353 league prediction

[Benny]

1st 4%
2nd 65%
3rd 20%
4th 7%
5th 3%
6th 1%

Ahh you're looking at the first link right? I was talking about the twitter link I posted. Two different models.

That's still a 69% chance of auto promo though on the first 358 model, which is more that 2/1

 

[MobileBlade]

In my Run in Bingo thread i have us losing out on the auto's by 1 point. https://www.s24su.com/forum/threads/the-run-in-bingo.94200/

Boro's remaining fixtures

• QPR (H)...............................Win 2-0 = 3pts
• West Brom (A)................Draw 1-1 = 1pt
• Reading (H).....................Win 3-1 = 3pts
• Swansea (A)....................Win 2-1 =3pts
• Stoke (H)..........................Win 2-0 =3pts
• Preston (H)......................Draw 1-1 = 1pt
• Huddersfield (A).........Win 3-0 =3pts
• Burnley (H).....................Lose 2-1 = 0pt
• Bristol City (A)..............Lose 2-1 = 0pt
• Norwich City (H).........Lose1-0 =0pt
• Hull City (H)..................Draw 1-1 = 1pt
• Luton Town (A)...........Lose 2-0 = 0pt
• Rotherham (A)............Win 1-0 = 3pts
• Coventry (H)................draw 2-2 =1pt

Total 22 points

Sheffield United's remaining fixtures

• Millwall (A).......................Draw 0-0 = 1pt
• Watford (H).....................Lose 1-0 = 0pt
• Blackburn (A).................Lose 3-0 = 0pt
• Reading (A)....................Lose 2-1 = 0pt
• Luton Town (H)............Win 1-0 =3pts
• Sunderland (A)............Lose 4-0 = 0pt
• West Brom (H).............Lose 2-1 = 0pt
• Norwich City (A)........Lose 2-0 = 0pt
• Wigan (H)....................Win 2-0 = 3pts
• Burnley (A)...................Lose 4-0 = 0pt
• Cardiff City (H)..........Win 2-1 = 3pts
• Bristol City (H)............Lose 2-1 = 0pt
• Huddersfield (A)........Win 1-0 = 3pts
• Preston (H)...................Draw 2-2 = 1pt
• Birmingham (A)........Lose 1-0 = 0 pt

Total 14 pts

We lose automatic promotion by 1 point on the last day of the season,would that just be great right up there amongst the greatest fookups its the Blades way.

So just on the first three matches, Boro are 1 pt less (so get 21 points) and we are on 3 points more (so get 17 points). You swung it to us going up automatically by 2 points, despite losing on the last day.

Even the most pessimistic of me will still see us picking up 4 more points than you predict on top of that.

 

[Carlton Blade]

Ahh you're looking at the first link right? I was talking about the twitter link I posted. Two different models.

That's still a 69% chance of auto promo though on the first 358 model, which is more that 2/1

I think quite a lot of that % chance is based on the fact United have a game in hand on Tuesday that their model gives a 57% chance of winning and only a 20% chance of defeat

 

[Benny]

I think quite a lot of that % chance is based on the fact United have a game in hand on Tuesday that their model gives a 57% chance of winning and only a 20% chance of defeat

Let's hope they're right.

 

[Carlton Blade]

Based on their predictions, we have at least a 42% chance of winning (so at least a 60%+ chance of a positive result) in every game other than Norwich and Burnley

 

[ChipButtyBlade]

So just on the first three matches, Boro are 1 pt less (so get 21 points) and we are on 3 points more (so get 17 points). You swung it to us going up automatically by 2 points, despite losing on the last day.

Even the most pessimistic of me will still see us picking up 4 more points than you predict on top of that.

Hope so.

 

[Carlton Blade]

Where United players rank in the Transfermarkt top 100 (Only Burnley have more in there with 11)

#	Player	Nat.	Age	Market value
5​	Sander Berge	Norway	25​	£16.00m
8​	Anel Ahmedhodzic	Bosnia-Herzegovina	23​	£10.00m
19​	Iliman Ndiaye	Senegal	23​	£7.00m
26​	John Egan	Ireland	30​	£7.00m
46​	Rhian Brewster	England	22​	£5.00m
58​	Oliver McBurnie	Scotland	26​	£5.00m
63​	James McAtee	England	20​	£5.00m
73​	George Baldock	Greece	29​	£4.00m
79​	Tommy Doyle	England	21​	£4.00m
82​	Jayden Bogle	England	22​	£4.00m