How many points for autos?

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Berkshire Blade

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90? 95?

I think it could be between those two. 13 wins from the remaining game gets us to 94 and I think that could do it
 

Have you seen these excellent posts?


ucandomagic

Thread 'Matchday 26 Graphs & Charts – Blades Sting The Hornets'

A battling match. Keep Brooks confident and he will fly – he literally did fly as well in the celebration after he scored! Mostly good performances all over the pitch. Probably Burrows’ worst game and we still won. 2 weeks now for the walking wounded to lick their wounds. I thought this game showed up Cleverley as an immature manager. Recent games have shown that our real weakness is when we are pressed hard all over the pitch, but Watford allowed us plenty of time on the ball. Nevertheless, as the League Table below shows – our only struggles are coming in the exact games that they would...
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Wapping Blade said:
Have you seen these excellent posts?


ucandomagic

Thread 'Matchday 26 Graphs & Charts – Blades Sting The Hornets'

A battling match. Keep Brooks confident and he will fly – he literally did fly as well in the celebration after he scored! Mostly good performances all over the pitch. Probably Burrows’ worst game and we still won. 2 weeks now for the walking wounded to lick their wounds. I thought this game showed up Cleverley as an immature manager. Recent games have shown that our real weakness is when we are pressed hard all over the pitch, but Watford allowed us plenty of time on the ball. Nevertheless, as the League Table below shows – our only struggles are coming in the exact games that they would...
  • Like
Click to expand...
I have they are great but that's based on one guys pre set opinion on what amount of points is needed!
 
Jon Bon II said:
Bollocks to autos, are we mathematically safe yet? One step at a time.
Click to expand...
Id say we're safe 😁
As for promotion by the autos we've 19 games left keep the 2 points a game going gives us 93 but one game at a time and fully depends on what signings we make

BBD and cannon
Choudrey and Charles 😁 Charles just to piss off our delusional neighbours ( but what bit I've seen of the lad he'd fit in here )
2 centre backs if possible (personally I'd push for the lad from forest)
 
In the last 10 seasons the 2 teams top of the championship at Christmas have been promoted except Leeds in 2018
 
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Berkshire Blade said:
I have they are great but that's based on one guys pre set opinion on what amount of points is needed!
Click to expand...
They are based on historical data and probability which is a great way of looking at it.
Alternatively you can go through all of the games left for us, Leeds, Burnley, Sunderland etc and make your own predictions for each game, then add it up - which would be based on personal opinion.
Personally I think the latter would show fewer points totals than the graphs, so I'll go with the graphs.
They indicate around 92 points I think, that may be tight though.
That could be 11 wins and 4 draws and 4 defeats from the remaining games, which makes me feel quite confident.
As always, all the teams will drop points they aren't expected to, especially as nerves and pressure kicks in through the last 10 games.
 
de g. said:
91. Only twice in the recent past (last 30 years or so I went back last time I looked) have teams got 90 and not gone up, and never has 91 been insufficient.
Click to expand...
Agree. Last season was an anomaly I hope!
At this stage last season Ipswich in second had 58 points and went on to get 96 (2nd place behind Leicester on 97).
So they got 38 points from their last 19 games.
If we can match that and get 92/93 points that should be enough.
Win the next 3 (I know!) and then we might only need to win another 8 games from the last 16 (plus 4 or 5 draws).
Before I read this thread I was firmly in the 'I want Pigs to get thrashed today' camp (as always), but I am now starting to think Leeds dropping points anywhere HAS to be a good thing.
 
Down the Channels said:
They are based on historical data and probability which is a great way of looking at it.
Alternatively you can go through all of the games left for us, Leeds, Burnley, Sunderland etc and make your own predictions for each game, then add it up - which would be based on personal opinion.
Personally I think the latter would show fewer points totals than the graphs, so I'll go with the graphs.
They indicate around 92 points I think, that may be tight though.
That could be 11 wins and 4 draws and 4 defeats from the remaining games, which makes me feel quite confident.
As always, all the teams will drop points they aren't expected to, especially as nerves and pressure kicks in through the last 10 games.
Click to expand...
The complexion of the league is strange this season. Swansea are 13th but beat us next week and they are just 4 points outside the play offs.

