The myth of our Play Off 'curse'

All advertisments are hidden for logged in members, why not log in/register?

I don't subscribe to the "curse" idea. I think it's just that we've been shite in the play offs when it's really mattered.

I'm ignoring the 1988 fixture, partly as I wasn't even alive when it happened, and partly because it was a different format to the version of the play-offs that we see now.

1997: Didn't perform in a damp squib of a match in the final, where both sides were guff, besides one instance of quality by Hopkin to drag Palace over the line.
1998: Outplayed by Sunderland in the 2nd leg of the semi final, despite having beaten them at home both in the regular season and in the first leg.
2003: Poor team selection by Warnock, coupled with a team that looked asleep in the first half. Game was gone by half time.
2009: Season thrown away by McCabe selling Beattie. Despite that, we went 2nd in the table with 4 games to go, then scored one goal in those last 4 to finish 3rd. Lost for a third time that season to Burnley. If we'd kept J Beattie, we'd surely have gone up automatically that year.
2012: The perfect example of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. Thoroughly in charge of the race for 2nd, until the Ched fiasco. Then threw it away due to Wilson's plan A being infinitely better than any other tactic he had, Ched was just that good that season. Dragged ourselves to Wembley, and threw the shootout away after Huddersfield went 0 for 3.
2013: Wilson was removed far too late in the season. Should have made the change much earlier than it was. Instead it was left to Morgan to hold the fort, and we gave up in the 2nd leg vs Yeovil.
2015: The start of that 1st leg vs Swindon, we did great. Clough had set us up to stifle their biggest threats, and we were playing well when Freeman scored. But Brayford went off injured, and he was the key to our entire defensive plan. Swindon grew into it, and got their goals in the 2nd half. 2nd leg was a complete farce of a match for both sides.
2022: Seemed like we'd thrown the semi away after the 1st leg where we played awfully for the most part. 2nd leg we were superb, and dominated for the majority of the game. Some very, very poor penalties gave it away. Gibbs-White's effort is still to me, the worst penalty I've ever seen. Not because of poor technique, but because my dead grandmother could have worked out where he was putting the ball. Every stutter he did, he looked at the bottom left corner. Made the keeper's decision on where to dive absurdly easy.

If we were cursed (or rather, if curses were real, and we were the victim of one), I'd expect more instances of stuff like 2012 and 2015, where things seemed to just contrive themselves against us. Ched's legal team being so fucking awful that they lost him his case in 2012, when he was probably the best player in the league that season. And Brayford, the centrepiece of our tactical setup, succumbing to injury in 2015. Other than that, we've lost due to being not good enough.

Curses don't exist. Humans just recognise patterns, and we have an all-encompassing desire to find a reason for such patterns. When a reason doesn't exist (or we can't figure it out), we fall back on these nonsensical explanations - curses, ghosts, etc.

For a while, I didn't think I'd ever see us score at Wembley. I still vividly remember the disbelief I felt when Jose Baxter hooked the ball in vs Hull. And then the same again, when Scougall smashed home for 2-1. And I reckon I'll probably feel the same way once we actually win a play off final. But if I could be proven wrong once by that team under Clough, I have to trust that, in a play off campaign at some stage, we will finally get that win.
 

2009: Season thrown away by McCabe selling Beattie. Despite that, we went 2nd in the table with 4 games to go, then scored one goal in those last 4 to finish 3rd. Lost for a third time that season to Burnley. If we'd kept J Beattie, we'd surely have gone up automatically that year.
We may have gone second, on GD, but we had played a game more.

Its also worth noting that with Beattie in the team we didn`t get higher than 4th, and when he left we were actually in 6th

1743760909328.webp

Its a little simplistic to say we would have gone up with BT Mk1 in the team - our results improved once he left. We amassed 39 points from the last 20 games.
 
We may have gone second, on GD, but we had played a game more.

Its also worth noting that with Beattie in the team we didn`t get higher than 4th, and when he left we were actually in 6th

View attachment 207982

Its a little simplistic to say we would have gone up with BT Mk1 in the team - our results improved once he left. We amassed 39 points from the last 20 games.
If I recall correctly Birmingham has a mini blip towards the end of the season and it was that gave us the chance of automatic on the last day.
 
If I recall correctly Birmingham has a mini blip towards the end of the season and it was that gave us the chance of automatic on the last day.
They lost to PNE the second last game (we had beaten reading earlier that day. Their last 5 games were

1743763045133.webp

We were a point behind after that Charlton Game, and the same after that Plymouth game (and that's where we missed a massive opportunity as we only drew 0-0 with Forest that afternoon)

We then lost at Burnley on a Monday night to leave us 4 points behind - we beat Reading and Birmingham lost to PNE which left us needing to better Birminghams result. We could only draw 0-0 at Palace but that was irrelevant as Birmingham beat reading
 
We may have gone second, on GD, but we had played a game more.

