Life After Gus

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MayorOJC

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Done some digging into the stats this season to see just how impactful Gus has been, and how we can even start to think about replacing him. For the record, not a Hamer hater - I like him a lot.

As our main creative threat, let's see how he does compared to all Championship players at chance creation (per 90):

output-smallpngtools (3).webp

Unsurprisingly, fourth highest chances created per 90, up there with some of the league's finest in Scienza, Hackney, Clarke and James. Ouch, this could be expensive to replace.

But what if some players on this list take all their teams' set pieces? That could artificially inflate stats such as chance creation and assists, making them seem more threatening in-play that they actually are. Let's look at chance creation (per 90) excluding set pieces:

output-smallpngtools (2).webp

Don't squint too hard, he really isn't there. Take away corners and free kicks from everyone, and Gus Hamer is not in the top 50 Championship chance creators (he landed at #65).

Of the 2.3 chances he creates per 90, 61% are from set pieces! Only a handful of players in the league have that ratio or higher (Matty James, Doughty, De Keersmaecker and Cantwell).

This is a good thing. It is significantly cheaper and easier to replace a set-piece taker than an open-play creator. We already have two set-piece specialists at the club in Rothwell and Burrows.


Any standouts in the Championship?
I'm not going to look at just chance creation for this. I'll be using an index that takes 9 attributes (including open play chances, cross accuracy, progressive carries, total defensive actions and non-penalty goals vs. xG.).

Screenshot 2026-04-30 151956.webp

No surprise to see Clarke, Azeez, Scienza, Thomas and Roberts in the top 10. Hello Femi and Ogbene.

In terms of who could potentially be available in summer? Wes Burns still has it at 31 years old and is coming to the end of his contract - but that may be extended. Mohamed Belloumi at Hull has had injury problems - but don't be surprised if he tears up the league next year if fit. Divine Mukasa is going to have a fantastic career. More of a number 10 than a wide player - but I'd love to see us push for him on loan next season. Ryan Alebiosu at Blackburn ironically impressed a lot on here with how well he managed Hamer defensively. Bit further down, but Adam Idah has strong creative stats despite not scoring many as Swansea's centre forward. He looks more like a wide forward to me. Lewis Dobbin has some positive attributes, but misses out on this list mainly due to often playing as a CF.

Here's the same for League One. Previously linked Reyes Cleary and Brighton (via Bolton)'s Amario Cozier-Duberry are the standouts, excluding promoted players. Might be worth looking at Huddersfield's young Cameron Ashia, although he is perhaps a bit rawer than the two above.

Screenshot 2026-04-30 152229.webp

Personally, I think there's significantly better value abroad. Follow the Norwich model - everyone in England will rip us off. Can see if there's any interesting options for replacing Peck or McGuinness if there's interest.

Data taken from https://footverse-v2.streamlit.app , which uses Opta as its source. Not affiliated by me.
 

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Done some digging into the stats this season to see just how impactful Gus has been, and how we can even start to think about replacing him. For the record, not a Hamer hater - I like him a lot.

As our main creative threat, let's see how he does compared to all Championship players at chance creation (per 90):

View attachment 236175

Unsurprisingly, fourth highest chances created per 90, up there with some of the league's finest in Scienza, Hackney, Clarke and James. Ouch, this could be expensive to replace.

But what if some players on this list take all their teams' set pieces? That could artificially inflate stats such as chance creation and assists, making them seem more threatening in-play that they actually are. Let's look at chance creation (per 90) excluding set pieces:

View attachment 236169

Don't squint too hard, he really isn't there. Take away corners and free kicks from everyone, and Gus Hamer is not in the top 50 Championship chance creators (he landed at #65).

Of the 2.3 chances he creates per 90, 61% are from set pieces! Only a handful of players in the league have that ratio or higher (Matty James, Doughty, De Keersmaecker and Cantwell).

This is a good thing. It is significantly cheaper and easier to replace a set-piece taker than an open-play creator. We already have two set-piece specialists at the club in Rothwell and Burrows.


Any standouts in the Championship?
I'm not going to look at just chance creation for this. I'll be using an index that takes 9 attributes (including open play chances, cross accuracy, progressive carries, total defensive actions and non-penalty goals vs. xG.).

