False position

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So on his model we should have win two fewer games Sunderland and Hull at a guess) and lost two more (Boro and Luton at a guess).

Infogol provide XG for every match, their data shows

Home fixtures
Sheff Utd 2.23 Millwall 1.34
Sheff Utd 2.05 Sunderland 0.23
Sheff Utd 3.92 Blackburn 0.11
Sheff Utd 2.19 Reading 0.10
Looking at the above ww clearly dominant based on chances and deserved to win all 4 and gain 12 points, that’s what we did.
Think it’s very impressive that in our last 3 home games Fodders has basically had nothing to do.

Away fixtures
SU 0.44 Watford 1.02
SU 0.58 Middlesbrough 1.82
SU 1.2 Luton 1.47
SU 0.58 Hull 1.69
SU 1.87 Swansea 1.73
SU 1.66 Preston 0.84
Looking at the above we should have lost to Boro so picked up an undeserved point.
and according to XG should have lost to Hull City, however I watched this game, we were clearly the superior team.
This match highlights the flaws of XG, almost all of the XG for Hull came from the double save in the 1st half.

Basically we’re probably 3 points better off then where we should be.
We drew with Boro when based on chances we deserved to lose
and we beat Swansea when based on chances we deserved to draw.
 
The counter to the argument that sides who are top after 10 games often fall away is that this form isn’t new it’s simply a continuation of the form we’ve shown pretty much since Slav left and that’s a much bigger sample size than just 10 games it’s not like we were plodding along last year and this year is a drastic difference in performance or results.
 
Paddington isn’t a real bear and if you look back 2 years Christmas was cancelled.🤭
We’re blades we know if it can happen we should be prepared for it.
It’s just Sheffield United way isn’t it Never straight forward. Remember the Ched saga? How we never got promoted that season was just the Sheffield United way and to lose out on promotion to the Wendy’s still haunts me till this day although the bouncing day massacre massively eased the pain. There’s gonna be ups there’s gonna be downs let’s just enjoy the ride
 

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