ucandomagic
Well-Known Member
A slight change of content this week - as after the Millwall and Forest results it seems now almost certain that we can't make the auto slots.
Graph 1 shows our progress against the 3 benchmark sets of results which I created to achieve 3 different objectives when Hecky took over: -
a chance of the playoffs (71 points);
almost certain playoff achievement (78 points).
almost certain automatic promotion (90 points).
It is very evident that we have now fallen away from what was a very demanding set of results to get to 90 points, and in fact we would now simply have to win every one of our last 12 games! In addition to that, I have added Bournemouth's results (before today) to the graph, and if they keep going as they are then even 90 points wouldn't be enough for second place for us - so the playoffs are now the only realistic target.
However, Graph 1 shows that we are still 2 Point ahead of my benchmark results to get to 78 points, and if we only draw the next 3 we would still just be on schedule.
I have been including graphs comparing us to Wilder's 17/18 (10th) and 18/19 (2nd) seasons and Blackwells 08/09 (3rd) and 09/10 (8th) seasons. These don't seem to have drawn any interest lately, so I haven't included them here - but I do keep them up to date and if anybody is interested just tell me and I will include them again next time. For information, we are still just one point behind Blackwell's third place finish.
The other interesting graph that I have been doing separately is comparing our season with Slav's season with Fulham in 17/18 - the season where they started fairly poorly and then went on to 88 points, 3rd place and won the Playoffs. Graph 2 shows that the similarity for the whole season until the Millwall game was amazing - although we have fallen away a bit now. It does, however, show what sort of run can be maintained - and if we could match Fulham's 17/18 results from now until the end of the season we would get 83 points - probably enough for 3rd or 4th.
So, overall, we are reasonably on target for the playoffs - and if we put somebody on the posts for corners we might get there a bit more easily!!
Forza Ukraine
Graph 1
Graph 2
Graph 1 shows our progress against the 3 benchmark sets of results which I created to achieve 3 different objectives when Hecky took over: -
a chance of the playoffs (71 points);
almost certain playoff achievement (78 points).
almost certain automatic promotion (90 points).
It is very evident that we have now fallen away from what was a very demanding set of results to get to 90 points, and in fact we would now simply have to win every one of our last 12 games! In addition to that, I have added Bournemouth's results (before today) to the graph, and if they keep going as they are then even 90 points wouldn't be enough for second place for us - so the playoffs are now the only realistic target.
However, Graph 1 shows that we are still 2 Point ahead of my benchmark results to get to 78 points, and if we only draw the next 3 we would still just be on schedule.
I have been including graphs comparing us to Wilder's 17/18 (10th) and 18/19 (2nd) seasons and Blackwells 08/09 (3rd) and 09/10 (8th) seasons. These don't seem to have drawn any interest lately, so I haven't included them here - but I do keep them up to date and if anybody is interested just tell me and I will include them again next time. For information, we are still just one point behind Blackwell's third place finish.
The other interesting graph that I have been doing separately is comparing our season with Slav's season with Fulham in 17/18 - the season where they started fairly poorly and then went on to 88 points, 3rd place and won the Playoffs. Graph 2 shows that the similarity for the whole season until the Millwall game was amazing - although we have fallen away a bit now. It does, however, show what sort of run can be maintained - and if we could match Fulham's 17/18 results from now until the end of the season we would get 83 points - probably enough for 3rd or 4th.
So, overall, we are reasonably on target for the playoffs - and if we put somebody on the posts for corners we might get there a bit more easily!!
Forza Ukraine
Graph 1
Graph 2
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