Compared with last season...

All advertisments are hidden for logged in members, why not log in/register?

One of the weirdest games I've seen in a long time. Swindon's blatant tactic to 'target' Higdon proved cheats don't prosper as he was replaced by the sublime Murphy.

25win.gif
 

GRUMPY BLADE said:
Still a lot of the season left.

Don't write us off.
Click to expand...

Grumpy? Is that really you, Grumpy? :D I think/know the autos have gone. Even if we embark on a remarkable run, I can't see an equivalent collapse from the front runners. We'll see. Play-offs (and success therein) are definitely on. Here's a thought. I think Preston may rest a few on Tuesday. They've been in the top six for so long, it's now in their psyche. As they continue to wobble, they will see retaining a play-off place as their #1 priority.
 
grafikhaus said:
Grumpy? Is that really you, Grumpy? :D I think/know the autos have gone. Even if we embark on a remarkable run, I can't see an equivalent collapse from the front runners. We'll see. Play-offs (and success therein) are definitely on. Here's a thought. I think Preston may rest a few on Tuesday. They've been in the top six for so long, it's now in their psyche. As they continue to wobble, they will see retaining a play-off place as their #1 priority.
Click to expand...


Are we nine points off 54?

Win 6/7 on the trot and then see the top 2/3's arse holes twitch.

Nigel's building sumat.
 
Which teams have we played twice (especially after next week end)?

Oh that'll be all of the top four teams, which will mean that THEY will have to drop points when they play their second game against each other.
 
travellingblade said:
Which teams have we played twice (especially after next week end)?

Oh that'll be all of the top four teams, which will mean that THEY will have to drop points when they play their second game against each other.
Click to expand...
We play Gillingham next Saturday. we play Bristol City on the 14th if we lose this Tuesday's replay
 
I think Preston are the immediate, short-term target. In fourth place. Six points ahead of us. We've got two games in hand. They're twitching like fuck.

Chesterfield will fade when they lose their top goalscorer. :)
 
Sorry of this has been posted elsewhere, but these are the current top 6's remaining fixtures against each other. On the face of it, we have it the easiest...

MK Dons
Bristol H
Chesterfield H
Preston H
Swindon A

Bristol
MK Dons A
Blades H
Swindon H
Preston A
Chesterfield A

Swindon
MK Dons H
Bristol A
Preston A

Preston
Chesterfield A
MK Dons A
Bristol H
Swindon H

Chesterfield
Preston H
MK Dons A
Bristol H
Blades A

Blades
Bristol A
Chesterfield H
 
Nothing to do with 'new manager syndrome.' Nothing to do with Gills 'due for a win'. Everything to do with having no fucking strikers.

I was thinking of not bothering with this 'Comparison' with last year as we couldn't fail to improve on last season, could we? Last season, we were about to go on a seven-match winning run. By game 34 this season, we'll see how much we've really improved.
In 2013-14, NC had 33 games in charge which yielded 41 points - an average PPM (Points Per Match) of 1.24.
This season, we've got 39 points from 26 games - PPM 1.5.
Since he came in as manager, we've had 59 League games under NC which has seen us gain 80 points. That's 1.36 PPM.

As Garth Crooks would say 'Sheffield United. NGE.'

26lose.jpg
 
Last edited:
grafikhaus said:
Nothing to do with 'new manager syndrome.' Nothing to do with Gills 'due for a win'. Everything to do with having no fucking strikers.

I was thinking of not bothering with this 'Comparison' with last year as we couldn't fail to improve on last season, could we? Last season, we were about to go on a seven-match winning run. By game 34 this season, we'll see how much we've really improved.
In 2013-14, NC had 33 games in charge which yielded 41 points - an average PPM (Points Per Match) of 1.24.
This season, we've got 39 points from 26 games - PPM 1.5.
Since he came in as manager, we've had 59 League games under NC which has seen us gain 80 points. That's 1.36 PPM.

As Garth Crooks would say 'Sheffield United. NGE.'

View attachment 10494
Click to expand...

Not over by a long way, lots of games and points left.
 

So, with the glass well over half full, if we achieve 2ppg for the remaining 18 matches we'll achieve 81 points total, which could possibly be enough for auto this year given the current state of the league. More than 2ppg would be a bonus. Less than this would mean the playoff.
 
stringjunior said:
So, with the glass well over half full, if we achieve 2ppg for the remaining 18 matches we'll achieve 81 points total, which could possibly be enough for auto this year given the current state of the league. More than 2ppg would be a bonus. Less than this would mean the playoff.
Click to expand...

I refer you all back to post 782, knew my gut feeling was right.
 
stringjunior said:
So, with the glass well over half full, if we achieve 2ppg for the remaining 18 matches we'll achieve 81 points total, which could possibly be enough for auto this year given the current state of the league. More than 2ppg would be a bonus. Less than this would mean the playoff.
Click to expand...

That's glass about eleven-tenths full...

