ucandomagic
Well-Known Member
A point away at Millwall, and it could so easily have been 3. Brooks & Seriki are becoming an increasingly lethal combination. We probably win that with big Pat up top. Cal missed a couple of great chances and the ref missed a blatant penalty on Sam. Sydie and Bindon were too slow to react to the runner for the Millwall goal.
Those who read my last post will know that, from looking at recent history, I identified 71 points as a playoff possible target and 77 points as a playoff highly probable target. I then laid out 2 series of results for our last 18 games that would lead us to those 71 point and 77 point totals at the end of the season.
Table 1 shows my paths to the 2 totals, and adds the Millwall result to that table. The red figures will display our progress relative to the 2 targets. You can see from Table 1 that both targets included 1 point at Millwall – so we are still on target with 17 games to go.
Table 1:
I know that a lot of people like to manage their expectations, and that making the playoffs is still very unlikely, - but it is still a realistic possibility (where there’s life there’s hope) and I like to have a pre-game target to judge each game against.
Graph 1 illustrates our progress visually against the 2 targets. (I have made our actual red line slightly transparent so that the targets are visible through it).
Graph 1:
Finally, I know people like to see my up-to-date League Table with coloured results – so that is below.
Our first point away at a Top 6 Club!
League Table:
Japh and Pat back on Tuesday, and fingers crossed that Sam won’t be out too long – at least it’s one of the few positions where we have genuine cover.
UTB & Slava Ukraini!
Those who read my last post will know that, from looking at recent history, I identified 71 points as a playoff possible target and 77 points as a playoff highly probable target. I then laid out 2 series of results for our last 18 games that would lead us to those 71 point and 77 point totals at the end of the season.
Table 1 shows my paths to the 2 totals, and adds the Millwall result to that table. The red figures will display our progress relative to the 2 targets. You can see from Table 1 that both targets included 1 point at Millwall – so we are still on target with 17 games to go.
Table 1:
I know that a lot of people like to manage their expectations, and that making the playoffs is still very unlikely, - but it is still a realistic possibility (where there’s life there’s hope) and I like to have a pre-game target to judge each game against.
Graph 1 illustrates our progress visually against the 2 targets. (I have made our actual red line slightly transparent so that the targets are visible through it).
Graph 1:
Finally, I know people like to see my up-to-date League Table with coloured results – so that is below.
Our first point away at a Top 6 Club!
League Table:
Japh and Pat back on Tuesday, and fingers crossed that Sam won’t be out too long – at least it’s one of the few positions where we have genuine cover.
UTB & Slava Ukraini!
