HeySethUTB
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It might sound surprising given our league position, but when you dig into the underlying data, things don’t look as rosy as the table might suggest. Numbers don’t panic, they don’t exaggerate they simply reflect the season.
A sore thumb is the progressive carries against. A stat tracking how freely opponents are able to carry the ball forward through us. To date we’ve performed similarly to, or worse than, teams like Plymouth, Stoke, Derby, Oxford, QPR, and Portsmouth, not exactly promotion rivals. Four of these teams also rank among the highest for xG against and are firmly stuck in the bottom 10. Anyone watching our games will have noticed, at times, how comfortable opponents seem running at us with the ball.
This approach, whether tactical or a symptom of something else (like maybe a lack of pace at full-back/out wide), leads to a pattern of opponents gaining ground and forcing our players into last-ditch tackles, blocks, or clearances. We rank fourth in the league for these preventative defensive interventions in the final third behind only Plymouth, Millwall, and Derby. While this shows our players commitment and grit, it also suggests we’re leaning more on individual defensive moments than a rock-solid tactical shape.
And while that defensive grit has gotten us this far, it’s also why we’ve sometimes struggled against better teams and those who can capitalise on the space we’ve allowed. Players like Watson, Fellows, and Doak have shown what happens when quality is met with opportunity. Do last year’s defensive issues still exist but are being suppressed by poor championship quality?
Offensively, I think it’s safe to say it’s been a bit of a mixed bag. I often watch us and think “Are we a BTEC version of Swansea?” and while it seems a harsh comparison Swansea actually outperform us in final third entries, shots on target percentage, and pass completion rates. What we’ve had, is the the advantage of individual brilliance from players who can create something out of nothing.
Injuries haven’t helped, of course, but even with our strongest XI, over the season we are ranked 13th in the division regarding shot chance creation, have we consistently looked dominant or tactically in control from game to game?
Wilder is right there’s so much more potential in this group. We’ve seen individual success carry us so far, and if we can turn those flashes into something more consistent, we’ll be an even stronger side.
The January transfer window will be huge. Targeted recruitment, especially to tighten up defensively with the absence of Souttar and added variety in attack, could make all the difference.
We’re still in a fantastic position, but we know we can improve. UTB! Keep the faith!!
A sore thumb is the progressive carries against. A stat tracking how freely opponents are able to carry the ball forward through us. To date we’ve performed similarly to, or worse than, teams like Plymouth, Stoke, Derby, Oxford, QPR, and Portsmouth, not exactly promotion rivals. Four of these teams also rank among the highest for xG against and are firmly stuck in the bottom 10. Anyone watching our games will have noticed, at times, how comfortable opponents seem running at us with the ball.
This approach, whether tactical or a symptom of something else (like maybe a lack of pace at full-back/out wide), leads to a pattern of opponents gaining ground and forcing our players into last-ditch tackles, blocks, or clearances. We rank fourth in the league for these preventative defensive interventions in the final third behind only Plymouth, Millwall, and Derby. While this shows our players commitment and grit, it also suggests we’re leaning more on individual defensive moments than a rock-solid tactical shape.
And while that defensive grit has gotten us this far, it’s also why we’ve sometimes struggled against better teams and those who can capitalise on the space we’ve allowed. Players like Watson, Fellows, and Doak have shown what happens when quality is met with opportunity. Do last year’s defensive issues still exist but are being suppressed by poor championship quality?
Offensively, I think it’s safe to say it’s been a bit of a mixed bag. I often watch us and think “Are we a BTEC version of Swansea?” and while it seems a harsh comparison Swansea actually outperform us in final third entries, shots on target percentage, and pass completion rates. What we’ve had, is the the advantage of individual brilliance from players who can create something out of nothing.
Injuries haven’t helped, of course, but even with our strongest XI, over the season we are ranked 13th in the division regarding shot chance creation, have we consistently looked dominant or tactically in control from game to game?
Wilder is right there’s so much more potential in this group. We’ve seen individual success carry us so far, and if we can turn those flashes into something more consistent, we’ll be an even stronger side.
The January transfer window will be huge. Targeted recruitment, especially to tighten up defensively with the absence of Souttar and added variety in attack, could make all the difference.
We’re still in a fantastic position, but we know we can improve. UTB! Keep the faith!!