Geordie Blade
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- Jan 22, 2010
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I reckon we're going to need about 35 points to survive. As things stand today (after the Newcastle home match), that means another 30 points from 20 games. The table below shows where I think those points might come from. It is not what I think will happen - it is what needs to happen for us to get to 35 points, so there's no need to say "you think we'll get a win at XXX??". I'll update the table after each game, with a new column showing how the situation changes (i.e. our task getting easier or harder). This is more for the people who are interested in the numbers side of the game.
At the moment it understandably looks very tough (win 8, draw 6, lose 6). We can't afford many slips ups in the 'easier' games. One thing that it shows at the moment, is that we shouldn't get too despondent if the next three games don't yield many points - three are easier opportunities coming later. If we lose to Spurs, it means we'll need to find another point from somewhere else (maybe Leicester away?). On the other hand, if we pick anything up again the Manchester teams, it gives us a bit more wiggle room somewhere else. Again, remember that these are not predictions - it's more of a list of the requirement to stay up.
At the moment it understandably looks very tough (win 8, draw 6, lose 6). We can't afford many slips ups in the 'easier' games. One thing that it shows at the moment, is that we shouldn't get too despondent if the next three games don't yield many points - three are easier opportunities coming later. If we lose to Spurs, it means we'll need to find another point from somewhere else (maybe Leicester away?). On the other hand, if we pick anything up again the Manchester teams, it gives us a bit more wiggle room somewhere else. Again, remember that these are not predictions - it's more of a list of the requirement to stay up.