View attachment 236170

No surprise to see Clarke, Azeez, Scienza, Thomas and Roberts in the top 10. Hello Femi and Ogbene.

In terms of who could potentially be available in summer? Wes Burns still has it at 31 years old and is coming to the end of his contract - but that may be extended. Mohamed Belloumi at Hull has had injury problems - but don't be surprised if he tears up the league next year if fit. Divine Mukasa is going to have a fantastic career. More of a number 10 than a wide player - but I'd love to see us push for him on loan next season. Ryan Alebiosu at Blackburn ironically impressed a lot on here with how well he managed Hamer defensively. Bit further down, but Adam Idah has strong creative stats despite not scoring many as Swansea's centre forward. He looks more like a wide forward to me. Lewis Dobbin has some positive attributes, but misses out on this list mainly due to often playing as a CF.

Here's the same for League One. Previously linked Reyes Cleary and Brighton (via Bolton)'s Amario Cozier-Duberry are the standouts, excluding promoted players. Might be worth looking at Huddersfield's young Cameron Ashia, although he is perhaps a bit rawer than the two above.

View attachment 236176

Personally, I think there's significantly better value abroad. Follow the Norwich model - everyone in England will rip us off. Can see if there's any interesting options for replacing Peck or McGuinness if there's interest.

Data taken from https://footverse-v2.streamlit.app , which uses Opta as its source. Not affiliated by me.
Gus' defensive stats have absolutely cratered this season as well. He's at least 15% worse per90 in blocks, tackles, interceptions, ball recoveries, times dribbled past
 
Gus' defensive stats have absolutely cratered this season as well. He's at least 15% worse per90 in blocks, tackles, interceptions, ball recoveries, times dribbled past
This is the thing. Focusing only on what he provides as a creative threat, which is a lot, misses the point that he’s a significant part of us being so poor defensively. He has to provide goal involvements to balance out what he costs us at the other end.
 
This is the thing. Focusing only on what he provides as a creative threat, which is a lot, misses the point that he’s a significant part of us being so poor defensively. He has to provide goal involvements to balance out what he costs us at the other end.
We either can't, or don't want to give him a 'free' role so he does have defensive responsibilities. This season, he's got worse at that.

So you either accommodate him by playing fantastic athletes at CM who can cover (Wilder does not value athleticism in CMs) or you probably have to let him leave and hope a 'creation by committee' system can do it.
 
I am surprised he's not in the top 50 from open play but does back up why I have never thought he was irreplaceable.

As others have said there's big flaws in his game.

I am not convinced we will get significant bids for him.
 
I could actually see him still being here.

I don’t think premier league clubs bid for him. Don’t think he’d go to another championship team. Back to Holland, maybe if they’ve got the cash for him. Given his defensive flaws modern teams will not want to pay big money for him.

If he is here, I’d like to see him in the 10, behind Bamford with two proper wingers either side. He wouldn’t get as exposed defensively there as the wingers would have to track back better to avoid the overload down the left
 
I'm very happy for him to stay, but for finance and long term planning reasons, I'd be really surprised if we don't sell him (for as much as we can get) this summer.
 
I could actually see him still being here.

I don’t think premier league clubs bid for him. Don’t think he’d go to another championship team. Back to Holland, maybe if they’ve got the cash for him. Given his defensive flaws modern teams will not want to pay big money for him.

If he is here, I’d like to see him in the 10, behind Bamford with two proper wingers either side. He wouldn’t get as exposed defensively there as the wingers would have to track back better to avoid the overload down the left
Wilder has managed hhimi for nigh on 100 games and has never played him there. I don't see it changing now.
 
Wilder has managed hhimi for nigh on 100 games and has never played him there. I don't see it changing now.

I don’t either.

But we’ve got a creative player who gets more assists than anyone in the division who constantly roams inside.

He struggles to beat anyone for pace and struggles to track anyone back down the line.

So why not stick him in a free role centrally with fewer defensive responsibilities and let two young athletic wingers track the opposition wing back / wingers backwards.

Also gets him in a position where he’s likely to see more of the ball as he can wander full width side to side.

If we later need more press centrally, stick a fresh O’Hare on from the bench.
 
