Coolblade
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A few observations from the stats (Selles vs Wilder 25/26):
Thirty league games into the Championship season, our story is a tale of two managers, and, within Wilder’s reign, two very different halves. What began as a crisis under Selles has evolved into a competitive, mid‑table side under Wilder and we can track not only the overall improvement but also the stabilisation trend within Wilder’s own 25‑game block.
Below is an update across Points (obvious and stark), Attack & Defence, plus Wilder’s Phase 1 vs Phase 2, and perhaps importantly, what we now need.
1. Points‑Per‑Game:
Selles (5), 0 points, PPG: 0.00
Wilder (25), 39 points, PPG:1.56
Results verdict: The jump from 0.00 to 1.56 PPG is the clearest indicator of transformation. Selles’ six defeats created certain relegation. Wilder’s return brought structure, identity, and mid‑table form.
2. Attack: Purpose Over Possession
Selles (5): Goals per game: 0.20 , Shots: 12.17 per match, Possession: 57.8%. Looked good on the ball, achieved little with it. Low chance quality, little penetration.
Wilder (25): Goals per game: 1.80 overall (1.58 in first 12, 1.85 in second 13) Shots: 13.54 per match, Possession: 50.2%. More direct, more vertical, more threatening. United now build attacks with intent rather than sterile circulation. Season xG steady around 1.5, far healthier balance than in the opening block.
Attacking verdict: Wilder has added danger, aggression and clarity. The team now plays attacking football with purpose rather than possession for possession’s sake (most of the time!).
3. Defence: Still a problem
Selles (5): Goals Against: 12 in 5 so 2.40 per match, Clean Sheets: 0, xGA 1.8–2.1+; High concession rates with no clean sheets. Opponents consistently generated high‑value chances. Defensive structure repeatedly collapsed under transitions Worst defensive six‑game start in modern club history
Wilder (25): GA per match: 1.42 (heavily pulled up by early disasters) with xGA 1.33 (mid‑table defensive footprint). Structure now recognisable: better spacing, more rest defence, fewer implosions. Still inconsistent, but no longer systemic chaos
Defensive Verdict The jump from 2.40 GA to 1.42 GA is already transformational. Improved but not complete. Wilder’a team can now hold a shape, defend phases, and absorb periods of pressure. But still short of play‑off calibre (1.0 GA required)
4. Wilder’s First 12 vs Next 13:
To understand Wilder’s impact, his own tenure splits naturally into a settling period (games 6–17) and a stabilised period (games 18–30)
Wilder: First 12 matches (Games 6–17), W 6 | D 1 | L 5 → 19 points → PPG 1.58, Goals scored: 19 → GPG 1.58.
Immediate improvement in attacking threat but defence still too porous. Performances swung between excellent and poor. Tactical patterns re‑emerging. Identity returning. Volatility still high
Verdict: This was the rebuild phase, encouraging but inconsistent.
Wilder: Next 13 matches (Games 18–30), W 6 | D 2 | L 7 → 20 points → PPG 1.54, Goals scored: 24 → GPG 1.85
This block represents greater stability: More consistent performances, Greater control of games. Better game‑state management. Defensively calmer but still with serious consistency issues impacting on results. Attacking output improves significantly. A recognisable Wilder team, structurally and stylistically
Verdict: This is the identity phase, a coherent, repeatable, competitive Sheffield United.
Key takeaway: Wilder didn’t just improve the team versus Selles, he has improved his team over time in key ways but without uplifting the PPG. The second phase is cleaner, calmer, sharper, more cohesive and at play‑off attacking levels. But a further shift is required
5. What’s Needed Now to Reach the Play‑Offs (Final 16 Games) with apologies for duplication with other posts.
Play‑off likely cut line: 73 to 75 points so need 34 to 36 from final 16 games so PPG: 2.13 to 2.25 which is strong automatic promotion form.
At Wilder’s current Phase‑2 PPG (1.54) we reach 66 points so we need a further shift to an exceptional level.
What is required:
Do that, and PPG rises to 2.1, which is exactly the zone required. We don’t need to be perfect, we just need to be consistent for 16 games. Unavoidable team rotation would assist with this!
Final Word: Three Teams in One Season, one more needed
The season’s narrative is now unmistakable:
Selles: A structurally broken side, Zero points, No attacking threat, No defensive integrity
Wilder (first 12): Stops the bleeding. Installs identity. Mixed but competitive results
Wilder (next 13): Mid‑table levels of performance. Cohesive, assertive football. High goal scoring. Real progress in output and consistency. But defensive issues remain
We are still not where we want to be, but we are so far from the team that started the season. The curve continues upward, the structure is firmer, and the numbers finally reflect a side that can impose itself rather than simply endure.
Although do we really want to make the play offs! I’m not sure I could take it!
UTB
PS I do have some sympathy for Selles. 6 games (including the cup) is a small sample size and he was replaced just a few days after we added in new players. Or do the stats still speak for themselves!
PPS Please forgive any minor typos….
