The consensus amongst many Unitedites is that it's autos or bust this season, with many already fearing the worst if we have to settle for the play offs.
Many feel we have a play off 'curse' having failed to win promotion in our eight promotion play off campaigns to date. But if you step back and take an analytical approach you soon see the 'curse' is a myth and that should we miss out on automatic promotion things may be very different in the play offs this time around.
These are are final positions and points tallies we achieved in those eight previous play off seasons:
96/97
League position: 5th
Points: 73
97/98
League position: 6th
Points: 74 (16 points behind 3rd place Sunderland)
02/03
League position: 3rd
Points: 80 (1 point ahead of 4th and 4 points ahead of Play Off winners Wolves)
08/09
League position: 3rd
Points: 90 (3 points ahead of 4th and 4 points ahead of Play Off winners Burnley)
11/12
League position: 3rd
Points: 90 (9 points ahead of fourth placed Huddersfield)
12/13
League position: 5th
Points: 75
14/15
League position: 5th
Points: 71 (18 points behind 3rd place)
21/22
League position: 5th
Points: 75 (7 points behind third place)
As you can see, in the majority of those seasons we finished either 5th or 6th in the league and were well off the pace of the teams at the top. We were outsiders in these seasons and it is no real surprise that we missed out on winning the Play Offs.
In three of the eight seasons we finished third, so maybe could have been considered favourites to win the play offs. In two of those seasons the gap between us and the teams immediately below was very small.
The only exception is the 11/12 season when we finished in third place and were 9 clear points ahead of fourth placed Huddersfield, the team we lost to in the final. I'd say only that play off campaign could be considered a genuine failure and even then there is the mitigation of losing Ched Evans with a few games left and a rather freakish penalty shoot out.
There is no 'curse' and what happened previously has no bearing on what might happen this season. This season is completely different, for a number of reasons.
After 39 games we have already amassed more points (considerably more in some cases) than we did all the above seasons, bar the 11/12 season, but we look set to comfortably top that.
We are already guaranteed a place in the play offs at a minimum and if that is the case (barring a bizarre set of results in the final 7 games) we will almost certainly finish third, comfortably ahead of Sunderland and with a gaping chasm between ourselves and the other two play off teams.
I've heard people say this season that our record against the teams in around the play off places isn't very good. I beg to differ.
We played Sunderland twice during our trickiest spell of the season where we had a lot of back to back games and our squad was threadbare. We won one and lost one with a 2-2 aggregate score.
Same with West Brom, played them twice in quick succession during that tricky spell and drew both games.
Last Friday night we saw the gulf in class between ourselves and Coventry.
Boro beat us when we had that tricky couple of games after the death of George Baldock but we were a class above when we faced them with a much stronger squad a couple of months back.
Bristol City - we won one and drew one.
Our current team has shown time and time again this season they can handle the big pressure. One other thing we didn't have in the eight previous play off campaigns was Chris Wilder as manager.
We're in a great position. We've got a very good chance of autos and at the very worst we'll have to settle for the play offs. At the end of the day that wouldn't be the end of the world and we'd have a great chance of breaking this non-existant 'curse'.
Whatever happens between now and the end of the season, let's just f*ckin' enjoy it!