Its also worth noting that with Beattie in the team we didn`t get higher than 4th, and when he left we were actually in 6th

View attachment 207982

Its a little simplistic to say we would have gone up with BT Mk1 in the team - our results improved once he left. We amassed 39 points from the last 20 games.
Perhaps, but the secondary point around the final 4 games certainly holds water.

We finished 3rd with 80 points. Birmingham finished 2nd on 83. And we had the better goal difference.

Final 4 results:

Blades:
Forest (H) - 0-0 draw
Burnley (A) - 1-0 defeat
Swansea (H) - 1-0 win
Palace (A) - 0-0 draw

Birmingham:

Plymouth (H) - 1-1 draw
Watford (A) - 1-0 win
Preston (H) - 2-1 defeat
Reading (A) - 2-1 win

That Forest game in particular is very disappointing on reflection. We were unbeaten in 10, had failed to score just once in our previous 12, Forest hadn't kept a clean sheet in 7 games, and had a man sent off after 16 minutes. And we still failed to even score, never mind win the game.

Maybe it's a little one-dimensional to suggest that keeping Beattie would have made the difference. More appropriate perhaps to instead say that our abject failure to convert chances in the final run-in, is what pushed us into the playoffs, rather than automatic promotion.
 
More appropriate perhaps to instead say that our abject failure to convert chances in the final run-in, is what pushed us into the playoffs, rather than automatic promotion
Agree with this. And not a surprise when our forwards were Ward, Henderson, Lupoli and BT MkII
We finished 3rd with 80 points. Birmingham finished 2nd on 83. And we had the better goal difference.
And yet here we are this season on 83 already with 7 remaining and we are nowhere near securing promotion.
 
The 1997 final against Palace was a dogger game, or that's my recollection of it.

The 2003 game versus Wolves was one of my biggest disappointment as a Blade. It's not that we lost, it's that we barely turned up.
2003.

Straight after the second half kicks off and we're 3-0 down, we get a free kick that almost goes in, then a missed penalty.

I'm still convinced had we scored either of those, we'd have come back and beaten them. That's just how we were that season.
 
Perhaps, but the secondary point around the final 4 games certainly holds water.

We finished 3rd with 80 points. Birmingham finished 2nd on 83. And we had the better goal difference.

Final 4 results:

Blades:
Forest (H) - 0-0 draw
Burnley (A) - 1-0 defeat
Swansea (H) - 1-0 win
Palace (A) - 0-0 draw

Birmingham:

Plymouth (H) - 1-1 draw
Watford (A) - 1-0 win
Preston (H) - 2-1 defeat
Reading (A) - 2-1 win

That Forest game in particular is very disappointing on reflection. We were unbeaten in 10, had failed to score just once in our previous 12, Forest hadn't kept a clean sheet in 7 games, and had a man sent off after 16 minutes. And we still failed to even score, never mind win the game.

Maybe it's a little one-dimensional to suggest that keeping Beattie would have made the difference. More appropriate perhaps to instead say that our abject failure to convert chances in the final run-in, is what pushed us into the playoffs, rather than automatic promotion.

Also, in the 1st game of that season at Birmingham, didn't we hit the post or miss a sitter in the last min to draw the game?
 
If I recall correctly Birmingham has a mini blip towards the end of the season and it was that gave us the chance of automatic on the last day.
Also, after selling Beattie out next 15 games saw us win 9 draw 4 and lose 2 for 31
They lost to PNE the second last game (we had beaten reading earlier that day. Their last 5 games were

View attachment 207983

We were a point behind after that Charlton Game, and the same after that Plymouth game (and that's where we missed a massive opportunity as we only drew 0-0 with Forest that afternoon)



We then lost at Burnley on a Monday night to leave us 4 points behind - we beat Reading and Birmingham lost to PNE which left us needing to better Birminghams result. We could only draw 0-0 at Palace but that was irrelevant as Birmingham beat reading

Yes, we had been 8 points behind Birmingham in 2nd in mid March, but then won 5 on the trot to end up only 1 behind.

The momentum looked with us, but, as you say, we stalled v Forest and Burnley which looked to have ended our chances. However, the unexpected Birmingham defeat to Preston revived our hopes...
 
Also, in the 1st game of that season at Birmingham, didn't we hit the post or miss a sitter in the last min to draw the game?
Not to my recollection - it was 0-0 until they scored in the last minute. We may have hit the post prior to that.
 
Agree with this. And not a surprise when our forwards were Ward, Henderson, Lupoli and BT MkII

And yet here we are this season on 83 already with 7 remaining and we are nowhere near securing promotion.
With 7 games to go that season, Birmingham were in 2nd with 71 points!
 
It's a bit risky isn't it? If the penalty is struck low and with power into the open corner, the keeper has no chance.

Browns was saved because it was a poor penalty. Shoulder height, not far from the centre and not much power.
Yes but is it a psychological thing? If you leave a bigger gap does the take naturally put it in the 'middle' of that gap, rather than right in the corner?
 
Also, in the 1st game of that season at Birmingham, didn't we hit the post or miss a sitter in the last min to draw the game?
Stead hit the outside of the post in injury time after we’d gone 1-0 down. It was a shot from the wing, and not in any way an easy chance.
 