Done some digging into the stats this season to see just how impactful Gus has been, and how we can even start to think about replacing him. For the record, not a Hamer hater - I like him a lot.

As our main creative threat, let's see how he does compared to all Championship players at chance creation (per 90):

View attachment 236175

Unsurprisingly, fourth highest chances created per 90, up there with some of the league's finest in Scienza, Hackney, Clarke and James. Ouch, this could be expensive to replace.

But what if some players on this list take all their teams' set pieces? That could artificially inflate stats such as chance creation and assists, making them seem more threatening in-play that they actually are. Let's look at chance creation (per 90) excluding set pieces:

View attachment 236169

Don't squint too hard, he really isn't there. Take away corners and free kicks from everyone, and Gus Hamer is not in the top 50 Championship chance creators (he landed at #65).

Of the 2.3 chances he creates per 90, 61% are from set pieces! Only a handful of players in the league have that ratio or higher (Matty James, Doughty, De Keersmaecker and Cantwell).

This is a good thing. It is significantly cheaper and easier to replace a set-piece taker than an open-play creator. We already have two set-piece specialists at the club in Rothwell and Burrows.


Any standouts in the Championship?
I'm not going to look at just chance creation for this. I'll be using an index that takes 9 attributes (including open play chances, cross accuracy, progressive carries, total defensive actions and non-penalty goals vs. xG.).

View attachment 236170

No surprise to see Clarke, Azeez, Scienza, Thomas and Roberts in the top 10. Hello Femi and Ogbene.

In terms of who could potentially be available in summer? Wes Burns still has it at 31 years old and is coming to the end of his contract - but that may be extended. Mohamed Belloumi at Hull has had injury problems - but don't be surprised if he tears up the league next year if fit. Divine Mukasa is going to have a fantastic career. More of a number 10 than a wide player - but I'd love to see us push for him on loan next season. Ryan Alebiosu at Blackburn ironically impressed a lot on here with how well he managed Hamer defensively. Bit further down, but Adam Idah has strong creative stats despite not scoring many as Swansea's centre forward. He looks more like a wide forward to me. Lewis Dobbin has some positive attributes, but misses out on this list mainly due to often playing as a CF.

Here's the same for League One. Previously linked Reyes Cleary and Brighton (via Bolton)'s Amario Cozier-Duberry are the standouts, excluding promoted players. Might be worth looking at Huddersfield's young Cameron Ashia, although he is perhaps a bit rawer than the two above.

View attachment 236176

Personally, I think there's significantly better value abroad. Follow the Norwich model - everyone in England will rip us off. Can see if there's any interesting options for replacing Peck or McGuinness if there's interest.

Data taken from https://footverse-v2.streamlit.app , which uses Opta as its source. Not affiliated by me.
I fear that you may have put more effort into this than anyone at the club. Excellent work.

Really interesting observations about Hamer's output. Making me lean towards the idea of cashing in while we can.
 
Done some digging into the stats this season to see just how impactful Gus has been, and how we can even start to think about replacing him. For the record, not a Hamer hater - I like him a lot.

As our main creative threat, let's see how he does compared to all Championship players at chance creation (per 90):

View attachment 236175

Unsurprisingly, fourth highest chances created per 90, up there with some of the league's finest in Scienza, Hackney, Clarke and James. Ouch, this could be expensive to replace.

But what if some players on this list take all their teams' set pieces? That could artificially inflate stats such as chance creation and assists, making them seem more threatening in-play that they actually are. Let's look at chance creation (per 90) excluding set pieces:

View attachment 236169

Don't squint too hard, he really isn't there. Take away corners and free kicks from everyone, and Gus Hamer is not in the top 50 Championship chance creators (he landed at #65).

Of the 2.3 chances he creates per 90, 61% are from set pieces! Only a handful of players in the league have that ratio or higher (Matty James, Doughty, De Keersmaecker and Cantwell).

This is a good thing. It is significantly cheaper and easier to replace a set-piece taker than an open-play creator. We already have two set-piece specialists at the club in Rothwell and Burrows.


Any standouts in the Championship?
I'm not going to look at just chance creation for this. I'll be using an index that takes 9 attributes (including open play chances, cross accuracy, progressive carries, total defensive actions and non-penalty goals vs. xG.).

