ucandomagic
Well-Known Member
The Millwall game was a "Rinse & Repeat" of the Oxford game – pick the same team with the same approach and get the same result. Isn't that a sign of something?!
So where can we go from here?
With their goal difference, Burnley are effectively 2.5 points above us, so we need at least 3 points more than them from the last 5 games.
Well it’s still in our hands –
If we win all 5 (including the Turf Moor game), Table 1 shows that we’re above Burnley, even if they win their other 4 games (98 points to their 97).
Table 1:
Table 2 then shows that if we only draw at Turf Moor, then Burnley have to drop points in 2 of their other games – I’ve picked away at Watford and QPR for that – 96 points to their 94.
Table 2:
Graph 1 shows those 2 possibilities – if you’re on a big enough screen!
Graph 1:
Small straws to clutch – but straws none the less!
To put into perspective any doom and gloom, as usual, Graph 2 compares this season against our last 3 successful promotions from this level (all in second place), in 2005/06, 2018/19 and 2022/23. On 83 points after 41 games (with the 2-point deduction) we are still 5 points ahead of the 78 points that we had under Wilder in 18/19, 4 points ahead of Hecky in 22/23 and 4 points ahead of Warnock in 05/06. In fact we’re still only about 2 equivalent points behind what I regard as our best ever season at this level in 1952/53 under Reg Freeman.
2 disappointing results should not erase the achievement so far – the Championship is in historically uncharted waters this year, and we’re still in the leading pack.
Graph 2:
Finally, the coloured annotated League Table (before Wednesday night’s results), which just highlights the unwelcome creep of red!
League Table:
But Where There’s Life There’s Hope!
UTB & Slava Ukraini!
So where can we go from here?
With their goal difference, Burnley are effectively 2.5 points above us, so we need at least 3 points more than them from the last 5 games.
Well it’s still in our hands –
If we win all 5 (including the Turf Moor game), Table 1 shows that we’re above Burnley, even if they win their other 4 games (98 points to their 97).
Table 1:
Table 2 then shows that if we only draw at Turf Moor, then Burnley have to drop points in 2 of their other games – I’ve picked away at Watford and QPR for that – 96 points to their 94.
Table 2:
Graph 1 shows those 2 possibilities – if you’re on a big enough screen!
Graph 1:
Small straws to clutch – but straws none the less!
To put into perspective any doom and gloom, as usual, Graph 2 compares this season against our last 3 successful promotions from this level (all in second place), in 2005/06, 2018/19 and 2022/23. On 83 points after 41 games (with the 2-point deduction) we are still 5 points ahead of the 78 points that we had under Wilder in 18/19, 4 points ahead of Hecky in 22/23 and 4 points ahead of Warnock in 05/06. In fact we’re still only about 2 equivalent points behind what I regard as our best ever season at this level in 1952/53 under Reg Freeman.
2 disappointing results should not erase the achievement so far – the Championship is in historically uncharted waters this year, and we’re still in the leading pack.
Graph 2:
Finally, the coloured annotated League Table (before Wednesday night’s results), which just highlights the unwelcome creep of red!
League Table:
But Where There’s Life There’s Hope!
UTB & Slava Ukraini!
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