Ok this is how we can make the play-offs:

[FMBlade1]

Cardiff leading at Derby......

Barnsley losing which is good as we need them desperate as possible to beat Brentford and Derby for us

 

[oldblade]

Having calmed down a bit....

Current table as things stand:

6

Millwall FC 44 18 15 11 55:43 12 69
7

Derby County 43 18 14 11 62:45 17 68
8

Brentford FC 44 18 14 12 61:49 12 68
9

Preston North End 44 17 16 11 54:45 9 67
10

Bristol City 44 17 15 12 65:55 10 66
11

Sheffield United 44 19 9 16 59:52 7 66

Millwall:

Middlesbrough A
Aston Villa H

We need them to fail to win both of these. Certainly possible, let's say they draw both.....

Derby County

Cardiff H
Villa A
Barnsley H

Their goal difference is much better than ours, so we need them to pick up no more than three points from these games. They do have a history of bottling things and are in poor form. Should beat Barnsley (who are nevertheless fighting for their lives), again its possible that they get nothing from Cardiff and Villa.....

Brentford

Barnsley A
Hull H

I think they have a really good chance. For us if they pick up more than 3 points it's all over. It's Barnsley's last home game of the season and desperately need a result. Hull have nothing to play for but are on good form and do have a good squad capable of picking up a result. The irony is not lost on me that we are relying on our Yorkshire rivals....

Preston and Bristol City

Whatever they do will be irrelevant as long as beat them both.....

Conclusion:

I would say if we win both our remaining games there's a fair outside chance we would make it. So let's win our last two games.

It would be nice to at least beat Preston and Derby to mess up so we have something to play for on the last day.

WE CAN STILL DO THIS

I think there is a real possibility that both Millwall and Derby will fail to get to 72 points.

As you point out, if we do our job and beat both Preston and Bristol City they will be out of the equation.

The problem is Brentford. I really cannot see them failing to get at least 4 points from those two games. They will at least draw with Hull and I think they will beat Barnsley.

 

[Nicolaus_Copernicus]

You say Derby have a reputation for bottling it but you're forgetting that we're the biggest bottlers in the history of the fucking sport.

Apart from last season when was the last time we even won our last two matches of the season? Probably about 1957.

Cheeky. It was the 09/10 season. Home v. Swansea & away v. Ipswich. However, the next time after that was 92/93.

 

[FMBlade1]

I think there is a real possibility that both Millwall and Derby will fail to get to 72 points.

As you point out, if we do our job and beat both Preston and Bristol City they will be out of the equation.

The problem is Brentford. I really cannot see them failing to get at least 4 points from those two games. They will at least draw with Hull and I think they will beat Barnsley.

I think you are probably right that Brentford will get four points leaving them with 72. Let's say they win their game by one goal, that leaves them with a goal difference of +13.

We are on +7 at the moment. They have scored more goals than us, so we would have to win 3-0 and 4-0 to overturn that deficit so not going to happen.

What I'm looking for is for Derby to lose tonight and us to win on Saturday and no matter what mathematically we'd be with a chance on the final day and who knows what would happen. Hull almost beat Bristol City last week of course so things are a bit crazy....

 

[blademark]

Yes Brentford are the biggest problem. They are the only ones who need to lose a game they will be clear favourites for. Strangely I think they are probably the only team who can beat Fulham as well. A Brentford Villa final is my surprise prediction. Vila to win it.

 

[blackydog]

I'm in we're nailed on.

 

[wavy-blade]

Having calmed down a bit....

Current table as things stand:

6

Millwall FC 44 18 15 11 55:43 12 69
7

Derby County 43 18 14 11 62:45 17 68
8

Brentford FC 44 18 14 12 61:49 12 68
9

Preston North End 44 17 16 11 54:45 9 67
10

Bristol City 44 17 15 12 65:55 10 66
11

Sheffield United 44 19 9 16 59:52 7 66

Millwall:

Middlesbrough A
Aston Villa H

We need them to fail to win both of these. Certainly possible, let's say they draw both.....

Derby County

Cardiff H
Villa A
Barnsley H

Their goal difference is much better than ours, so we need them to pick up no more than three points from these games. They do have a history of bottling things and are in poor form. Should beat Barnsley (who are nevertheless fighting for their lives), again its possible that they get nothing from Cardiff and Villa.....

Brentford

Barnsley A
Hull H

I think they have a really good chance. For us if they pick up more than 3 points it's all over. It's Barnsley's last home game of the season and desperately need a result. Hull have nothing to play for but are on good form and do have a good squad capable of picking up a result. The irony is not lost on me that we are relying on our Yorkshire rivals....

Preston and Bristol City

Whatever they do will be irrelevant as long as beat them both.....

Conclusion:

I would say if we win both our remaining games there's a fair outside chance we would make it. So let's win our last two games.

It would be nice to at least beat Preston and Derby to mess up so we have something to play for on the last day.

WE CAN STILL DO THIS

Did you see us against Birmingham , NO FOOOKING CHANCE !

 

[FMBlade1]

And Derby have equalised, classic

 

[1973Blade]

Derby winning now, this theory is going out of the window!

 

[thehet]

Lets just get this season over with now and start building for next year. We know the problem - defending. We need to improve across the board because if we start next season like we finished this one we'll be in for a rough ride.

 

[Deadbat]

It's over now all bar the shouting...Derby only need a point to better us no matter what we do. Last game for Derby is at home to Barnsley. Doubt we will win both anyway. The race for 7th now!

 

[GRUMPY BLADE]

Derby winning now, this theory is going out of the window!

Don't think it ever came in doors to have to leave by the window.

 

[Lawrence]

theres always one team that balls and its usually us.

Yes Cardiff fucked it up... it all over with 2 games to go

 

[BornOnShorehamStreet]

It's over now all bar the shouting...Derby only need a point to better us no matter what we do. Last game for Derby is at home to Barnsley. Doubt we will win both anyway. The race for 7th now!

I'd rather finish 8th or 9th than 7th

 

[shrubbery]

Let's hope that Fulham finish in second now and Cardiff get stuffed in the playoffs.

 

[Grappler]

I'd rather finish 8th or 9th than 7th

Yeah I know what you mean.

 

[GRUMPY BLADE]

I'd rather finish 8th or 9th than 7th

7/8/9, all represent a good season.

 

[wizadry]

I'd rather finish 8th or 9th than 7th

7th means we’ll get £1.50p more in the transfer kitty, meaning a total of £3, every position counts.

 

[Bruce Wayne]

 

[Stretch]

Yep, pretty much done and dusted for us now. Just really want us to stuff Bristol City whatever else happens.

 

[wizadry]

View attachment 38853

Easy!

Come off the baulk cushion with a touch of left hand side.

 

[PeterNdlovu081]

Call me weird but I'd rather finish 7th than 8th or 9th.

 

[Eric Cartman]

7/8/9, all represent a good season.

Yet one which still should’ve and could’ve been so much better

 

[YES Blade]

View attachment 38853

Go for the easy pink or take on the tight brown?

 

[Bruce Wayne]

Go for the easy pink or take on the tight brown?

I'm going for the swerve around the 5 clubs above us with a touch of miracle.

 

[CarlMcBlade]

Errm......How can I say this........Derby 72

 

[CarlMcBlade]

Derby 71

 

[Silent Blade]

4 teams to win the last two games of the season

Villa
Boro
Barnsley
Us

Sorted!

 

[Jehovah]

I can't believe we've fucked this up.

 

[Kenilworth]

I can't believe we've fucked this up.

Oh, yes you can