Statistics The statisticians have us relegated at the moment!

[Mike325]

Load of bollox. Fickle idiots have us going down after what 2 games. Granted we may not have the strongest side in the league but these wankers already tipping us to go down............. leave it out

 

[JPBrods]

Remember: doesn't matter how many times the doomsayers can be wrong, they feel they only have to be right once to feel vindicated. That's why the same people saying we'd never survive in the Champ/Never get promoted/Never survive in the Premier League are the same bores now saying we'll go down because of second season syndrome. They don't keep a tally of how many times they've been wrong before.

 

[TheFlashingBlade]

Apart from all the other arguments re: their methodology and how meaningless or otherwise the statistics are at this point of the season, they have clearly, explicitly and specifically given us a THIRTY PER CENT chance of relegation.

Which by my maths means their statistical model gives us a SEVENTY PER CENT of staying up.

So rather than condemning us to certain relegation, it actually has us as being STRONGLY FANCIED to STAY UP.

See what happens when you look at the glass half full rather than half empty? Some of our fans should give it a go sometime...

 

[GreasyChipBeattie]

Scrolled down to see Villa in 13th and stopped looking

 

[Tynemouth Blade]

Looks about right to me

 

[kevreedy]

what's all the fuss is about. were are only six points behind the leaders=no worries.

 

[VictoryBlade]

As someone who new someone who new a member of the (Old) BBC we need to start trouble again at matches ………..corvid ok, in our own homes then. Next time cat looks at me wi that fucking Leeds fucking attitude then...I'm gonna stop stroking her!!! Leeds cunts out. lol

 

[VictoryBlade]

UTB

 

[JOEYDEE]

All the "experts" thought we would be relegated on a record low points tally last season.

A lot of know-nowts including that shower from South Barnsley thought we would be "down by Christmas" last season.

Fuck 'em. Fuck 'em all.

The long and the short ,and the tall ?

 

[Billyblade]

The long and the short ,and the tall ?

Cos we are United and we are the best...

 

[JOEYDEE]

Cos we are United and we are the best...

We are United so fk all the rest !...

 

[hidesbehindapseudonym]

And they'll be right if we crack on with the season depending on Sharp, Diddsy, McB and Burke to fire us to safety.

If that remains our "strike force" it will be over by the next window.

 

[hidesbehindapseudonym]

Premier League Predictions

FiveThirtyEight's Premier League predictions

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

View attachment 92709
They have quite a detailed methodology behind it all. Pretty different to our 'where will we finish' poll where the most common choice was 12th.

That being said you can see their model from last season which had us finishing 19th after two games in!

Starting to look very feasible.

 

[mattbianco1]

In 2019/20 season, Aston Villa were 7pts adrift with 4 games to play. Its possible to claw back 11pts in 22 games.

 

[Gavlar]

In 2019/20 season, Aston Villa were 7pts adrift with 4 games to play. Its possible to claw back 11pts in 22 games.

Not if you can't score and can't keep a clean sheet it isn't.

 

[We're back!]

In 2019/20 season, Aston Villa were 7pts adrift with 4 games to play. Its possible to claw back 11pts in 22 games.

It's also possible to win the Euromillions (are we still allowed to play that? ), but highly unlikely. I like your spirit tho, old chap