Judging by their comeback seasons they are not too different.
but what I think we can learn from the above is that we should not use last season's meagre goal tally as proof that he can't do well again. It may be that it just takes time to get going again after such a long time out.
Interesting post, but I don't think you can draw the above conclusions.
Hughes and Evans (and you acknowledge some of this, granted):
- were out of the game for different time periods
- were playing at different levels when they were incarcerated
- had very different career records when they were incarcerated
- were not very similar as players - Hughes' game was all about using pace to beat the offside trap
- were not the same age
- joined different teams when they came out
- suffered from different injuries in their comeback seasons
- had quite different scoring records in league games in their comeback seasons (18 games, 7 goals against 25 games, 5 goals, so less than 1 in 3 vs 1 in 5) though this is small sample size.
There are far too many variables to say that they are not too different, or that this shows that Evans can do well again.
I agree that Evans might do well again. Any player who (a) has had good seasons before and (b) has had a poor season or time out due to injury might come back and do well - Steve Kabba is an example of that. But you can't draw that conclusion from looking at what Hughes has done.