Earlier, I posted
Graph 1 below in the other "14 Games to Go" thread!
Graph 1 includes a direct comparison of
Our Points v Bournemouth Points along with an Autos Certain line.
The Autos Certain line is a benchmark set of results that I created when Hecky took over that would get us to 90 points. I thought it was totally unrealistic, but amazingly we've run right on top of it so far. No team this century has got 90 points in this Division and not gone up automatically. (Mind you, somebody did in League 1 in 2012!)
Recently
Bournemouth were on a real slump, but unfortunately have picked up and won their last 3.
After we lost Game 17 at Blackburn we had 19 points - Bournemouth had 40 points after their Game 17 - so we were 21 behind them.
After 30 Games we had 47 points and Bournemouth have 58 - so after 30 games we have
closed the gap by 10 points in 13 games - and we have won both our games since.
After we play them towards the end of the season they have 7 more games now, with their rearranged ones - Boro, Coventry, Fulham, Swansea, Blackburn, Forest and Millwall - so if we can get some pressure on them and keep it there by beating them then virtually all of those games are losable if the pressure is on.
More fun than looking at possible survival last year!
Also, I always post a few graphs after every home game - I think the most interesting is the Hecky v Slav's Fulham 17/18 graph - when Fulham had a bad start, finished 3rd on 88 points and won the playoffs, Our whole season runs almost identically to Fulham 17/18 so far. I've stuck that below as
Graph 2 just to show that it is possible to maintain a run like this to the end of the season.
...With Hecky, Jack and Stuart McCall
Graph 1

Graph 2
