Pre-Match View From Fulham

[Balham]

It's the amount of goals we would have expected to concede, based on the quality and frequency of chances that our opponents have had. In essence, we rarely allow our opponents to create high-percentage scoring chances. As the graph shows, we're better at that than any other team in the league, as of 34 games played.

As you point out, we've actually been pretty unlucky in that regard in conceding 40 when we've "deserved" to concede only ~28. The amount of long-range shots we've conceded from this season is genuinely freakish based on how often you'd expect shots from that range to hit the back of our net.

Edit - this is a good primer on expected goals, if you're interested https://experimental361.com/explanations/match-timelines/

I genuinely can't remember a season where I've seen so many long range/phenomenal efforts go in against us. Certainly not since the days of Mark Bunn.

Off the top of my head I can think of 11:
Mendez-Liang, Cardiff (L0-2)
Phillips, Leeds (W2-1)
Grosicki, Hull (W4-1)
Palmer, Burton (W3-1)
Sessegnon, Fulham (L4-5)
Ojo, Fulham (L4-5)
Boga, Birmingham (D1-1)
Paterson, Bristol C (L1-2)
Snodgrass, Aston Villa (L0-1)
Neves, Wolves (L0-3)
Freeman, QPR (W2-1)

and that doesn't include Diogo Jota's team effort for Wolves.

 

[coaxingstar71]

You can't blame for being optimistic in the form that they're in, however I believe we can win any game under Wilder if we play like we can. The key for me is if we allow them to dictate the play too much.

Good as they were at the Lane, we gifted them a number of goals and their defence was not great either.

 

[Fulwood Blade]

I genuinely can't remember a season where I've seen so many long range/phenomenal efforts go in against us. Certainly not since the days of Mark Bunn.

Off the top of my head I can think of 11:
Mendez-Liang, Cardiff (L0-2)
Phillips, Leeds (W2-1)
Grosicki, Hull (W4-1)
Palmer, Burton (W3-1)
Sessegnon, Fulham (L4-5)
Ojo, Fulham (L4-5)
Boga, Birmingham (D1-1)
Paterson, Bristol C (L1-2)
Snodgrass, Aston Villa (L0-1)
Neves, Wolves (L0-3)
Freeman, QPR (W2-1)

and that doesn't include Diogo Jota's team effort for Wolves.

All those point to not closing down and the extra quality in this league when good players are presented with an opportunity 20-25 yards out.

CW doesn't want to play with a holding midfield player, so we are going to get them - we've just got to be a bit more switched on in this league.

Finally one of ours (Duffy) shows that we too have the quality to shoot and score. We have tended to overplay a bit - perhaps now we might start to have a pop a bit more.

UTB

 

[Blend-it-like-Harris]

I can remember not so long ago a vastly superior Fulham team coming to BDTBL and us not getting a touch of the ball for what seemed like the first 10 minutes of the game. They scored and we were thinking "Christ - this is gonna be 6 or 7 nowt" but then the lads got stuck into 'em 'stead of admiring 'em and the game ended 1-1.
GERRINTO'EM!!!!!!!!!!

 

[metalblade]

Direct long ball cloggers wasting loads of time and committing loads of fouls eh, must have got us mixed up with Norwich. Can't see us gifting them 3 goals this time around.