I think it will be upheld. There was contact, they will support the ref. In cases like this it's irrelevant if 95% of refs wouldn't give it - they will support the ref's opinion unless he is 100% wrong.
How often have you had Gavin Ward reffing you this season? This is the fourth time we have had to suffer him, and it's just not fair. I know there are a lot of bad refs around, but this one just isn't competent. He has no idea of what's a foul, he just gives them whenever anyone falls over and asks for it, and he misses obvious, simple things such as players moving the ball to a better position at a free kick while the ref is moving the ball back. He's supposed to have a spray to help and he still can't do it. I'm sure that whatever Parker said to him was accurate, even though he shouldn't have said it.
It's not all his fault. He's doing what the PGMOL tell him to, no doubt.