By contrast Coventry (14th) are only 3 points from safety should results go against them.

Consequently there will be very few teams with little to play for and they will be looking to win, which cuts both ways.

That said the gulf between the top 4 and the rest is unusual and would suggest a necessity for a higher total than normal. Similar to when we finished 3rd to Charlton and pigs in league one.
 
I’m working to what we need to do rather than what others might allow and I had 40 points from the last 20 games prior to yesterday.
We hit that and we’re up, beat it the 2 pts per game average and you’re probably Champions.

We’ve got a good run of games for the next 4 so let’s review after that.
 
We have 2 negative factors to overcome
Major - The 2 point deduction
Minor - Our GD being so inferior to Leeds
Shame that O’Hare didn't get a couple yesterday

If we get an auto spot , it will be a great achievement , given the unfinished summer rebuild + the injuries

Beating Leeds at the Lane + Burnley away is a tall order but we seem to have the owners , manager & players with the belief that it's possible.

With some good signings en route , it's yet again an exciting time to be a Blade.
 
I'll predict this now. Will be interesting to come back to it

1st. 96
2nd. 93
3rd. 92
4th. 86

Probably the best top 2 race for years
 
N20 Blade said:
The complexion of the league is strange this season. Swansea are 13th but beat us next week and they are just 4 points outside the play offs.

By contrast Coventry (14th) are only 3 points from safety should results go against them.

Consequently there will be very few teams with little to play for and they will be looking to win, which cuts both ways.

That said the gulf between the top 4 and the rest is unusual and would suggest a necessity for a higher total than normal. Similar to when we finished 3rd to Charlton and pigs in league one.
Click to expand...
Good points.
The last 3 games of that 2011-12 season from us and them still annoy me!
Not sure I could cope with that again.
 
Flatulent_Bob said:
I’m working to what we need to do rather than what others might allow and I had 40 points from the last 20 games prior to yesterday.
We hit that and we’re up, beat it the 2 pts per game average and you’re probably Champions.

We’ve got a good run of games for the next 4 so let’s review after that.
Click to expand...
The commentators during the Leeds v Pigs game today said that the last time a team didn't get promoted from the second tier when they averaged 2 points per game at end of season, was in 1910! (factoring in the 3 points v 2 points change).
Can anyone confirm that?
It is very rare. But if it happens to anyone then.........you know the rest.
 
Down the Channels said:
The commentators during the Leeds v Pigs game today said that the last time a team didn't get promoted from the second tier when they averaged 2 points per game at end of season, was in 1910! (factoring in the 3 points v 2 points change).
Can anyone confirm that?
It is very rare. But if it happens to anyone then.........you know the rest.
Click to expand...
God this thread is a depressing read
Are you all just broken as people
You would think. Supporting this club was just one long shit experience after another but I seem to. Remember quite a few good times, why can't any of you ??
What the fuck. Is wrong with you.?
 
Down the Channels said:
The commentators during the Leeds v Pigs game today said that the last time a team didn't get promoted from the second tier when they averaged 2 points per game at end of season, was in 1910! (factoring in the 3 points v 2 points change).
Can anyone confirm that?
It is very rare. But if it happens to anyone then.........you know the rest.
Click to expand...
Did the truffle hunters miss out on promotion the first season it was 3 points forra win ?
Found it.... 81/82 season ......

Screenshot_20250119_162114_Chrome.webp
 
Last edited:

Down the Channels said:
The commentators during the Leeds v Pigs game today said that the last time a team didn't get promoted from the second tier when they averaged 2 points per game at end of season, was in 1910! (factoring in the 3 points v 2 points change).
Can anyone confirm that?
It is very rare. But if it happens to anyone then.........you know the rest.
Click to expand...
1910? Dont think so? See link below

 
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