Thirty league games into the Championship season, our story is a tale of two managers, and, within Wilder’s reign, two very different halves. What began as a crisis under Selles has evolved into a competitive, mid‑table side under Wilder and we can track not only the overall improvement but also the stabilisation trend within Wilder’s own 25‑game block.
Below is an update across Points (obvious and stark), Attack & Defence, plus Wilder’s Phase 1 vs Phase 2, and perhaps importantly, what we now need.
1. Points‑Per‑Game:
Selles (5), 0 points, PPG: 0.00
Wilder (25), 39 points, PPG:1.56
Results verdict: The jump from 0.00 to 1.56 PPG is the clearest indicator of transformation. Selles’ six defeats created certain relegation. Wilder’s return brought structure, identity, and mid‑table form.
2. Attack: Purpose Over Possession
Selles (5): Goals per game: 0.20 , Shots: 12.17 per match, Possession: 57.8%. Looked good on the ball, achieved little with it. Low chance quality, little penetration.
Wilder (25): Goals per game: 1.80 overall (1.58 in first 12, 1.85 in second 13) Shots: 13.54 per match, Possession: 50.2%. More direct, more vertical, more threatening. United now build attacks with intent rather than sterile circulation. Season xG steady around 1.5, far healthier balance than in the opening block.
Attacking verdict: Wilder has added danger, aggression and clarity. The team now plays attacking football with purpose rather than possession for possession’s sake (most of the time!).
3. Defence: Still a problem
Selles (5): Goals Against: 12 in 5 so 2.40 per match, Clean Sheets: 0, xGA 1.8–2.1+; High concession rates with no clean sheets. Opponents consistently generated high‑value chances. Defensive structure repeatedly collapsed under transitions Worst defensive six‑game start in modern club history
Wilder (25): GA per match: 1.42 (heavily pulled up by early disasters) with xGA 1.33 (mid‑table defensive footprint). Structure now recognisable: better spacing, more rest defence, fewer implosions. Still inconsistent, but no longer systemic chaos
Defensive Verdict The jump from 2.40 GA to 1.42 GA is already transformational. Improved but not complete. Wilder’a team can now hold a shape, defend phases, and absorb periods of pressure. But still short of play‑off calibre (1.0 GA required)
4. Wilder’s First 12 vs Next 13:
To understand Wilder’s impact, his own tenure splits naturally into a settling period (games 6–17) and a stabilised period (games 18–30)
Wilder: First 12 matches (Games 6–17), W 6 | D 1 | L 5 → 19 points → PPG 1.58, Goals scored: 19 → GPG 1.58.
Immediate improvement in attacking threat but defence still too porous. Performances swung between excellent and poor. Tactical patterns re‑emerging. Identity returning. Volatility still high
Verdict: This was the rebuild phase, encouraging but inconsistent.
Wilder: Next 13 matches (Games 18–30), W 6 | D 2 | L 7 → 20 points → PPG 1.54, Goals scored: 24 → GPG 1.85
This block represents greater stability: More consistent performances, Greater control of games. Better game‑state management. Defensively calmer but still with serious consistency issues impacting on results. Attacking output improves significantly. A recognisable Wilder team, structurally and stylistically
Verdict: This is the identity phase, a coherent, repeatable, competitive Sheffield United.
Key takeaway: Wilder didn’t just improve the team versus Selles, he has improved his team over time in key ways but without uplifting the PPG. The second phase is cleaner, calmer, sharper, more cohesive and at play‑off attacking levels. But a further shift is required
5. What’s Needed Now to Reach the Play‑Offs (Final 16 Games) with apologies for duplication with other posts.
Play‑off likely cut line: 73 to 75 points so need 34 to 36 from final 16 games so PPG: 2.13 to 2.25 which is strong automatic promotion form.
At Wilder’s current Phase‑2 PPG (1.54) we reach 66 points so we need a further shift to an exceptional level.
What is required:
- Concede fewer goals: Current GA: 1.45, need GA: 1.0–1.1
- Maintain/ improve finishing slightly: Convert xG (–4.37 underperformance) and maintain set‑piece strength (14 goals already)
- Control games emotionally and tactically: Fewer errors leading to goals, no post‑goal collapses, fewer cards (43 yellows, 3 reds already
Do that, and PPG rises to 2.1, which is exactly the zone required. We don’t need to be perfect, we just need to be consistent for 16 games. Unavoidable team rotation would assist with this!
Final Word: Three Teams in One Season, one more needed
The season’s narrative is now unmistakable:
Selles: A structurally broken side, Zero points, No attacking threat, No defensive integrity
Wilder (first 12): Stops the bleeding. Installs identity. Mixed but competitive results
Wilder (next 13): Mid‑table levels of performance. Cohesive, assertive football. High goal scoring. Real progress in output and consistency. But defensive issues remain
We are still not where we want to be, but we are so far from the team that started the season. The curve continues upward, the structure is firmer, and the numbers finally reflect a side that can impose itself rather than simply endure.
Although do we really want to make the play offs! I’m not sure I could take it!
UTB
PS I do have some sympathy for Selles. 6 games (including the cup) is a small sample size and he was replaced just a few days after we added in new players. Or do the stats still speak for themselves!
PPS Please forgive any minor typos….

