ucandomagic
Active Member
Quite a week. I was convinced VAR was going to give them a penalty at the death - but all was well and it was all pretty emotional at full time. Vinnie has now joined George, JLT and McA as my current personal favourites. VAR decisions continue to astound me. Palace had a penalty denied because of a foul before the penalty foul that was only half as bad as the Liverpool foul on Bogle on Wednesday. The assault on Vinnie today was a stone wall red, and in the Arsenal game their bloke had his leg kicked from under him and the ref wasn't even called over to look at it. I'm actually a big fan of VAR technology - but not of the idiots who are interpreting it.
Just a quick one tonight - as I was very late getting home - so I'll just post the main graph. This compares our last 2 Premier League seasons with this season and with various probability survival curves. You can see that with 8 points from 16 games we are 6 points ahead of where we were in 20/21, so this season isn't anywhere near as bad as that. Also, we are 6 points behind the 50% survival curve - so only a couple of surprise wins away - Wilder things have happened!
A snap look at the table shows the size of our task. I always look for patterns in the colours - so it is interesting that our two wins are next to each other. Perhaps they are home wins against mid table teams who don't just sit back at the Lane, but aren't of the quality of the higher teams to beat us.
Chelsea and Villa away before Luton on Boxing Day - so any points before then will be a bonus. The 50% Survival Graph only takes 1 point from the 2 games before taking 3 points from Luton - so let's hope we can at least match that.
UTB & Slava Ukraini
Just a quick one tonight - as I was very late getting home - so I'll just post the main graph. This compares our last 2 Premier League seasons with this season and with various probability survival curves. You can see that with 8 points from 16 games we are 6 points ahead of where we were in 20/21, so this season isn't anywhere near as bad as that. Also, we are 6 points behind the 50% survival curve - so only a couple of surprise wins away - Wilder things have happened!
A snap look at the table shows the size of our task. I always look for patterns in the colours - so it is interesting that our two wins are next to each other. Perhaps they are home wins against mid table teams who don't just sit back at the Lane, but aren't of the quality of the higher teams to beat us.
Chelsea and Villa away before Luton on Boxing Day - so any points before then will be a bonus. The 50% Survival Graph only takes 1 point from the 2 games before taking 3 points from Luton - so let's hope we can at least match that.
UTB & Slava Ukraini