View attachment 236170

No surprise to see Clarke, Azeez, Scienza, Thomas and Roberts in the top 10. Hello Femi and Ogbene.

In terms of who could potentially be available in summer? Wes Burns still has it at 31 years old and is coming to the end of his contract - but that may be extended. Mohamed Belloumi at Hull has had injury problems - but don't be surprised if he tears up the league next year if fit. Divine Mukasa is going to have a fantastic career. More of a number 10 than a wide player - but I'd love to see us push for him on loan next season. Ryan Alebiosu at Blackburn ironically impressed a lot on here with how well he managed Hamer defensively. Bit further down, but Adam Idah has strong creative stats despite not scoring many as Swansea's centre forward. He looks more like a wide forward to me. Lewis Dobbin has some positive attributes, but misses out on this list mainly due to often playing as a CF.

Here's the same for League One. Previously linked Reyes Cleary and Brighton (via Bolton)'s Amario Cozier-Duberry are the standouts, excluding promoted players. Might be worth looking at Huddersfield's young Cameron Ashia, although he is perhaps a bit rawer than the two above.

View attachment 236176

Personally, I think there's significantly better value abroad. Follow the Norwich model - everyone in England will rip us off. Can see if there's any interesting options for replacing Peck or McGuinness if there's interest.

Data taken from https://footverse-v2.streamlit.app , which uses Opta as its source. Not affiliated by me.
Please go and work for our recruitment team, if they say no still work for them. Thank you.
 
ive said before in what i felt that gus stats flattered him because 4 goals & 11 assists doesn't represent what ive seen on the pitch & he's been miles off
 



We can’t replace him like for like so we have to do something different. What we should do is use the opportunity to add pace and directness on the wing.
 
I am surprised he's not in the top 50 from open play but does back up why I have never thought he was irreplaceable.

As others have said there's big flaws in his game.

I am not convinced we will get significant bids for him.

Let's be honest, it will be back to Cov (if remaining in the UK is possible due to personal circumstances) or a move to Holland, if not.

I could actually see him still being here.

I don’t think premier league clubs bid for him. Don’t think he’d go to another championship team. Back to Holland, maybe if they’ve got the cash for him. Given his defensive flaws modern teams will not want to pay big money for him.

If he is here, I’d like to see him in the 10, behind Bamford with two proper wingers either side. He wouldn’t get as exposed defensively there as the wingers would have to track back better to avoid the overload down the left
This is the system I would like to see. I know we won't and I know we have no say, but still.

I can't help but think that we've missed a trick in recruiting to a formation that includes:

Cooper

Seriki Tanganga An actual good centre half Burrows

Athletic CM x 3

O'Hare, Hamer

Bamford

That way, you get the press and chance creation and natural linkups of Hamer and O'Hare, a supply line for Bamford (and which could also rejuvenate Campbell), you get legs in midfield, and that gives you some licence to get some form, attacking and confidence into the WBs for width. We also need a serious CB option to settle Tanganga down and get Burrows back to form.
 
Gus. Loads of ability. Can't take a game by the scruff of the neck and dictate. Struggles with fitness. Not sure about Premier league
 
Are there stats that don't just show chance creation but show chance/conversion rate? I just find it interesting he's the top assister in the champ yet the above would suggest this is mainly from set pieces - which apart from a purple patch where we looked like scoring from corners every week around the Blackbiurn/Leicester results - I can't really remember happening a lot?
 
Are there stats that don't just show chance creation but show chance/conversion rate? I just find it interesting he's the top assister in the champ yet the above would suggest this is mainly from set pieces - which apart from a purple patch where we looked like scoring from corners every week around the Blackbiurn/Leicester results - I can't really remember happening a lot?

Open play assists vs. open play xA. Higher you are here, the more you have the finisher to thank for scoring a low probability chance. Probably one or two of Bamford's ridiculous goals.

14850.webp
 
Great stuff this! Love watching Gus, but I do think we're more of a team when he doesn't play. He's been an absolute pleasure to watch, but I do feel that the time is probably right for both parties to part. He'll go back to the Netherlands; the Premier League is all about athletes, and Gus is a lot of things, but an athlete he is not.
 

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