programmechap
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- Feb 9, 2022
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A quick bit of research into the 70 second tier play off semi first legs since 1988 and the percentages of the fist leg home teams who got to the final based on their first leg result
FL home team lost by 2 or more. Happened 8 times, O reached final success rate 0%
FL home team lost by 1. Happened 12 times, 1 reached final. Success rate 8%
FL draw .Happened 22 times, home team reached final 10 times..Success rate. 45%
FL home team win by 1..Happened 20 times, 10 reached final. Success rate 50%
FL home team win by 2 or more . Happened 8 times. All reached final. Success rate 100%
So bottom line we need to win by 2
FL home team lost by 2 or more. Happened 8 times, O reached final success rate 0%
FL home team lost by 1. Happened 12 times, 1 reached final. Success rate 8%
FL draw .Happened 22 times, home team reached final 10 times..Success rate. 45%
FL home team win by 1..Happened 20 times, 10 reached final. Success rate 50%
FL home team win by 2 or more . Happened 8 times. All reached final. Success rate 100%
So bottom line we need to win by 2