This is fun and I played around with it. When I predicted every single match, we needed to beat Chesterfield on the last day to scrape into the play-offs on 72 points (I gave us 4 wins, 5 draws and the defeat at Barnsley). That saw us finish 5th.
I then re-ran it with only entering our scores but letting the computer do the rest. The 17 from 30 points for us still were enough to finish in 6th, albeit only on goal difference.
I then predicted Colchester's scores as they hardly play anyone of note (letting them lose to Barnsley and Chesterfield) to see what the computer predicts for us. We finished mid-table on 61 points, meaning their algorithm uses a very short term form sample. To be fair, that computer generated table was useless as even our resident slashers will probably concede that 6 points out of 30 is a tad on the bleak side and we will get more.
The only interesting information to be gleaned from that table was that all of Yeovil, Crewe, Port Vale and Scunny also are on terrible short term form.
To turn it anyway you like: 17 from 30 is not exceptional form and should be doable. With the amount of home matches and the fact we are in possession of the shirt, it really IS ours to lose, but will likely be quite close and go to the wire...