Wolves missed their first 2 here, so the Pigs were 3-0 up as Wolves took their 3rd, but still lost😄

I was watching that shootout on Sportsnight without knowing the score. At the very moment thr Pigs went 3-0 up, one of my housemates burst in having watched the game in the pub and said “what a comeback by Wolves in the shootout!”. His timing was sitcomesque.
 

We may have gone second, on GD, but we had played a game more.

Its also worth noting that with Beattie in the team we didn`t get higher than 4th, and when he left we were actually in 6th

View attachment 207982

Its a little simplistic to say we would have gone up with BT Mk1 in the team - our results improved once he left. We amassed 39 points from the last 20 games.
I’ve said it before and ill say it again, but the better results after Beattie left were because (1) cotterill was restored to the side (2) Sharp (in awful form) was dropped and (3) the defence, already doing well, was excellent.

If We’d had Beattie as well we’d have walked promotion, not done worse.
 
I'm surprised more keepers don't try that as a psychological thing, never seen another keeper try it

View attachment 207979
It's the one and only time I've seen it. Thanks for finding a picture of it.

As said by someone else, it's risky as a penalty right into the corner is unsaveable, but leaving the door open gets into the head of the taker, as you're inviting them to shoot there and they know which way you'll dive. There's more pressure on the taker than the keeper as a result. It's clever.
 
Perhaps, but the secondary point around the final 4 games certainly holds water.

We finished 3rd with 80 points. Birmingham finished 2nd on 83. And we had the better goal difference.

Final 4 results:

Blades:
Forest (H) - 0-0 draw
Burnley (A) - 1-0 defeat
Swansea (H) - 1-0 win
Palace (A) - 0-0 draw

Birmingham:

Plymouth (H) - 1-1 draw
Watford (A) - 1-0 win
Preston (H) - 2-1 defeat
Reading (A) - 2-1 win

That Forest game in particular is very disappointing on reflection. We were unbeaten in 10, had failed to score just once in our previous 12, Forest hadn't kept a clean sheet in 7 games, and had a man sent off after 16 minutes. And we still failed to even score, never mind win the game.

Maybe it's a little one-dimensional to suggest that keeping Beattie would have made the difference. More appropriate perhaps to instead say that our abject failure to convert chances in the final run-in, is what pushed us into the playoffs, rather than automatic promotion.
83 points for 2nd place would be nice this season…
 
We've been in eight promotion play offs
So you ignoring the first one then? it was classed as a play off although not in the sea format as today. That's like forgetting every previous automatic promotion that wasn't in the same format as today, or forgetting all the title winners when not was 2 points for a win.
 
So you ignoring the first one then? it was classed as a play off although not in the sea format as today. That's like forgetting every previous automatic promotion that wasn't in the same format as today, or forgetting all the title winners when not was 2 points for a win.

Yes I am ignoring it. Because we won't be in a relegation play off this season.
 
no luck in the past ive been to a few play off finals we lost most upsetting one was v palace lost 1.0 hopkin scored it was hell day ,,but 2025 mighty sufc BLADES will WIN play offs and 10 million new striker tom cannon will send us to top league with a final great hatrick,youll see,rock on tommy blades goal man,,utb..
 
The three previous times we've finished 3rd in the play off era, we have made it to the final.
 
Don’t think we’ve ever being in the Play Offs when the top three have been so much better than everyone else.

The fact that we will be 23 points (25 points) better than 5th and 6th is a huge gap and probably more than the gap from 5th to 24th, not to mention the teams getting in there have almost got a flat goal difference. Perhaps because the top three have been so good it’s almost like the last play offs are going to be taken by mid table teams.

As much as the promoted three coming down is now becoming a thing, it’s quite feasible that the relegated teams going up becomes a regular thing too. Hopefully it will this year.

As mentioned by the lad on here, Sunderland’s form has been poor for some time. It’s almost as if they’ve had too long not going for anything that it’s knocked their edge off.

For us two matches just seemed right; long enough to come to terms with missing out on automatics and short enough to use the matches purposefully but without fear of going stale.

I think we are well placed this time if I’m honest. Plus we don’t seem to be missing a plethora of key players like prior years either.

Play Offs appear to be made for Burnley who don’t concede or us who seem to be able to find a way to get wins, regardless of how fluent we are.

Let’s see that trend continue!
 
Former/current Sheffield United players who scored in a Championship Play Off Final since 1992-93.

Tommy Johnson (Derby) 1994
*Clive Mendonca (Charlton) 1998
Geoff Horsfield (Birmingham) 2002
Nathan Blake (Wolves) 2003
Neil Shipperley (Crystal Palace) 2004
Darius Henderson (Watford) 2006
Dean Windass (Hull) 2008
Gus Hamer (Coventry) 2023

*hat-trick!
 

All advertisments are hidden for logged in members, why not log in/register?

All advertisments are hidden for logged in members, why not log in/register?

Back
Top Bottom