Nos should have booted it into touch, and the 4th, well that was just shocking play by simonsen.

so 3 defensive howlers in one game. Could be a freak result, i guess we'll see this afternoon.
 
From a match that impressed fans greatly in terms of attacking play, is it still a little surprising to see that only three real chances were created from open play?

Too many Blades are too easily impressed by a pass or two.
 
We can probably consider ourself a little unlucky in this match. Normal chance to goal ratio varies from 3:1 to 4:1. It is also pleasing that our players can show more technical ability than under Blackwell.

All Good that BB.
Its this bit that most are encoraged by.
I think we have a lot of players able to adapt to GS style.
 
Would be interested to see what Olle thinks of this one.

I'm not being antagonistic either. Given his opinions on things I'd be genuinely interested in his views on this.
 
well considering a lot of games under blackie we went whole games with 1 maybe 2 half chances, then surely this is an improvement and signs that it can get better attackingly, defensively is a different matter at one stage in recent times our defensive record was second to none, last 18 months close to worst record in the championship, what has gone wrong?

MunXy
 
Good stuff Bergen.

You have to acknoweldge though that Scuntorpe are unbelievably weak.

Against Pompey today, a side full of experience, mobility and ability on the ball we had virtually no spells of decent possession. They bossed the game and against the decent sides (I know they are bottom but no idea why) we have no hope of passing the ball AND creating chances.
 
>Too many Blades are too easily impressed by a pass or two
yeah me included .. it's the novelty value :D

>They bossed the game
disagree.. it was a scrappy affair with no team in overall dominance IMO
 
Unfortunately we didn't carry on the good work today, although Portsmouth came to frustrate. Was the goal our only shot on target? And only just at that!
 
Would be interested to see what Olle thinks of this one.

I'm not being antagonistic either. Given his opinions on things I'd be genuinely interested in his views on this.

Does the original post contradict or back up Ollesendro's views?
 
Would be interested to see what Olle thinks of this one.

I'm not being antagonistic either. Given his opinions on things I'd be genuinely interested in his views on this.

I would read Bergens posts all day. He knows his football inside out and is always interesting and thought provoking.

I wouldn't take notice of Ollies 'views on the game' even if my life depended on it...
 

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