Elsecar_Blade
Active Member
- Thread starter
- #91
Comparing our results to last season's corresponding results to see how we improve/fall back. Obviously some sides will improve, others will decline but it should even out and give us an idea of where we're heading.
With Wolves, Birmingham and Burnley in the Premiership, I used their league positions to swap them with the relegated Premiership teams, i.e. Newcastle were 18th in Premier League so replace Wolves. Ditto with the promoted clubs from League 1 and replacing the relegated teams.
Therefore: Newcastle = Wolves; Middlesbrough = Birmingham; West Brom = Burnley; Leicester = Norwich; Peterborough = Southampton; Scunthorpe = Charlton.
Last season: we finished with a goal difference of +25 and 80 points.
Dropped points against Preston North End and Nottingham Forest away mean that our overall points total has now fallen to 74 – just 2 points better than our previous lowest after the trip to Oakwell – and we are steadily falling away. Three away games that last season yielded seven points in the next five games and with our current away record being as it is, it might not look good come the latter stages of March.
Our current predicted record would (in the last ten seasons) would have seen us finish in the following places:
Champions: 0
2nd: 0
3rd: 0
4th: 1
5th: 1
6th: 3
Out of Play Offs: 5
Bottom Half: 0
Relegated: 0
If we match last season’s form over the latter part of the season, we have a 50% chance of making the Play Offs. However, the next five fixtures brought a total of eleven points last season so the figure could drop again over the coming games. We’d be no lower than 8th on the tables from the last ten seasons.
Here is the graph making a return!
UTB!
With Wolves, Birmingham and Burnley in the Premiership, I used their league positions to swap them with the relegated Premiership teams, i.e. Newcastle were 18th in Premier League so replace Wolves. Ditto with the promoted clubs from League 1 and replacing the relegated teams.
Therefore: Newcastle = Wolves; Middlesbrough = Birmingham; West Brom = Burnley; Leicester = Norwich; Peterborough = Southampton; Scunthorpe = Charlton.
Last season: we finished with a goal difference of +25 and 80 points.
Code:
Opponents V Score LastS | Points GD | Improvement
| | Pts GD
========================================|=====================|================
| |
Middlesbrough A 0-0 0-1 | +1 +1 | 81 26
| |
Watford H 2-0 2-1 | -- +1 | 81 27
| |
Leicester H 1-1 1-0 | -2 -1 | 79 26
| |
Reading A 3-1 1-0 | -- +1 | 79 27
| |
West Brom H 2-2 2-3 | +1 +1 | 80 28
| |
Derby County A 1-0 1-2 | +3 +2 | 83 30
| |
Coventry City A 2-3 2-1 | -3 -2 | 80 28
| |
Wednesday H 3-2 1-2 | +3 +2 | 83 30
| |
Swansea A 1-2 1-1 | -1 -1 | 82 29
| |
Ipswich H 3-3 1-0 | -2 -1 | 80 28
| |
Doncaster H 1-1 0-1 | +1 +1 | 81 29
| |
Scunthorpe A 1-3 5-2 | -3 -5 | 78 24
| |
Blackpool A 0-3 3-1 | -3 -5 | 75 19
| |
Cardiff H 3-4 0-0 | -1 -1 | 74 18
| |
Newcastle H 0-1 1-3 | -- +1 | 74 19
| |
Barnsley A 2-2 2-1 | -2 -1 | 72 18
| |
Peterboro’ H 1-0 0-0 | +2 +1 | 74 19
| |
Bristol C A 3-2 0-0 | +2 +1 | 76 20
| |
Plymouth A 1-0 2-2 | +2 +1 | 78 21
| |
Forest H 0-0 0-0 | -- -- | 78 21
| |
Palace H 2-0 2-2 | +2 +2 | 80 23
| |
QPR A 1-1 0-0 | -- -- | 80 23
| |
Leicester A 1-2 0-1 | -- -- | 80 23
| |
Preston H 1-0 1-0 | -- -- | 80 23
| |
Watford A 1-3 2-0 | -3 -4 | 77 19
| |
Middlesboro H 1-0 2-1 | -- -- | 77 19
Reading H 3-0 0-2 | +3 +5 | 80 24
West Brom A 1-3 0-1 | -- -1 | 80 23
Derby H 1-1 4-2 | -2 -2 | 78 21
Preston A 1-2 0-0 | -1 -1 | 77 20
Bristol C H 2-0 3-0 | -- -1 | 77 19
Forest A 0-1 1-0 | -3 -2 | 74 17
Plymouth H 4-3 2-0 | -- -1 | 74 16
Palace A --- 0-0 | -- -- | -- --
Peterboro’ A --- 2-1 | -- -- | -- --
QPR H --- 3-0 | -- -- | -- --
Blackpool H --- 2-2 | -- -- | -- --
Doncaster A --- 2-0 | -- -- | -- --Dropped points against Preston North End and Nottingham Forest away mean that our overall points total has now fallen to 74 – just 2 points better than our previous lowest after the trip to Oakwell – and we are steadily falling away. Three away games that last season yielded seven points in the next five games and with our current away record being as it is, it might not look good come the latter stages of March.
Our current predicted record would (in the last ten seasons) would have seen us finish in the following places:
Champions: 0
2nd: 0
3rd: 0
4th: 1
5th: 1
6th: 3
Out of Play Offs: 5
Bottom Half: 0
Relegated: 0
If we match last season’s form over the latter part of the season, we have a 50% chance of making the Play Offs. However, the next five fixtures brought a total of eleven points last season so the figure could drop again over the coming games. We’d be no lower than 8th on the tables from the last ten seasons.
Here is the graph making a return!
UTB!
