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BladeFisher

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That on the last day of the season we will need a win to stay up. And yes just like Walsall all those years ago we are playing another team from the West Midlands.

Odds anyone?
 

At this moment I doubt we will take it to the last day, relegated by the Tranmere game I reckon.
 
Up until recently I thought we would stop up but I assumed we would be bringing in quality players,including a Goalscorer, in the JTW. Obviously we have been lied to by the board again and there is no money.

I can't see us scoring enough goals with the players we have to reach the safety target of 50 -54 points, bearing in mind we have all the better teams in the league left to play.

Like Za I can't see us taking it as far as the last game.
 
We can stay up, but we need players. Transfer window has ended with nuttin doin. Remains to be seen if we get anybody in on loan. Need a quality striker and a quality CM'er or we're basically toast.
 
We can stay up, but we need players. Transfer window has ended with nuttin doin. Remains to be seen if we get anybody in on loan. Need a quality striker and a quality CM'er or we're basically toast.
Unfortunately the players made available in the loan window to clubs at our level are usually dogshit.
 
Given the title of this thread, it's worth noting that we are 5/1 with Victor Chandler to be relegated, 9/2 with Ladbrokes and Paddy Power. They're saying there's less than a 20 per cent chance of that happening. Mind you, we were 12/1 shots to be relegated going into the last day of the 1993/94 season and 7/1 on the morning of the Wigan game in 2007.
 
Given the title of this thread, it's worth noting that we are 5/1 with Victor Chandler to be relegated, 9/2 with Ladbrokes and Paddy Power. They're saying there's less than a 20 per cent chance of that happening. Mind you, we were 12/1 shots to be relegated going into the last day of the 1993/94 season and 7/1 on the morning of the Wigan game in 2007.

I reckon 9/2 = 22% chance myself, but maybe I don't get odds (9/2 = 4.5/1 = 1/4.5 = 0.22). Clearly the bookies haven't seen us play Notts County, Walsall and Crewe.
 
Might have a bit at 5/1 just in case the worst does happen! Still reckon we'll stay up though.
 
I reckon 9/2 = 22% chance myself, but maybe I don't get odds (9/2 = 4.5/1 = 1/4.5 = 0.22). Clearly the bookies haven't seen us play Notts County, Walsall and Crewe.

I've spent a lifetime backing horses and betting odds are one thing I do understand. Odds of 9/2 suggest that there are two chances in eleven of United being relegated. Two-elevenths, expressed as a percentage is 18.18. The VC odds of 5/1 equate to 16.67%.

Think about throwing dice. There's a one in six chance of any particular number coming up. That would be expressed as 5/1, not 6/1. Or tossing a coin. Heads would be a one in two chance, as would tails. That would be expressed as evens or 1/1. No bookie would offer you 2/1.
 
I've spent a lifetime backing horses and betting odds are one thing I do understand. Odds of 9/2 suggest that there are two chances in eleven of United being relegated. Two-elevenths, expressed as a percentage is 18.18. The VC odds of 5/1 equate to 16.67%.

Think about throwing dice. There's a one in six chance of any particular number coming up. That would be expressed as 5/1, not 6/1. Or tossing a coin. Heads would be a one in two chance, as would tails. That would be expressed as evens or 1/1. No bookie would offer you 2/1.

Thanks for explaining that. You can see from my maths I thought it was 2 chances in 9. You know they say you learn something everyday. I just have. Thanks. :):)
 
Pretty good odds to be honest. 5/1 to go down. To put it another way, would you back us to stay up at 1/5? Feck that for a game of soldiers! I reckon it's closer to evens going down.
 

Strange results this season ..... and performances !!!

anyone think that some or all of the players are LAYING United on the Exchanges ?
 
our home form will save us , we are on 26 points , have 7 of next 11 at home
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we have only lost 3 at home in 13 2 under weir
we need 27 points to get to 53 out of 57 available
dont believe the squad now is worse than 20 other clubs over 46
 
Might have a bit at 5/1 just in case the worst does happen! Still reckon we'll stay up though.

Stick a tenner on it and if the worst happens the winnings will buy a bottle of something seriously medicinal. :)
 
we have only lost 3 at home in 13 2 under weir
we need 27 points to get to 53 out of 57 available
dont believe the squad now is worse than 20 other clubs over 46

I agree that over 46 we would finish in a respectable position. The question is, are good enough to finish higher than four others with our squad?
 

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