This is the points per game needed by each of the teams above us to reach 82 points by the end of the season:

Bristol C - 1.23
Swindon - 1.56
MK Dons - 1.62
Preston - 1.70

Even assuming our goal difference ends up better than everyone else's (unlikely...) for us to get automatic promotion with 81 points, 3 out of the 4 of those teams need to fail to achieve those averages. That is not going to happen.

We will need well over 81 points to get automatic promotion this season. We'll need towards the top end of that 79-94 range, not the bottom end.

We'd need to be very good, very consistently, and nothing in the way we are playing says to me we are capable of that.
 
WorkingtonBlade said:
That's glass about eleven-tenths full...

This is the points per game needed by each of the teams above us to reach 82 points by the end of the season:

Bristol C - 1.23
Swindon - 1.56
MK Dons - 1.62
Preston - 1.70

Even assuming our goal difference ends up better than everyone else's (unlikely...) for us to get automatic promotion with 81 points, 3 out of the 4 of those teams need to fail to achieve those averages. That is not going to happen.

We will need well over 81 points to get automatic promotion this season. We'll need towards the top end of that 79-94 range, not the bottom end.

We'd need to be very good, very consistently, and nothing in the way we are playing says to me we are capable of that.
Click to expand...


I think the magic number needed for Auto will be in the high 80's, and we'll need to average 2.2 - 2.4 pints per game to achieve that


On the last 6 games, the form for Swindon, Mk Dons and Preston is below the PPG you've laid out.
 
WorkingtonBlade said:
That's glass about eleven-tenths full...

This is the points per game needed by each of the teams above us to reach 82 points by the end of the season:

Bristol C - 1.23
Swindon - 1.56
MK Dons - 1.62
Preston - 1.70

Even assuming our goal difference ends up better than everyone else's (unlikely...) for us to get automatic promotion with 81 points, 3 out of the 4 of those teams need to fail to achieve those averages. That is not going to happen.

We will need well over 81 points to get automatic promotion this season. We'll need towards the top end of that 79-94 range, not the bottom end.

We'd need to be very good, very consistently, and nothing in the way we are playing says to me we are capable of that.
Click to expand...


Those teams will not drop points?
Does that take into account the fact that they still have some games amongst them selves?
 
Highbury_Blade said:
I think the magic number needed for Auto will be in the high 80's, and we'll need to average 2.2 - 2.4 pints per game to achieve that


On the last 6 games, the form for Swindon, Mk Dons and Preston is below the PPG you've laid out.
Click to expand...

That bit is easy, I have 3 or 4 per game... Getting the points will be the hard part
 
GRUMPY BLADE said:
Those teams will not drop points?
Does that take into account the fact that they still have some games amongst them selves?
Click to expand...

All of those teams will drop points (including when they play each other), but three out of the four have to have fairly poor run-ins to fail to reach 82 (Bristol City's would have to be atrocious!), and I don't see that happening. One may have a poor run, possibly even two, but three is very unlikely.

Highbury has a fair point about the last 6 games, but a poor run over 6 games is one thing - a poor run over a third of a season is another. All of those teams have easily achieved those points per game levels over the season so far. It's difficult to think that three out of the four will drop off so significantly in the last third of the season.

Of course, the alternative is that we accept a higher points total will be needed for automatic - but in that case the points per game which we require starts to look unrealistic.
 
WorkingtonBlade said:
All of those teams will drop points (including when they play each other), but three out of the four have to have fairly poor run-ins to fail to reach 82 (Bristol City's would have to be atrocious!), and I don't see that happening. One may have a poor run, possibly even two, but three is very unlikely.

Highbury has a fair point about the last 6 games, but a poor run over 6 games is one thing - a poor run over a third of a season is another. All of those teams have easily achieved those points per game levels over the season so far. It's difficult to think that three out of the four will drop off so significantly in the last third of the season.

Of course, the alternative is that we accept a higher points total will be needed for automatic - but in that case the points per game which we require starts to look unrealistic.
Click to expand...


I think it is still too early to say we can go up automatically or not, there is still enough of the season left for it to go either way.


Depends where we are with 12 to go.
 
I am glad one or two have looked at the oppositions fixtures.

If we finish above Preston, we will finish in 2nd place - just an opinion :)

UTB
 

You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

ucandomagic
Matchday 35 Missing Graphs - By Request!
Replies
7
Views
609
blade too long
blade too long
ucandomagic
Some Graphs for New Seasons!
Replies
13
Views
1K
ThirdGenBlade
T
Isaw Joeshaw
Most impressive opposition players last season .
2
Replies
44
Views
3K
Groucho Blade
Groucho Blade
ucandomagic
Matchdays 43 & 44: A 2-Chapter Easter Weekend. Not with a Bang…
Replies
2
Views
347
ThirdGenBlade
T
ucandomagic
Matchday 46 Final Graphs, Charts and Playoff Preview: Blackburn Stalemate, Robins Next & No Wilder Record
Replies
3
Views
578
ThirdGenBlade
T

All advertisments are hidden for logged in members, why not log in/register?

All advertisments are hidden for logged in members, why not log in/register?

Back
Top Bottom